[Rich Toscano]

Buy real estate now or you’ll be priced out forever… hmm, when did I last hear that? 😀

[Rich Toscano]

[quote=gzz]

Relatedly, the Chad Value Investor vs the Virgin Growth Investor. Vulgar but I laughed.

http://www.creditbubblestocks.com/2021/03/the-chad-value-investor-vs-virgin.html%5B/quote%5D

Great writing… that was awesome. 😀

[Rich Toscano]

[quote=carlsbadworker]Just finished reading Rich’s latest investing article, I concur.

My answer to “Why not go to cash” is much simpler though.

Four words: I could be wrong.[/quote]

I agree with that, but I think it goes beyond that… even if you’re right (ie there’s a bubble and it eventually bursts) there are a lot of ways the “go all to cash” thing could backfire.

Certainly, though, your four-word summary is a great thing to always keep in mind.

[Rich Toscano]

[quote=gzz]Ponzi scheme that causes massive environmental destruction as a side benefit. Chinese coal plants are even dirtier than ours and running full speed to power “miners” which themselves become toxic e-waste in 12-16 months after purchase.[/quote]

+1

[Rich Toscano]

Howdy – All is well, thanks… just been super busy. I hope to have the Dec 20 stats up this week.

[Rich Toscano]

[quote=Rich Toscano]Also that shirt is profoundly ugly.[/quote]

OK on further thought… that might not put off the target demographic.

But still, like I said above — the disinformation about election fraud is seriously harmful and dangerous, in my view. Don’t be a part of the problem!

[Rich Toscano]

[quote=Coronita]I’ll share a few tshirt designs here, and we can make this a pigg side business…

I mean, we might as well capitalize on this disinformation trend and sell shit to people who want to believe the earth is flat.

For example, here’s one:

[img_assist|nid=27285|title=t2024iwr|desc=|link=node|align=left|width=500|height=219]

Feedback?

We have a few other catchy phrases, but we wanted to try to trademark them before actually making them public. You know kind of like how Taylor Swift wants to trademark “Shake it off”….

I wish I knew of a trademark attorney…

*Disclaimer. Part of the proceeds will be donated to the DNC and BLM initiatives….[/quote]

Spreading disinformation for profit isn’t ok, regardless of whether you believe the disinformation. Also that shirt is profoundly ugly.

[Rich Toscano]

[quote=sdrealtor]Maybe we can get a struggling investor in Vegas to set up a road side stand. Just make sure it has a sleek, euro design[/quote]

Brilliant… 😀

[Rich Toscano]

[quote=sdrealtor]So Im curious if the recent events change anything about the position of the OP or Rich on a sell now call? Or does it still stand?[/quote]

I never had a position on it. Still don’t.

[Rich Toscano]

Haha, I know it’s Benford’s Law (not Theory). I’m not denying the mathematical law. I was denying that proves voter fraud in a way that somehow eluded election experts, but was only noticed by a guy with an unhinged Trump-worshipping propaganda site.

I quickly founding a paper questioning the premise, and you have found counters to that. Fair enough. But the fact remains that people who actually have expertise in how elections work are not concerned. I think it’s important not to draw strong conclusions in an area that’s not your area of specialty, when those who do specialize in it say something different.

Meanwhile, there are hyper-partisan propaganda outlets, along with our soon to be ex president, spreading verifiable lies about voter fraud. This is dangerous and harmful and honestly makes me pretty upset. I don’t want anything even adjacent to that on this site…. and this conversation was adjacent enough that I just didn’t want it here. Thanks for taking it in stride.

[Rich Toscano]

I’m shutting down this Benford’s Law nonsense right now, as described here: https://www.piggington.com/benfords_law_and_voter_fraud#comment-292046

[Rich Toscano]

Nooope.

As explained in the fun “covid was planned” post, this site is not going to be a conduit for misguided conspiracy theories.

First of all, I fixed this part for you:

“Here is someone a lunatic who took the graphs and added some commentary:
https://gnews.org/534248/”

(A quick browsing of that website will show that my version is more accurate).

Second, it took me 5 seconds on google to find an academic paper debunking the whole idea of using Benford’s law to find election fraud. You could have easily found it yourself before posting this misguided rumor here.

As I said on the other thread, there are unfortunately many places on the internet to spread misinformation. This site is not going to be one of them. Thread closed.

[Rich Toscano]

I don’t even know where to start.

First of all, it’s not that you’re not “allowed to question the establishment’s narrative”. What I don’t want you to do on this site is to spread wildly incorrect, baseless, and dangerous rumors. Not remotely the same thing.

You are actually a good example of the harm that misinformation can do. I know that you are a good and kind person. And yet you have been exposed to such misinformation that you are out there spreading it and making the world a worse place. This misinformation has turned a good person into a force for bad. This needs to stop.

I said I’m not going to engage with this insane “covid was planned” theory and I’m not going to. And yes I did, out of respect for the time you took, read your whole post. But the case you make is totally without merit. Like somehow (as one example) people saying “hey let’s make the best of this bad situation” means that they planned the pandemic. Or Bill Gates having recognized the danger of a potential pandemic, and tried to help the world get prepared for it, is somehow proof that he was in on creating the pandemic. It is totally beyond my comprehension how you or anyone could think this is a remotely reasonable train of thought.

I know you are very smart and a good person. But (I can only guess here) some combination of severe confirmation bias, and the need to see meaning in everything, both fed by the torrent of disinformation on the internet, is causing you to come to conclusions that are nonsensical.

Before you accuse me of being naive and send me more bullshit conspiracy theory youtube videos — don’t. I am not going to engage on this question and I don’t want it here. These baseless lies make the world a worse place and I will not have this site be a part of their spread.

I’m closing down the comments to this ridiculous thread and I don’t want to see anything else like this on this site.

[Rich Toscano]

Disagree; the index is the best way to measure the magnitude of the change in aggregate. The CS index (which is very well constructed) tells the real story of San Diego as a whole much better than a couple examples from a single neighborhood.

[Rich Toscano]

Like I said, whether his call to sell in June was good or bad will only be known in hindsight. Given that he was talking about after the pandemic is over and all the economic impacts have percolated through, that is the appropriate time to look back on whether he was right. Not now.

SD Case-Shiller in Nov 03 was 182. Post-crash, it didn’t get back to that level until June 2013, and that’s without accounting for inflation. (Which would actually be the correct comparison, and would push the rebound date even further, but I don’t have it handy).

[Author]

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