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March 17, 2007 at 5:04 PM in reply to: In California, Perris is at the epicenter of mortgage problems. #47911CAwiremanParticipant
DaiseyD,
One more thing. Can you provide this data for San Diego by zipcode?
Here’s info compiled from a link that Lindismith provided.
(To view, click the table, then scroll down below the table and select Original. Then you can see the detail and scroll
up/down, left/right.)I basically want to track San Diego by ARM loans per zipcode and anything more detailed (ARM resets per current year per zipcode). It would be interesting to correlate the ARM resets per zipcode to the [NODs Auction REO FSBO Resale]
data you might be able to provide, especially if you can provide it by zipcode. Thanks!(If anyone has comments on my the approach I’m recommending, pro or con, let me know)
[img_assist|nid=2888|title=SD defaults per 1000 by Zip|desc=|link=node|align=left|width=127|height=500]
March 17, 2007 at 10:04 AM in reply to: In California, Perris is at the epicenter of mortgage problems. #47884CAwiremanParticipantLindismith, nice link. It gets me somewhat closer to my desire of finding a report of ARM loans per zipcode in SD. I
copied the data to a spreadsheet and sorted it by ranking.
Chula Vista shows up prominently. Here’s the sorted data.
Any thoughts folks?(To view, click the table, then scroll down below the table and select Original. Then you can see the detail and scroll
up/down, left/right.)[img_assist|nid=2888|title=SD defaults per 1000 by Zip|desc=|link=node|align=left|width=127|height=500]
CAwiremanParticipantThis guy is affiliate with Soros by the way:
… The fund manager, who co-founded the Quantum Fund with billionaire investor George Soros in the 1970s and has focused on commodities since 1998, said the crisis would spread to emerging markets which he said now faced a prolonged bear run.
“When you have a financial crisis, it reverberates in other financial markets, especially in those with speculative excess,” he said.
“Right now, there is huge speculative excess in emerging markets around the world. There will be a lot of money coming out of emerging markets.
“I’ve sold out of emerging markets except for China,” said Rogers, long a prominent China bull.
Even in China, the world’s fastest expanding economy, Rogers said stocks were overvalued and could go down 30-40 percent.
But he added: “China is one of the few countries in the world where I’m willing to sit out a 30-40 percent decline.”
The last stock market bubble to burst was the dot-com craze which sparked a crash from March 2000 to October 2002.
When the last bubble burst in Japan, said Rogers, stock prices went down 85 percent despite the country’s high savings rate and huge balance of payment surplus.
“This is the end of the liquidity party,” said Rogers. “Some emerging markets will go down 80 percent, some will go down 50 percent. Some will most probably collapse.”
CAwiremanParticipantCAwiremanParticipantDaisyD,
Would love to especially see the data for San Diego.
Please do!
CAwiremanParticipantBy Resale Existing Homes.
Click into the doc, then click “Original” to see it.
[img_assist|nid=2868|title=SD Resale Existing Homes by Percent Change|desc=|link=node|align=left|width=316|height=500]
CAwiremanParticipantSorted by All Sales. Experiment in attaching graphics…
Click into the doc, then click “Original” to see it.
[img_assist|nid=2867|title=Feb SD sales by total Sales|desc=|link=node|align=left|width=316|height=500]
CAwiremanParticipantHere's what will happen:
Osama Bin Laden will be spotted in Canada. We'll invade to track him down and to bring him to justice.
We'll inadvertently begin to construct a canal to deliver Hudson bay water to the western US?
Absurd? It could happen with the blessing of Canada if their economy plummets. Food for thought……
[img_assist|nid=2836|title=New water source for western US|desc=|link=node|align=left|width=466|height=280]
CAwiremanParticipantLost Cat, you hit the nail on the head. Cali isn’t much without a gushing water supply. A few good links:
Cadillac Desert
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cadillac_DesertSummary:
http://www.ldeo.columbia.edu/~martins/hydro/case_studies/cadillac_desert.htmThe book is a longish, but detailed read. Hats off the the late Marc Reisner for researching and writing the book.
A local individual, Jim Bell, advocates a large investment in solar. And, he also suggests a solar powered desalination plant or plants – with energy being the the most cost portion of a facility, as I’ve been lead to understand, once built. The solar source would allow it to be more affordable at an earlier time.
CAwiremanParticipantChris Johnston, the lawsuit liability thing is interesting.
Question, would not a combination of a homeowners policy and an umbrella liability policy protect someone with a house that’s owned free and clear?
Anyone know about this exposure?
Glad you brought it up.
March 5, 2007 at 9:23 PM in reply to: If Convinced Stock Market is Heading South, How Best to Profit? #46982CAwiremanParticipantJG, definitely sorry to hear about the gold stock movement.
Question, you were in gold stocks, right?
Did the actual price of gold follow the stocks down or did it stay put?
I was basically wondering if the two are tied closely together or if they tend to rise and fall more independently?
I’ve heard some on this forum talk about buying gold as opposed to buying gold stocks. Would be quite a chore to buy gold and keep an eye on it in the home safe or trust that it would stay put in a safety deposit box in a bank. Also, gold bars would be awkward if one needed to convert some to cash. Coins would be much more practical it seems. (I think some of this was covered in another thread).
Anyway, was wondering about the various approaches to investing in gold and wondered how closely they all tracked in value to one another.
CAwiremanParticipantIn good times you should advertise. In bad times you must advertise.
CAwiremanParticipantLeading, Lagging, its all good.
To someone like me, I’ll take any indicators I can get!
I really appreciate the Foreclosure data that JG provides and the Short Sale Monitor info that sdrealtor provides.
To someone sitting on the sidelines waiting for realesate to adjust downwards, its helpful to see current indicators and to contrast them with ones from prior corrections.
More specifically, for someone with patience, tracking the level of foreclosures/short sales for some time and looking for potential inflection points seems to be time well spent. Since I don’t plan to rush out and buy property any time soon, I can wait for the lagging indicators to setting out and hopefully help me an others to make more sound buying guesses. Said differently, for those with long purchase cycles, its less of a lagging indicator than it is a current indicator.
I had a look at your website PS. Good luck with it. I’ll have a peak periodically for new articles.
February 19, 2007 at 3:11 PM in reply to: Apt complexes being converted to Condo’s before its “Too late” #45780CAwiremanParticipantOn the other hand, I wonder if there’s a penalty involved with remapping the condo’s and deciding to continue using the properties for individual rentals.
I rented in a complex in Mira Mesa (Summerset village). The units were sort of referred to as condo’s. You had to provide your own washer/dryer and fridge. And, some utilities had to be paid individually.
I wonder what the downside of remapping/rezoning would be if the complex remains rental only? (Just the initial outlay for the remapping effort? Other?)
Would be curious if anyone has insight into this.
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