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August 14, 2007 at 2:13 PM in reply to: Now back to our regularly scheduled programming on NOD’s #75236August 14, 2007 at 2:13 PM in reply to: Now back to our regularly scheduled programming on NOD’s #75243ArtifactParticipant
I decided to go ahead and post an updated figure with the last few weeks data included. There is definitely a general trend upward, but plotted on a week to week basis, the data are very noisy – On a month-to-month basis, there is a pretty clear increase, most clearly seen in the NOD’s.
[img_assist|nid=4304|title= NOD’s, NOT’s and REO’s|desc=|link=node|align=left|width=466|height=273]
ArtifactParticipantA little late, but here are last weeks plots – due to laziness (or maybe it is the actual work I am suposed to be doing) – I will update the trendlines on the third plot and the scale when I am updating with sdr’s data for this week.
[img_assist|nid=4300|title= Short Sales and Total Listings|desc=|link=node|align=left|width=466|height=273]
[img_assist|nid=4301|title= Percent Change and Percent Short of Total|desc=|link=node|align=left|width=466|height=273]
[img_assist|nid=4303|title= Trends in Short Sales|desc=|link=node|align=left|width=466|height=273]ArtifactParticipantA little late, but here are last weeks plots – due to laziness (or maybe it is the actual work I am suposed to be doing) – I will update the trendlines on the third plot and the scale when I am updating with sdr’s data for this week.
[img_assist|nid=4300|title= Short Sales and Total Listings|desc=|link=node|align=left|width=466|height=273]
[img_assist|nid=4301|title= Percent Change and Percent Short of Total|desc=|link=node|align=left|width=466|height=273]
[img_assist|nid=4303|title= Trends in Short Sales|desc=|link=node|align=left|width=466|height=273]ArtifactParticipantA little late, but here are last weeks plots – due to laziness (or maybe it is the actual work I am suposed to be doing) – I will update the trendlines on the third plot and the scale when I am updating with sdr’s data for this week.
[img_assist|nid=4300|title= Short Sales and Total Listings|desc=|link=node|align=left|width=466|height=273]
[img_assist|nid=4301|title= Percent Change and Percent Short of Total|desc=|link=node|align=left|width=466|height=273]
[img_assist|nid=4303|title= Trends in Short Sales|desc=|link=node|align=left|width=466|height=273]ArtifactParticipantIt depends on how much the mortgage is – that is a pretty dramatic drop in price though. I see similar drops in the Sacramento area (I have been foloowing the market there as well as San Diego).
T
ArtifactParticipantIt depends on how much the mortgage is – that is a pretty dramatic drop in price though. I see similar drops in the Sacramento area (I have been foloowing the market there as well as San Diego).
T
ArtifactParticipantHere are the figures. Lots of the same – bascially showing what sdrealtor said – the percent is increasing more rapidly because the total sales are leveling out and the short sales are still increasing. I re-did the trend lines on the 3rd plot – the trend for total short sales excludes the strange tale on the for left (prior to the new year) – but still shows the increasing rate of change. The trend for percent change is not significant, so instead of showing that, I just included the zero line – above that it is increasing.
T
[img_assist|nid=4078|title= Short Sales and Total Listings|desc=|link=node|align=left|width=466|height=285]
[img_assist|nid=4079|title= Percent Change and Percent Chort of Total|desc=|link=node|align=left|width=466|height=285]
[img_assist|nid=4080|title= Short Sale Trends|desc=|link=node|align=left|width=466|height=285]ArtifactParticipantHere are the figures. Lots of the same – bascially showing what sdrealtor said – the percent is increasing more rapidly because the total sales are leveling out and the short sales are still increasing. I re-did the trend lines on the 3rd plot – the trend for total short sales excludes the strange tale on the for left (prior to the new year) – but still shows the increasing rate of change. The trend for percent change is not significant, so instead of showing that, I just included the zero line – above that it is increasing.
T
[img_assist|nid=4078|title= Short Sales and Total Listings|desc=|link=node|align=left|width=466|height=285]
[img_assist|nid=4079|title= Percent Change and Percent Chort of Total|desc=|link=node|align=left|width=466|height=285]
[img_assist|nid=4080|title= Short Sale Trends|desc=|link=node|align=left|width=466|height=285]ArtifactParticipantFigures – next week will be interesting. The curve upward was slowed by the short week, but we can’t be sure if that is the only thing going on.
T
[img_assist|nid=3983|title= Short Sales and Total Sales|desc=|link=node|align=left|width=466|height=283]
[img_assist|nid=3984|title= Percent Change and Percent Short of Total|desc=|link=node|align=left|width=466|height=283]
[img_assist|nid=3985|title= Trends in Short Sales|desc=|link=node|align=left|width=466|height=283]ArtifactParticipantFigures – next week will be interesting. The curve upward was slowed by the short week, but we can’t be sure if that is the only thing going on.
T
[img_assist|nid=3983|title= Short Sales and Total Sales|desc=|link=node|align=left|width=466|height=283]
[img_assist|nid=3984|title= Percent Change and Percent Short of Total|desc=|link=node|align=left|width=466|height=283]
[img_assist|nid=3985|title= Trends in Short Sales|desc=|link=node|align=left|width=466|height=283]ArtifactParticipantHere are the figures. Alot of the same thing, the inflecction upward seems to be continuing. I included the third figure showing just the trends for short sales. The precent increase is still following the general trend upward, and the overall numbers are still showing signs of increasing above the overall trend line (meaning we are getting to a point that it might be better to fit a non-linear trend line if this keeps up for a few more weeks!)
T
[img_assist|nid=3946|title= Short Sales and Total Listings|desc=|link=node|align=left|width=466|height=304]
[img_assist|nid=3947|title= Percent Change and Percent short of Total|desc=|link=node|align=left|width=466|height=304]
[img_assist|nid=3948|title= Trends in Short Sales|desc=|link=node|align=left|width=466|height=297]ArtifactParticipantHere are the figures. Alot of the same thing, the inflecction upward seems to be continuing. I included the third figure showing just the trends for short sales. The precent increase is still following the general trend upward, and the overall numbers are still showing signs of increasing above the overall trend line (meaning we are getting to a point that it might be better to fit a non-linear trend line if this keeps up for a few more weeks!)
T
[img_assist|nid=3946|title= Short Sales and Total Listings|desc=|link=node|align=left|width=466|height=304]
[img_assist|nid=3947|title= Percent Change and Percent short of Total|desc=|link=node|align=left|width=466|height=304]
[img_assist|nid=3948|title= Trends in Short Sales|desc=|link=node|align=left|width=466|height=297]ArtifactParticipantWow – a quick scan of the Countr Wide listings – 1953 of them in California.
Assuming (conservatively I think) an average price of 250K that is over 488 million (on paper) in real estate they have sitting on the market just in CA. I would think at some point they have to try and recoup some of that before the end of the fiscal year – I am not sure how that works with their current financial “situtation”.
T
ArtifactParticipantWow – a quick scan of the Countr Wide listings – 1953 of them in California.
Assuming (conservatively I think) an average price of 250K that is over 488 million (on paper) in real estate they have sitting on the market just in CA. I would think at some point they have to try and recoup some of that before the end of the fiscal year – I am not sure how that works with their current financial “situtation”.
T
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