Treasuries, another bubble?

[XBoxBoy]

[quote=stockstradr]Now, help me out. Best way to take advantage of this reversal? I think we need to find a good short-term treasury fund to short.
[/quote]

Wouldn’t it be better to short a long term treasury fund? Long term bonds are the ones that are going to suffer the most if the bubble bursts I would think.

[quote=stockstradr]Don’t forget to consider that really smart economists with good track records of predicting this overall financial mess (Roubini..etc) see this recession pulling CPI down to ZERO or even a couple percent BELOW zero, during the most intense quarters of deflation.[/quote]

Yeah, but don’t forget to consider that the CPI is massaged by the government to produce the results they want, and is a fairly worthless statistic.

If this stock market rally continues for a couple of days, and main stream media continues to sound the all clear, I suspect we will find out whether or not treasuries are a bubble very quickly here.

XBoxBoy

[Anonymous]

Proshares has two funds that short treasuries (TBT & PST). One shorts the ten year, the other shorts 20 years plus. I own both.

My guess is that as the economy deteriorates further, China and others will be forced to spend their surpluses at home (as opposed to US debt) building roads etc. in order to keep people employed.

[Anonymous]

Proshares has two funds that short treasuries (TBT & PST). One shorts the ten year, the other shorts 20 years plus. I own both.

My guess is that as the economy deteriorates further, China and others will be forced to spend their surpluses at home (as opposed to US debt) building roads etc. in order to keep people employed.

[Anonymous]

Proshares has two funds that short treasuries (TBT & PST). One shorts the ten year, the other shorts 20 years plus. I own both.

My guess is that as the economy deteriorates further, China and others will be forced to spend their surpluses at home (as opposed to US debt) building roads etc. in order to keep people employed.

[Anonymous]

Proshares has two funds that short treasuries (TBT & PST). One shorts the ten year, the other shorts 20 years plus. I own both.

My guess is that as the economy deteriorates further, China and others will be forced to spend their surpluses at home (as opposed to US debt) building roads etc. in order to keep people employed.

[Anonymous]

Proshares has two funds that short treasuries (TBT & PST). One shorts the ten year, the other shorts 20 years plus. I own both.

My guess is that as the economy deteriorates further, China and others will be forced to spend their surpluses at home (as opposed to US debt) building roads etc. in order to keep people employed.

[stockstradr]

I’m glad I’m watching this thread. I’m learning a lot. I don’t know much about US treasuries, much less about shorting them

[stockstradr]

I’m glad I’m watching this thread. I’m learning a lot. I don’t know much about US treasuries, much less about shorting them

[stockstradr]

I’m glad I’m watching this thread. I’m learning a lot. I don’t know much about US treasuries, much less about shorting them

[stockstradr]

I’m glad I’m watching this thread. I’m learning a lot. I don’t know much about US treasuries, much less about shorting them

[stockstradr]

I’m glad I’m watching this thread. I’m learning a lot. I don’t know much about US treasuries, much less about shorting them

[patientrenter]

Someone mentioned this up above, but I’ll repeat it: beware of any asset price that can be manipulated by govt power. Long Treasury prices can be kept high. It’s the dollar that, in the end, will drop. Short of third-world currency controls, the exchange rate cannot be manipulated as easily as internal US financial instruments.

My personal bet is on the Yen as a safe store of value for the next 5-10 years as inflation is engineered in much of the rest of the world.

[patientrenter]

Someone mentioned this up above, but I’ll repeat it: beware of any asset price that can be manipulated by govt power. Long Treasury prices can be kept high. It’s the dollar that, in the end, will drop. Short of third-world currency controls, the exchange rate cannot be manipulated as easily as internal US financial instruments.

My personal bet is on the Yen as a safe store of value for the next 5-10 years as inflation is engineered in much of the rest of the world.

[patientrenter]

Someone mentioned this up above, but I’ll repeat it: beware of any asset price that can be manipulated by govt power. Long Treasury prices can be kept high. It’s the dollar that, in the end, will drop. Short of third-world currency controls, the exchange rate cannot be manipulated as easily as internal US financial instruments.

My personal bet is on the Yen as a safe store of value for the next 5-10 years as inflation is engineered in much of the rest of the world.

[patientrenter]

Someone mentioned this up above, but I’ll repeat it: beware of any asset price that can be manipulated by govt power. Long Treasury prices can be kept high. It’s the dollar that, in the end, will drop. Short of third-world currency controls, the exchange rate cannot be manipulated as easily as internal US financial instruments.

My personal bet is on the Yen as a safe store of value for the next 5-10 years as inflation is engineered in much of the rest of the world.

[Author]

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