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December 15, 2007 at 9:36 AM #117948December 15, 2007 at 9:46 AM #117745HLSParticipant
SD…
Not sure if you have followed TG’s posts..
He has no intention of buying where he is right now..
It’s only a Motel 6 stop in his travels. He’ll be checking out soon.His landlord is apparently heading to FC..
TG was asking about other REO opportunities vs. buying new from builder. He wants his next move to be his Hilton, with or without Paris or Nicky.
I really don’t like to predict rate moves, but I don’t think there will be another 50bp move close to 5% again.
Election year, weak dollar, etc. I think that we may not see a 4.50% 10YR in 2008, but the way the govt is manipulating things, they could have an influence.
I think it will stay within 25bps of 4.10% + or –
with 30 YR conforming between 5.75% and 6.25% at par.Complete speculation.
December 15, 2007 at 9:46 AM #117871HLSParticipantSD…
Not sure if you have followed TG’s posts..
He has no intention of buying where he is right now..
It’s only a Motel 6 stop in his travels. He’ll be checking out soon.His landlord is apparently heading to FC..
TG was asking about other REO opportunities vs. buying new from builder. He wants his next move to be his Hilton, with or without Paris or Nicky.
I really don’t like to predict rate moves, but I don’t think there will be another 50bp move close to 5% again.
Election year, weak dollar, etc. I think that we may not see a 4.50% 10YR in 2008, but the way the govt is manipulating things, they could have an influence.
I think it will stay within 25bps of 4.10% + or –
with 30 YR conforming between 5.75% and 6.25% at par.Complete speculation.
December 15, 2007 at 9:46 AM #117906HLSParticipantSD…
Not sure if you have followed TG’s posts..
He has no intention of buying where he is right now..
It’s only a Motel 6 stop in his travels. He’ll be checking out soon.His landlord is apparently heading to FC..
TG was asking about other REO opportunities vs. buying new from builder. He wants his next move to be his Hilton, with or without Paris or Nicky.
I really don’t like to predict rate moves, but I don’t think there will be another 50bp move close to 5% again.
Election year, weak dollar, etc. I think that we may not see a 4.50% 10YR in 2008, but the way the govt is manipulating things, they could have an influence.
I think it will stay within 25bps of 4.10% + or –
with 30 YR conforming between 5.75% and 6.25% at par.Complete speculation.
December 15, 2007 at 9:46 AM #117947HLSParticipantSD…
Not sure if you have followed TG’s posts..
He has no intention of buying where he is right now..
It’s only a Motel 6 stop in his travels. He’ll be checking out soon.His landlord is apparently heading to FC..
TG was asking about other REO opportunities vs. buying new from builder. He wants his next move to be his Hilton, with or without Paris or Nicky.
I really don’t like to predict rate moves, but I don’t think there will be another 50bp move close to 5% again.
Election year, weak dollar, etc. I think that we may not see a 4.50% 10YR in 2008, but the way the govt is manipulating things, they could have an influence.
I think it will stay within 25bps of 4.10% + or –
with 30 YR conforming between 5.75% and 6.25% at par.Complete speculation.
December 15, 2007 at 9:46 AM #117966HLSParticipantSD…
Not sure if you have followed TG’s posts..
He has no intention of buying where he is right now..
It’s only a Motel 6 stop in his travels. He’ll be checking out soon.His landlord is apparently heading to FC..
TG was asking about other REO opportunities vs. buying new from builder. He wants his next move to be his Hilton, with or without Paris or Nicky.
I really don’t like to predict rate moves, but I don’t think there will be another 50bp move close to 5% again.
Election year, weak dollar, etc. I think that we may not see a 4.50% 10YR in 2008, but the way the govt is manipulating things, they could have an influence.
I think it will stay within 25bps of 4.10% + or –
with 30 YR conforming between 5.75% and 6.25% at par.Complete speculation.
December 15, 2007 at 10:03 AM #117760temeculaguyParticipantSD, I’m not going after the place I’m renting, I found a realtor locally with time on their hands and will write some 20% off asking lowballs on a few reo’s listed in the mls already (and have been sitting with no offers for a while). They are aware that I’m not going to let things counter up far from my offer. If todays expedition into the the interior of these places pans out, I’ll hook up the HLS, get the 30 minute approval and be able to submit that with the lowball, I want to dangle a sure thing in front of the guy/gal at the REO desk because I am asking for a screming deal. I’m trying to fast forward the banks and going for some 2001 price offers. It amounts to less than a $100 a square. If they bite, I’ll be out of here in a month and leave paid rent on the table but I don’t care because I will have pulled a 50% discount from 2005 prices, It’s all I’ve ever wanted. With regards to my current pad, I won’t push it, I will likely be out by the time of the trustee sale, I’m a nervous nelly. Just to time it so I don’t have to look for interim housing, if the banks don’t fall for my Jedi mind trick, I’ll have to go with at least a six month lease somewhere and resume shopping in September 2008. Either way I wont die.
No Nicky, no Paris, TG no like the skinny ones.
December 15, 2007 at 10:03 AM #117888temeculaguyParticipantSD, I’m not going after the place I’m renting, I found a realtor locally with time on their hands and will write some 20% off asking lowballs on a few reo’s listed in the mls already (and have been sitting with no offers for a while). They are aware that I’m not going to let things counter up far from my offer. If todays expedition into the the interior of these places pans out, I’ll hook up the HLS, get the 30 minute approval and be able to submit that with the lowball, I want to dangle a sure thing in front of the guy/gal at the REO desk because I am asking for a screming deal. I’m trying to fast forward the banks and going for some 2001 price offers. It amounts to less than a $100 a square. If they bite, I’ll be out of here in a month and leave paid rent on the table but I don’t care because I will have pulled a 50% discount from 2005 prices, It’s all I’ve ever wanted. With regards to my current pad, I won’t push it, I will likely be out by the time of the trustee sale, I’m a nervous nelly. Just to time it so I don’t have to look for interim housing, if the banks don’t fall for my Jedi mind trick, I’ll have to go with at least a six month lease somewhere and resume shopping in September 2008. Either way I wont die.
No Nicky, no Paris, TG no like the skinny ones.
December 15, 2007 at 10:03 AM #117921temeculaguyParticipantSD, I’m not going after the place I’m renting, I found a realtor locally with time on their hands and will write some 20% off asking lowballs on a few reo’s listed in the mls already (and have been sitting with no offers for a while). They are aware that I’m not going to let things counter up far from my offer. If todays expedition into the the interior of these places pans out, I’ll hook up the HLS, get the 30 minute approval and be able to submit that with the lowball, I want to dangle a sure thing in front of the guy/gal at the REO desk because I am asking for a screming deal. I’m trying to fast forward the banks and going for some 2001 price offers. It amounts to less than a $100 a square. If they bite, I’ll be out of here in a month and leave paid rent on the table but I don’t care because I will have pulled a 50% discount from 2005 prices, It’s all I’ve ever wanted. With regards to my current pad, I won’t push it, I will likely be out by the time of the trustee sale, I’m a nervous nelly. Just to time it so I don’t have to look for interim housing, if the banks don’t fall for my Jedi mind trick, I’ll have to go with at least a six month lease somewhere and resume shopping in September 2008. Either way I wont die.
No Nicky, no Paris, TG no like the skinny ones.
December 15, 2007 at 10:03 AM #117963temeculaguyParticipantSD, I’m not going after the place I’m renting, I found a realtor locally with time on their hands and will write some 20% off asking lowballs on a few reo’s listed in the mls already (and have been sitting with no offers for a while). They are aware that I’m not going to let things counter up far from my offer. If todays expedition into the the interior of these places pans out, I’ll hook up the HLS, get the 30 minute approval and be able to submit that with the lowball, I want to dangle a sure thing in front of the guy/gal at the REO desk because I am asking for a screming deal. I’m trying to fast forward the banks and going for some 2001 price offers. It amounts to less than a $100 a square. If they bite, I’ll be out of here in a month and leave paid rent on the table but I don’t care because I will have pulled a 50% discount from 2005 prices, It’s all I’ve ever wanted. With regards to my current pad, I won’t push it, I will likely be out by the time of the trustee sale, I’m a nervous nelly. Just to time it so I don’t have to look for interim housing, if the banks don’t fall for my Jedi mind trick, I’ll have to go with at least a six month lease somewhere and resume shopping in September 2008. Either way I wont die.
No Nicky, no Paris, TG no like the skinny ones.
December 15, 2007 at 10:03 AM #117981temeculaguyParticipantSD, I’m not going after the place I’m renting, I found a realtor locally with time on their hands and will write some 20% off asking lowballs on a few reo’s listed in the mls already (and have been sitting with no offers for a while). They are aware that I’m not going to let things counter up far from my offer. If todays expedition into the the interior of these places pans out, I’ll hook up the HLS, get the 30 minute approval and be able to submit that with the lowball, I want to dangle a sure thing in front of the guy/gal at the REO desk because I am asking for a screming deal. I’m trying to fast forward the banks and going for some 2001 price offers. It amounts to less than a $100 a square. If they bite, I’ll be out of here in a month and leave paid rent on the table but I don’t care because I will have pulled a 50% discount from 2005 prices, It’s all I’ve ever wanted. With regards to my current pad, I won’t push it, I will likely be out by the time of the trustee sale, I’m a nervous nelly. Just to time it so I don’t have to look for interim housing, if the banks don’t fall for my Jedi mind trick, I’ll have to go with at least a six month lease somewhere and resume shopping in September 2008. Either way I wont die.
No Nicky, no Paris, TG no like the skinny ones.
December 15, 2007 at 10:34 AM #117770SD RealtorParticipantTG good deal. I was kind of half asleep this morning posting so buying the REO as opposed to dealing with the trustee sale is smart. Lowballing is frustrating but in the end those with persistence and patience will win the game.
HLS – Not sure where the 10 year will end up in the next few months. However as you may recall back in 03 when it dumped to the low/mid 3’s that the resulting bounce back up was staggering and there were even a few originators caught in the upswing. I don’t envision that here but to think that it will not normalize to the 4.5-4.75 range is not out of norm. So to propose that through the spring that rates will be 3/8-1/2 higher then now is at least a 50/50 proposal. Just as saying that the 10 year could go down by the same amount as well. Like you said, most buyers are not aware of the volatility in the mortgage rates. Also that the window of opportunity is MUCH more narrow when the 10 year dumps then when it moves up. (That is mortgage rates adjust IMMEDIATELY when the 10 year moves up but they are quite sticky when it moves down)
SD Realtor
December 15, 2007 at 10:34 AM #117897SD RealtorParticipantTG good deal. I was kind of half asleep this morning posting so buying the REO as opposed to dealing with the trustee sale is smart. Lowballing is frustrating but in the end those with persistence and patience will win the game.
HLS – Not sure where the 10 year will end up in the next few months. However as you may recall back in 03 when it dumped to the low/mid 3’s that the resulting bounce back up was staggering and there were even a few originators caught in the upswing. I don’t envision that here but to think that it will not normalize to the 4.5-4.75 range is not out of norm. So to propose that through the spring that rates will be 3/8-1/2 higher then now is at least a 50/50 proposal. Just as saying that the 10 year could go down by the same amount as well. Like you said, most buyers are not aware of the volatility in the mortgage rates. Also that the window of opportunity is MUCH more narrow when the 10 year dumps then when it moves up. (That is mortgage rates adjust IMMEDIATELY when the 10 year moves up but they are quite sticky when it moves down)
SD Realtor
December 15, 2007 at 10:34 AM #117931SD RealtorParticipantTG good deal. I was kind of half asleep this morning posting so buying the REO as opposed to dealing with the trustee sale is smart. Lowballing is frustrating but in the end those with persistence and patience will win the game.
HLS – Not sure where the 10 year will end up in the next few months. However as you may recall back in 03 when it dumped to the low/mid 3’s that the resulting bounce back up was staggering and there were even a few originators caught in the upswing. I don’t envision that here but to think that it will not normalize to the 4.5-4.75 range is not out of norm. So to propose that through the spring that rates will be 3/8-1/2 higher then now is at least a 50/50 proposal. Just as saying that the 10 year could go down by the same amount as well. Like you said, most buyers are not aware of the volatility in the mortgage rates. Also that the window of opportunity is MUCH more narrow when the 10 year dumps then when it moves up. (That is mortgage rates adjust IMMEDIATELY when the 10 year moves up but they are quite sticky when it moves down)
SD Realtor
December 15, 2007 at 10:34 AM #117974SD RealtorParticipantTG good deal. I was kind of half asleep this morning posting so buying the REO as opposed to dealing with the trustee sale is smart. Lowballing is frustrating but in the end those with persistence and patience will win the game.
HLS – Not sure where the 10 year will end up in the next few months. However as you may recall back in 03 when it dumped to the low/mid 3’s that the resulting bounce back up was staggering and there were even a few originators caught in the upswing. I don’t envision that here but to think that it will not normalize to the 4.5-4.75 range is not out of norm. So to propose that through the spring that rates will be 3/8-1/2 higher then now is at least a 50/50 proposal. Just as saying that the 10 year could go down by the same amount as well. Like you said, most buyers are not aware of the volatility in the mortgage rates. Also that the window of opportunity is MUCH more narrow when the 10 year dumps then when it moves up. (That is mortgage rates adjust IMMEDIATELY when the 10 year moves up but they are quite sticky when it moves down)
SD Realtor
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