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November 1, 2008 at 5:54 PM #296665November 1, 2008 at 9:26 PM #296793EconProfParticipant
If we all agree on a few preliminary assumptions:
That our goal should be to minimize the government’s costs, to hit the bottom of the market sooner rather than later, and to punish the irresponsible lenders, and…
That the government’s actions so far, and into the future, promise to be wasteful, reward the wrong people and lenders (such as by buying underwater mortgages at face value), and take too long, and…
That the possibility exists for the RE decline to feed upon itself, forcing the bottom to be below trend line or “fair value” historically and putting underwater many people who now have 10% to 30% equity in their homes, thus doubling or tripling the taxpayer’s costs, then
this approach merits a closer look.
It gets ahead of the curve (assuming it could be implemented quickly, which I think is its biggest problem), and at a lot lower costs. It only keeps the borrower in the house if they have the liklihood of paying the new, lower mortgage. Yeah, I’d also like to not reward those who can stay with a lower principal, but the current and future programs are going to shower the undeserving FBs with a lot more than this program would at much greater cost to us.
As to the “social costs”, I’m not including solely the disruption to the family that is forced to move, but the external costs imposed on the neighborhood, the erosion of the property tax base and resulting hikes in other taxes, the overshooting of the price decline, and the inherent waste of perfectly good houses boarded up for many months or years.November 1, 2008 at 9:26 PM #296750EconProfParticipantIf we all agree on a few preliminary assumptions:
That our goal should be to minimize the government’s costs, to hit the bottom of the market sooner rather than later, and to punish the irresponsible lenders, and…
That the government’s actions so far, and into the future, promise to be wasteful, reward the wrong people and lenders (such as by buying underwater mortgages at face value), and take too long, and…
That the possibility exists for the RE decline to feed upon itself, forcing the bottom to be below trend line or “fair value” historically and putting underwater many people who now have 10% to 30% equity in their homes, thus doubling or tripling the taxpayer’s costs, then
this approach merits a closer look.
It gets ahead of the curve (assuming it could be implemented quickly, which I think is its biggest problem), and at a lot lower costs. It only keeps the borrower in the house if they have the liklihood of paying the new, lower mortgage. Yeah, I’d also like to not reward those who can stay with a lower principal, but the current and future programs are going to shower the undeserving FBs with a lot more than this program would at much greater cost to us.
As to the “social costs”, I’m not including solely the disruption to the family that is forced to move, but the external costs imposed on the neighborhood, the erosion of the property tax base and resulting hikes in other taxes, the overshooting of the price decline, and the inherent waste of perfectly good houses boarded up for many months or years.November 1, 2008 at 9:26 PM #296738EconProfParticipantIf we all agree on a few preliminary assumptions:
That our goal should be to minimize the government’s costs, to hit the bottom of the market sooner rather than later, and to punish the irresponsible lenders, and…
That the government’s actions so far, and into the future, promise to be wasteful, reward the wrong people and lenders (such as by buying underwater mortgages at face value), and take too long, and…
That the possibility exists for the RE decline to feed upon itself, forcing the bottom to be below trend line or “fair value” historically and putting underwater many people who now have 10% to 30% equity in their homes, thus doubling or tripling the taxpayer’s costs, then
this approach merits a closer look.
It gets ahead of the curve (assuming it could be implemented quickly, which I think is its biggest problem), and at a lot lower costs. It only keeps the borrower in the house if they have the liklihood of paying the new, lower mortgage. Yeah, I’d also like to not reward those who can stay with a lower principal, but the current and future programs are going to shower the undeserving FBs with a lot more than this program would at much greater cost to us.
As to the “social costs”, I’m not including solely the disruption to the family that is forced to move, but the external costs imposed on the neighborhood, the erosion of the property tax base and resulting hikes in other taxes, the overshooting of the price decline, and the inherent waste of perfectly good houses boarded up for many months or years.November 1, 2008 at 9:26 PM #296719EconProfParticipantIf we all agree on a few preliminary assumptions:
That our goal should be to minimize the government’s costs, to hit the bottom of the market sooner rather than later, and to punish the irresponsible lenders, and…
That the government’s actions so far, and into the future, promise to be wasteful, reward the wrong people and lenders (such as by buying underwater mortgages at face value), and take too long, and…
That the possibility exists for the RE decline to feed upon itself, forcing the bottom to be below trend line or “fair value” historically and putting underwater many people who now have 10% to 30% equity in their homes, thus doubling or tripling the taxpayer’s costs, then
this approach merits a closer look.
It gets ahead of the curve (assuming it could be implemented quickly, which I think is its biggest problem), and at a lot lower costs. It only keeps the borrower in the house if they have the liklihood of paying the new, lower mortgage. Yeah, I’d also like to not reward those who can stay with a lower principal, but the current and future programs are going to shower the undeserving FBs with a lot more than this program would at much greater cost to us.
As to the “social costs”, I’m not including solely the disruption to the family that is forced to move, but the external costs imposed on the neighborhood, the erosion of the property tax base and resulting hikes in other taxes, the overshooting of the price decline, and the inherent waste of perfectly good houses boarded up for many months or years.November 1, 2008 at 9:26 PM #296377EconProfParticipantIf we all agree on a few preliminary assumptions:
That our goal should be to minimize the government’s costs, to hit the bottom of the market sooner rather than later, and to punish the irresponsible lenders, and…
That the government’s actions so far, and into the future, promise to be wasteful, reward the wrong people and lenders (such as by buying underwater mortgages at face value), and take too long, and…
That the possibility exists for the RE decline to feed upon itself, forcing the bottom to be below trend line or “fair value” historically and putting underwater many people who now have 10% to 30% equity in their homes, thus doubling or tripling the taxpayer’s costs, then
this approach merits a closer look.
It gets ahead of the curve (assuming it could be implemented quickly, which I think is its biggest problem), and at a lot lower costs. It only keeps the borrower in the house if they have the liklihood of paying the new, lower mortgage. Yeah, I’d also like to not reward those who can stay with a lower principal, but the current and future programs are going to shower the undeserving FBs with a lot more than this program would at much greater cost to us.
As to the “social costs”, I’m not including solely the disruption to the family that is forced to move, but the external costs imposed on the neighborhood, the erosion of the property tax base and resulting hikes in other taxes, the overshooting of the price decline, and the inherent waste of perfectly good houses boarded up for many months or years.November 2, 2008 at 1:13 AM #296873SD RealtorParticipantWith respect to minimizing governments costs, there can be no argument about selling on the open market being cheaper.
Let me ask you this, how can one actually determine the true market value without putting the home on the market itself? An appraisal is just that, only an appraisal. Thus it is quite intuitive to me that not putting the home on the open market is actually reducing the potential for profit.
Honestly it does not matter what the trend line is, or if there is an overshoot due to massive inventory. Rather, this is the expectation with a huge influx of inventory. However it is simply a matter of rolling the program out in stages to help reduce that issue. In fact inventory can actually be controlled down to a local market level if this is done correctly. Similarly with the rate of recidivism being what it is, the cost to keep a homeowner current, then do it again in 6 months or a year is not trivial. Moreover, you have not addressed all of the other defaults that most people who have fallen behind incur including county taxes, hoa, and/or mello roos. Again, it seems to me that the current homeowner being bailed out of these defaults in addition to the mortgage does not make sense. Once more, it seems obvious to me that the free market should be tested to see who the new owner should be.
As for the erosion of the property tax base, this is a huge problem. How can it be legal for someone to live in a home that has been revalued at a much lower price then the assessed value? Any astute homeowner will indeed be petitioning a lower tax based on the true value of the home. The government is paying the default AND accrued interest penalty to catch the buyer up as well right?
If the house is put on the free market and sold why would the house be boarded up for many months or years?
As for punishing irresponsible lenders… that is not my goal. I don’t care about irresponsible lenders. The government has already been abundantly clear that they are going to bail out lenders, not punish them. As for my approach, once the home is on the market and sold, the government is out of the picture. The buyer found a lender and bought the home at market rate with a TRUE MARKET determined mortgage, not some government subsidized rate.
November 2, 2008 at 1:13 AM #296854SD RealtorParticipantWith respect to minimizing governments costs, there can be no argument about selling on the open market being cheaper.
Let me ask you this, how can one actually determine the true market value without putting the home on the market itself? An appraisal is just that, only an appraisal. Thus it is quite intuitive to me that not putting the home on the open market is actually reducing the potential for profit.
Honestly it does not matter what the trend line is, or if there is an overshoot due to massive inventory. Rather, this is the expectation with a huge influx of inventory. However it is simply a matter of rolling the program out in stages to help reduce that issue. In fact inventory can actually be controlled down to a local market level if this is done correctly. Similarly with the rate of recidivism being what it is, the cost to keep a homeowner current, then do it again in 6 months or a year is not trivial. Moreover, you have not addressed all of the other defaults that most people who have fallen behind incur including county taxes, hoa, and/or mello roos. Again, it seems to me that the current homeowner being bailed out of these defaults in addition to the mortgage does not make sense. Once more, it seems obvious to me that the free market should be tested to see who the new owner should be.
As for the erosion of the property tax base, this is a huge problem. How can it be legal for someone to live in a home that has been revalued at a much lower price then the assessed value? Any astute homeowner will indeed be petitioning a lower tax based on the true value of the home. The government is paying the default AND accrued interest penalty to catch the buyer up as well right?
If the house is put on the free market and sold why would the house be boarded up for many months or years?
As for punishing irresponsible lenders… that is not my goal. I don’t care about irresponsible lenders. The government has already been abundantly clear that they are going to bail out lenders, not punish them. As for my approach, once the home is on the market and sold, the government is out of the picture. The buyer found a lender and bought the home at market rate with a TRUE MARKET determined mortgage, not some government subsidized rate.
November 2, 2008 at 1:13 AM #296885SD RealtorParticipantWith respect to minimizing governments costs, there can be no argument about selling on the open market being cheaper.
Let me ask you this, how can one actually determine the true market value without putting the home on the market itself? An appraisal is just that, only an appraisal. Thus it is quite intuitive to me that not putting the home on the open market is actually reducing the potential for profit.
Honestly it does not matter what the trend line is, or if there is an overshoot due to massive inventory. Rather, this is the expectation with a huge influx of inventory. However it is simply a matter of rolling the program out in stages to help reduce that issue. In fact inventory can actually be controlled down to a local market level if this is done correctly. Similarly with the rate of recidivism being what it is, the cost to keep a homeowner current, then do it again in 6 months or a year is not trivial. Moreover, you have not addressed all of the other defaults that most people who have fallen behind incur including county taxes, hoa, and/or mello roos. Again, it seems to me that the current homeowner being bailed out of these defaults in addition to the mortgage does not make sense. Once more, it seems obvious to me that the free market should be tested to see who the new owner should be.
As for the erosion of the property tax base, this is a huge problem. How can it be legal for someone to live in a home that has been revalued at a much lower price then the assessed value? Any astute homeowner will indeed be petitioning a lower tax based on the true value of the home. The government is paying the default AND accrued interest penalty to catch the buyer up as well right?
If the house is put on the free market and sold why would the house be boarded up for many months or years?
As for punishing irresponsible lenders… that is not my goal. I don’t care about irresponsible lenders. The government has already been abundantly clear that they are going to bail out lenders, not punish them. As for my approach, once the home is on the market and sold, the government is out of the picture. The buyer found a lender and bought the home at market rate with a TRUE MARKET determined mortgage, not some government subsidized rate.
November 2, 2008 at 1:13 AM #296928SD RealtorParticipantWith respect to minimizing governments costs, there can be no argument about selling on the open market being cheaper.
Let me ask you this, how can one actually determine the true market value without putting the home on the market itself? An appraisal is just that, only an appraisal. Thus it is quite intuitive to me that not putting the home on the open market is actually reducing the potential for profit.
Honestly it does not matter what the trend line is, or if there is an overshoot due to massive inventory. Rather, this is the expectation with a huge influx of inventory. However it is simply a matter of rolling the program out in stages to help reduce that issue. In fact inventory can actually be controlled down to a local market level if this is done correctly. Similarly with the rate of recidivism being what it is, the cost to keep a homeowner current, then do it again in 6 months or a year is not trivial. Moreover, you have not addressed all of the other defaults that most people who have fallen behind incur including county taxes, hoa, and/or mello roos. Again, it seems to me that the current homeowner being bailed out of these defaults in addition to the mortgage does not make sense. Once more, it seems obvious to me that the free market should be tested to see who the new owner should be.
As for the erosion of the property tax base, this is a huge problem. How can it be legal for someone to live in a home that has been revalued at a much lower price then the assessed value? Any astute homeowner will indeed be petitioning a lower tax based on the true value of the home. The government is paying the default AND accrued interest penalty to catch the buyer up as well right?
If the house is put on the free market and sold why would the house be boarded up for many months or years?
As for punishing irresponsible lenders… that is not my goal. I don’t care about irresponsible lenders. The government has already been abundantly clear that they are going to bail out lenders, not punish them. As for my approach, once the home is on the market and sold, the government is out of the picture. The buyer found a lender and bought the home at market rate with a TRUE MARKET determined mortgage, not some government subsidized rate.
November 2, 2008 at 1:13 AM #296511SD RealtorParticipantWith respect to minimizing governments costs, there can be no argument about selling on the open market being cheaper.
Let me ask you this, how can one actually determine the true market value without putting the home on the market itself? An appraisal is just that, only an appraisal. Thus it is quite intuitive to me that not putting the home on the open market is actually reducing the potential for profit.
Honestly it does not matter what the trend line is, or if there is an overshoot due to massive inventory. Rather, this is the expectation with a huge influx of inventory. However it is simply a matter of rolling the program out in stages to help reduce that issue. In fact inventory can actually be controlled down to a local market level if this is done correctly. Similarly with the rate of recidivism being what it is, the cost to keep a homeowner current, then do it again in 6 months or a year is not trivial. Moreover, you have not addressed all of the other defaults that most people who have fallen behind incur including county taxes, hoa, and/or mello roos. Again, it seems to me that the current homeowner being bailed out of these defaults in addition to the mortgage does not make sense. Once more, it seems obvious to me that the free market should be tested to see who the new owner should be.
As for the erosion of the property tax base, this is a huge problem. How can it be legal for someone to live in a home that has been revalued at a much lower price then the assessed value? Any astute homeowner will indeed be petitioning a lower tax based on the true value of the home. The government is paying the default AND accrued interest penalty to catch the buyer up as well right?
If the house is put on the free market and sold why would the house be boarded up for many months or years?
As for punishing irresponsible lenders… that is not my goal. I don’t care about irresponsible lenders. The government has already been abundantly clear that they are going to bail out lenders, not punish them. As for my approach, once the home is on the market and sold, the government is out of the picture. The buyer found a lender and bought the home at market rate with a TRUE MARKET determined mortgage, not some government subsidized rate.
November 2, 2008 at 2:41 AM #296874sbdParticipantThose who view the current problems with foreclosures and mortgage backed securities need to stop calling those in foreclosure idiots who bought houses they could not afford. There might be some in that category that as stated above would lose their house if they can’t afford the new payments.
The current financial crisis has many distinct problems that this plan can address efficiently.
For instance, homeowners who don’t have upside mortgages will not lose equity in their homes due to foreclosure sales below market value. So even if you are not in foreclosure the foreclosures in your neighborhood will affect your property value. No one is untouched by this crisis.
Let’s assume you did everything right and are living within your means. Your job requires you to move to another state recently. The value of your house however has decreased over 30% which basically forces you to chose between losing your job or losing lots of money on the sale.
This plan would take care of the upside mortgage problem for anyone who submits a request. This includes all those borrowers who are upside down on their mortgage whether in foreclosure or not.
Wall Street will also benefit from this plan because all of those risky loans held as securities would be paid off to the investors. Right now, they don’t even know what, if any return they might get from these Securities.
Under the plan,the refinanced mortgages could then be re bundled at their true value and sold to investors. This will also solve the liquidity issue as the funds will continue to flow through each of the processes.
November 2, 2008 at 2:41 AM #296892sbdParticipantThose who view the current problems with foreclosures and mortgage backed securities need to stop calling those in foreclosure idiots who bought houses they could not afford. There might be some in that category that as stated above would lose their house if they can’t afford the new payments.
The current financial crisis has many distinct problems that this plan can address efficiently.
For instance, homeowners who don’t have upside mortgages will not lose equity in their homes due to foreclosure sales below market value. So even if you are not in foreclosure the foreclosures in your neighborhood will affect your property value. No one is untouched by this crisis.
Let’s assume you did everything right and are living within your means. Your job requires you to move to another state recently. The value of your house however has decreased over 30% which basically forces you to chose between losing your job or losing lots of money on the sale.
This plan would take care of the upside mortgage problem for anyone who submits a request. This includes all those borrowers who are upside down on their mortgage whether in foreclosure or not.
Wall Street will also benefit from this plan because all of those risky loans held as securities would be paid off to the investors. Right now, they don’t even know what, if any return they might get from these Securities.
Under the plan,the refinanced mortgages could then be re bundled at their true value and sold to investors. This will also solve the liquidity issue as the funds will continue to flow through each of the processes.
November 2, 2008 at 2:41 AM #296905sbdParticipantThose who view the current problems with foreclosures and mortgage backed securities need to stop calling those in foreclosure idiots who bought houses they could not afford. There might be some in that category that as stated above would lose their house if they can’t afford the new payments.
The current financial crisis has many distinct problems that this plan can address efficiently.
For instance, homeowners who don’t have upside mortgages will not lose equity in their homes due to foreclosure sales below market value. So even if you are not in foreclosure the foreclosures in your neighborhood will affect your property value. No one is untouched by this crisis.
Let’s assume you did everything right and are living within your means. Your job requires you to move to another state recently. The value of your house however has decreased over 30% which basically forces you to chose between losing your job or losing lots of money on the sale.
This plan would take care of the upside mortgage problem for anyone who submits a request. This includes all those borrowers who are upside down on their mortgage whether in foreclosure or not.
Wall Street will also benefit from this plan because all of those risky loans held as securities would be paid off to the investors. Right now, they don’t even know what, if any return they might get from these Securities.
Under the plan,the refinanced mortgages could then be re bundled at their true value and sold to investors. This will also solve the liquidity issue as the funds will continue to flow through each of the processes.
November 2, 2008 at 2:41 AM #296531sbdParticipantThose who view the current problems with foreclosures and mortgage backed securities need to stop calling those in foreclosure idiots who bought houses they could not afford. There might be some in that category that as stated above would lose their house if they can’t afford the new payments.
The current financial crisis has many distinct problems that this plan can address efficiently.
For instance, homeowners who don’t have upside mortgages will not lose equity in their homes due to foreclosure sales below market value. So even if you are not in foreclosure the foreclosures in your neighborhood will affect your property value. No one is untouched by this crisis.
Let’s assume you did everything right and are living within your means. Your job requires you to move to another state recently. The value of your house however has decreased over 30% which basically forces you to chose between losing your job or losing lots of money on the sale.
This plan would take care of the upside mortgage problem for anyone who submits a request. This includes all those borrowers who are upside down on their mortgage whether in foreclosure or not.
Wall Street will also benefit from this plan because all of those risky loans held as securities would be paid off to the investors. Right now, they don’t even know what, if any return they might get from these Securities.
Under the plan,the refinanced mortgages could then be re bundled at their true value and sold to investors. This will also solve the liquidity issue as the funds will continue to flow through each of the processes.
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