Short term bonds

[Eugene]

[quote=threadkiller] I’m going to try short term bonds for a couple of months then probably get out right before the crash.[/quote]

What makes you think that there can be a crash? Short term bond yields are supposed to represent expectations of the average fed funds rate over the relevant time horizon. A crash would imply a major jump in rate expectations, which, to me, appear to be remarkably (almost unjustifiably) high as is.

[DataAgent]

[quote=threadkiller]then probably get out right before the crash.[/quote]

Sounds like a great strategy. When you see the crash coming, please let me know too.

[DataAgent]

[quote=threadkiller]then probably get out right before the crash.[/quote]

Sounds like a great strategy. When you see the crash coming, please let me know too.

[DataAgent]

[quote=threadkiller]then probably get out right before the crash.[/quote]

Sounds like a great strategy. When you see the crash coming, please let me know too.

[DataAgent]

[quote=threadkiller]then probably get out right before the crash.[/quote]

Sounds like a great strategy. When you see the crash coming, please let me know too.

[DataAgent]

[quote=threadkiller]then probably get out right before the crash.[/quote]

Sounds like a great strategy. When you see the crash coming, please let me know too.

[moneymaker]

With QE2, i.e., money printing, inflation will start overseas and wind up on our door step. With inflation people will be chasing higher yields, hence they will leave the short term bond market, happening already. What boggles me is that even when/if the fed raises rates,assuming the economy is in recovery mode(leap of faith there) more businesses will borrow, hence the need for bonds. Now even though this may play out, it seems to me that anyone entering the bond market too early will get stung, is this free market at it’s best. WHERE SOMEONE WITH FORESIGHT INTO A FUTURE NEED GETS PENALIZED.

[moneymaker]

With QE2, i.e., money printing, inflation will start overseas and wind up on our door step. With inflation people will be chasing higher yields, hence they will leave the short term bond market, happening already. What boggles me is that even when/if the fed raises rates,assuming the economy is in recovery mode(leap of faith there) more businesses will borrow, hence the need for bonds. Now even though this may play out, it seems to me that anyone entering the bond market too early will get stung, is this free market at it’s best. WHERE SOMEONE WITH FORESIGHT INTO A FUTURE NEED GETS PENALIZED.

[moneymaker]

With QE2, i.e., money printing, inflation will start overseas and wind up on our door step. With inflation people will be chasing higher yields, hence they will leave the short term bond market, happening already. What boggles me is that even when/if the fed raises rates,assuming the economy is in recovery mode(leap of faith there) more businesses will borrow, hence the need for bonds. Now even though this may play out, it seems to me that anyone entering the bond market too early will get stung, is this free market at it’s best. WHERE SOMEONE WITH FORESIGHT INTO A FUTURE NEED GETS PENALIZED.

[moneymaker]

With QE2, i.e., money printing, inflation will start overseas and wind up on our door step. With inflation people will be chasing higher yields, hence they will leave the short term bond market, happening already. What boggles me is that even when/if the fed raises rates,assuming the economy is in recovery mode(leap of faith there) more businesses will borrow, hence the need for bonds. Now even though this may play out, it seems to me that anyone entering the bond market too early will get stung, is this free market at it’s best. WHERE SOMEONE WITH FORESIGHT INTO A FUTURE NEED GETS PENALIZED.

[moneymaker]

With QE2, i.e., money printing, inflation will start overseas and wind up on our door step. With inflation people will be chasing higher yields, hence they will leave the short term bond market, happening already. What boggles me is that even when/if the fed raises rates,assuming the economy is in recovery mode(leap of faith there) more businesses will borrow, hence the need for bonds. Now even though this may play out, it seems to me that anyone entering the bond market too early will get stung, is this free market at it’s best. WHERE SOMEONE WITH FORESIGHT INTO A FUTURE NEED GETS PENALIZED.

[Coronita]

[quote=threadkiller] to me that anyone entering the bond market too early will get stung, is this free market at it’s best. WHERE SOMEONE WITH FORESIGHT INTO A FUTURE NEED GETS PENALIZED.[/quote]

Free market? Are you kidding?

[Coronita]

[quote=threadkiller] to me that anyone entering the bond market too early will get stung, is this free market at it’s best. WHERE SOMEONE WITH FORESIGHT INTO A FUTURE NEED GETS PENALIZED.[/quote]

Free market? Are you kidding?

[Coronita]

[quote=threadkiller] to me that anyone entering the bond market too early will get stung, is this free market at it’s best. WHERE SOMEONE WITH FORESIGHT INTO A FUTURE NEED GETS PENALIZED.[/quote]

Free market? Are you kidding?

[Coronita]

[quote=threadkiller] to me that anyone entering the bond market too early will get stung, is this free market at it’s best. WHERE SOMEONE WITH FORESIGHT INTO A FUTURE NEED GETS PENALIZED.[/quote]

Free market? Are you kidding?

[Author]

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