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HLS.
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December 10, 2008 at 12:38 PM #14603December 10, 2008 at 12:45 PM #313802
peterb
ParticipantRates should come down in a depression. I’m sticking to my 4.5% call. Maybe in a few more months?
December 10, 2008 at 12:45 PM #314160peterb
ParticipantRates should come down in a depression. I’m sticking to my 4.5% call. Maybe in a few more months?
December 10, 2008 at 12:45 PM #314191peterb
ParticipantRates should come down in a depression. I’m sticking to my 4.5% call. Maybe in a few more months?
December 10, 2008 at 12:45 PM #314214peterb
ParticipantRates should come down in a depression. I’m sticking to my 4.5% call. Maybe in a few more months?
December 10, 2008 at 12:45 PM #314283peterb
ParticipantRates should come down in a depression. I’m sticking to my 4.5% call. Maybe in a few more months?
December 10, 2008 at 2:22 PM #313826drunkle
Participantwhy would rates come down in a depression? ie., why would risk premiums go down in conditions of reduced employment, reduced economic activity, reduced stability and reduced investment activity?
December 10, 2008 at 2:22 PM #314185drunkle
Participantwhy would rates come down in a depression? ie., why would risk premiums go down in conditions of reduced employment, reduced economic activity, reduced stability and reduced investment activity?
December 10, 2008 at 2:22 PM #314216drunkle
Participantwhy would rates come down in a depression? ie., why would risk premiums go down in conditions of reduced employment, reduced economic activity, reduced stability and reduced investment activity?
December 10, 2008 at 2:22 PM #314238drunkle
Participantwhy would rates come down in a depression? ie., why would risk premiums go down in conditions of reduced employment, reduced economic activity, reduced stability and reduced investment activity?
December 10, 2008 at 2:22 PM #314308drunkle
Participantwhy would rates come down in a depression? ie., why would risk premiums go down in conditions of reduced employment, reduced economic activity, reduced stability and reduced investment activity?
December 10, 2008 at 3:05 PM #313831peterb
ParticipantThat was my initial reaction as well. But it’s more about supply/demand for the actual interest rate or cost of the money. As now the market has lower rates, but down payments have become important again as has strict documentation. Risk will be better mitigated through lower LTV’s and better documentation. I think we’re seeing this now and will see it more inthe future. I would not be surprised to see real CPI going negative in 2009. Check out ECRI’s website for more on this. So, in essence the old 6% is the new 4%. Economics takes on a different set of rules when inflation is now longer running the game.
December 10, 2008 at 3:05 PM #314190peterb
ParticipantThat was my initial reaction as well. But it’s more about supply/demand for the actual interest rate or cost of the money. As now the market has lower rates, but down payments have become important again as has strict documentation. Risk will be better mitigated through lower LTV’s and better documentation. I think we’re seeing this now and will see it more inthe future. I would not be surprised to see real CPI going negative in 2009. Check out ECRI’s website for more on this. So, in essence the old 6% is the new 4%. Economics takes on a different set of rules when inflation is now longer running the game.
December 10, 2008 at 3:05 PM #314221peterb
ParticipantThat was my initial reaction as well. But it’s more about supply/demand for the actual interest rate or cost of the money. As now the market has lower rates, but down payments have become important again as has strict documentation. Risk will be better mitigated through lower LTV’s and better documentation. I think we’re seeing this now and will see it more inthe future. I would not be surprised to see real CPI going negative in 2009. Check out ECRI’s website for more on this. So, in essence the old 6% is the new 4%. Economics takes on a different set of rules when inflation is now longer running the game.
December 10, 2008 at 3:05 PM #314244peterb
ParticipantThat was my initial reaction as well. But it’s more about supply/demand for the actual interest rate or cost of the money. As now the market has lower rates, but down payments have become important again as has strict documentation. Risk will be better mitigated through lower LTV’s and better documentation. I think we’re seeing this now and will see it more inthe future. I would not be surprised to see real CPI going negative in 2009. Check out ECRI’s website for more on this. So, in essence the old 6% is the new 4%. Economics takes on a different set of rules when inflation is now longer running the game.
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