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December 10, 2008 at 12:38 PM #14603December 10, 2008 at 12:45 PM #313802peterbParticipant
Rates should come down in a depression. I’m sticking to my 4.5% call. Maybe in a few more months?
December 10, 2008 at 12:45 PM #314160peterbParticipantRates should come down in a depression. I’m sticking to my 4.5% call. Maybe in a few more months?
December 10, 2008 at 12:45 PM #314191peterbParticipantRates should come down in a depression. I’m sticking to my 4.5% call. Maybe in a few more months?
December 10, 2008 at 12:45 PM #314214peterbParticipantRates should come down in a depression. I’m sticking to my 4.5% call. Maybe in a few more months?
December 10, 2008 at 12:45 PM #314283peterbParticipantRates should come down in a depression. I’m sticking to my 4.5% call. Maybe in a few more months?
December 10, 2008 at 2:22 PM #313826drunkleParticipantwhy would rates come down in a depression? ie., why would risk premiums go down in conditions of reduced employment, reduced economic activity, reduced stability and reduced investment activity?
December 10, 2008 at 2:22 PM #314185drunkleParticipantwhy would rates come down in a depression? ie., why would risk premiums go down in conditions of reduced employment, reduced economic activity, reduced stability and reduced investment activity?
December 10, 2008 at 2:22 PM #314216drunkleParticipantwhy would rates come down in a depression? ie., why would risk premiums go down in conditions of reduced employment, reduced economic activity, reduced stability and reduced investment activity?
December 10, 2008 at 2:22 PM #314238drunkleParticipantwhy would rates come down in a depression? ie., why would risk premiums go down in conditions of reduced employment, reduced economic activity, reduced stability and reduced investment activity?
December 10, 2008 at 2:22 PM #314308drunkleParticipantwhy would rates come down in a depression? ie., why would risk premiums go down in conditions of reduced employment, reduced economic activity, reduced stability and reduced investment activity?
December 10, 2008 at 3:05 PM #313831peterbParticipantThat was my initial reaction as well. But it’s more about supply/demand for the actual interest rate or cost of the money. As now the market has lower rates, but down payments have become important again as has strict documentation. Risk will be better mitigated through lower LTV’s and better documentation. I think we’re seeing this now and will see it more inthe future. I would not be surprised to see real CPI going negative in 2009. Check out ECRI’s website for more on this. So, in essence the old 6% is the new 4%. Economics takes on a different set of rules when inflation is now longer running the game.
December 10, 2008 at 3:05 PM #314190peterbParticipantThat was my initial reaction as well. But it’s more about supply/demand for the actual interest rate or cost of the money. As now the market has lower rates, but down payments have become important again as has strict documentation. Risk will be better mitigated through lower LTV’s and better documentation. I think we’re seeing this now and will see it more inthe future. I would not be surprised to see real CPI going negative in 2009. Check out ECRI’s website for more on this. So, in essence the old 6% is the new 4%. Economics takes on a different set of rules when inflation is now longer running the game.
December 10, 2008 at 3:05 PM #314221peterbParticipantThat was my initial reaction as well. But it’s more about supply/demand for the actual interest rate or cost of the money. As now the market has lower rates, but down payments have become important again as has strict documentation. Risk will be better mitigated through lower LTV’s and better documentation. I think we’re seeing this now and will see it more inthe future. I would not be surprised to see real CPI going negative in 2009. Check out ECRI’s website for more on this. So, in essence the old 6% is the new 4%. Economics takes on a different set of rules when inflation is now longer running the game.
December 10, 2008 at 3:05 PM #314244peterbParticipantThat was my initial reaction as well. But it’s more about supply/demand for the actual interest rate or cost of the money. As now the market has lower rates, but down payments have become important again as has strict documentation. Risk will be better mitigated through lower LTV’s and better documentation. I think we’re seeing this now and will see it more inthe future. I would not be surprised to see real CPI going negative in 2009. Check out ECRI’s website for more on this. So, in essence the old 6% is the new 4%. Economics takes on a different set of rules when inflation is now longer running the game.
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