- This topic has 90 replies, 7 voices, and was last updated 16 years, 2 months ago by sdrealtor.
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September 2, 2008 at 9:57 AM #265246September 2, 2008 at 11:01 AM #264990RenParticipant
It may be an overcorrection, taking into account inflation and the value of the dollar. Personally, I don’t see it as much of a stretch. It seems more likely (and more logical) to me that prices will follow past trends and current downward pressures than to only go down another 10% and level out, while every other market continues to tank. It’s never happened that way in the past, and I just don’t think the coast is that magical.
The changes in the U.S. dollar haven’t prevented prices from reaching 2000-2001 levels in other areas, and those areas are still dropping.
September 2, 2008 at 11:01 AM #265200RenParticipantIt may be an overcorrection, taking into account inflation and the value of the dollar. Personally, I don’t see it as much of a stretch. It seems more likely (and more logical) to me that prices will follow past trends and current downward pressures than to only go down another 10% and level out, while every other market continues to tank. It’s never happened that way in the past, and I just don’t think the coast is that magical.
The changes in the U.S. dollar haven’t prevented prices from reaching 2000-2001 levels in other areas, and those areas are still dropping.
September 2, 2008 at 11:01 AM #265204RenParticipantIt may be an overcorrection, taking into account inflation and the value of the dollar. Personally, I don’t see it as much of a stretch. It seems more likely (and more logical) to me that prices will follow past trends and current downward pressures than to only go down another 10% and level out, while every other market continues to tank. It’s never happened that way in the past, and I just don’t think the coast is that magical.
The changes in the U.S. dollar haven’t prevented prices from reaching 2000-2001 levels in other areas, and those areas are still dropping.
September 2, 2008 at 11:01 AM #265260RenParticipantIt may be an overcorrection, taking into account inflation and the value of the dollar. Personally, I don’t see it as much of a stretch. It seems more likely (and more logical) to me that prices will follow past trends and current downward pressures than to only go down another 10% and level out, while every other market continues to tank. It’s never happened that way in the past, and I just don’t think the coast is that magical.
The changes in the U.S. dollar haven’t prevented prices from reaching 2000-2001 levels in other areas, and those areas are still dropping.
September 2, 2008 at 11:01 AM #265298RenParticipantIt may be an overcorrection, taking into account inflation and the value of the dollar. Personally, I don’t see it as much of a stretch. It seems more likely (and more logical) to me that prices will follow past trends and current downward pressures than to only go down another 10% and level out, while every other market continues to tank. It’s never happened that way in the past, and I just don’t think the coast is that magical.
The changes in the U.S. dollar haven’t prevented prices from reaching 2000-2001 levels in other areas, and those areas are still dropping.
September 2, 2008 at 4:10 PM #265446patbParticipantCost per SF tends to drop as the fixed costs get spread over a larger
base, but, Price per SF tends to increase as more hiigher end
finish is applied.a small 1960’s house of 1200 SF, would have carpet or tile floors,
and plaster walls.a 2005 mcmansion will have spotted owl mosaic and giant crown molds.
at leas tthe corrleation is bigger house higer $/SF on price.
through about 1500 SF, then it starts to rise again on the small end.September 2, 2008 at 4:10 PM #265412patbParticipantCost per SF tends to drop as the fixed costs get spread over a larger
base, but, Price per SF tends to increase as more hiigher end
finish is applied.a small 1960’s house of 1200 SF, would have carpet or tile floors,
and plaster walls.a 2005 mcmansion will have spotted owl mosaic and giant crown molds.
at leas tthe corrleation is bigger house higer $/SF on price.
through about 1500 SF, then it starts to rise again on the small end.September 2, 2008 at 4:10 PM #265358patbParticipantCost per SF tends to drop as the fixed costs get spread over a larger
base, but, Price per SF tends to increase as more hiigher end
finish is applied.a small 1960’s house of 1200 SF, would have carpet or tile floors,
and plaster walls.a 2005 mcmansion will have spotted owl mosaic and giant crown molds.
at leas tthe corrleation is bigger house higer $/SF on price.
through about 1500 SF, then it starts to rise again on the small end.September 2, 2008 at 4:10 PM #265355patbParticipantCost per SF tends to drop as the fixed costs get spread over a larger
base, but, Price per SF tends to increase as more hiigher end
finish is applied.a small 1960’s house of 1200 SF, would have carpet or tile floors,
and plaster walls.a 2005 mcmansion will have spotted owl mosaic and giant crown molds.
at leas tthe corrleation is bigger house higer $/SF on price.
through about 1500 SF, then it starts to rise again on the small end.September 2, 2008 at 4:10 PM #265141patbParticipantCost per SF tends to drop as the fixed costs get spread over a larger
base, but, Price per SF tends to increase as more hiigher end
finish is applied.a small 1960’s house of 1200 SF, would have carpet or tile floors,
and plaster walls.a 2005 mcmansion will have spotted owl mosaic and giant crown molds.
at leas tthe corrleation is bigger house higer $/SF on price.
through about 1500 SF, then it starts to rise again on the small end.September 2, 2008 at 6:32 PM #265482sdrealtorParticipantRen
Trust me on this one. The houses selling at 900+ at the peak were sold for 400K NEW in the late 90’s. I dont discount you seeing sales histories with prices in the high 300’s to 400 but they were new and required significant improvements to get them livable unless you consider a dirt lot, builders grade carpet, flat white walls and no window coverings livable among other things.I just checked the MLS for 1999 closed sales to see what sold below 400K that could possibly have sold for 900+ at the peak. The only thing I found was a handful of new homes entered by the builders which arent really sub 400K homes because of what I have been trying to explain.
Enjoy sitting on the sidelines. With you expectations you will never get off them.
sdr
September 2, 2008 at 6:32 PM #265390sdrealtorParticipantRen
Trust me on this one. The houses selling at 900+ at the peak were sold for 400K NEW in the late 90’s. I dont discount you seeing sales histories with prices in the high 300’s to 400 but they were new and required significant improvements to get them livable unless you consider a dirt lot, builders grade carpet, flat white walls and no window coverings livable among other things.I just checked the MLS for 1999 closed sales to see what sold below 400K that could possibly have sold for 900+ at the peak. The only thing I found was a handful of new homes entered by the builders which arent really sub 400K homes because of what I have been trying to explain.
Enjoy sitting on the sidelines. With you expectations you will never get off them.
sdr
September 2, 2008 at 6:32 PM #265393sdrealtorParticipantRen
Trust me on this one. The houses selling at 900+ at the peak were sold for 400K NEW in the late 90’s. I dont discount you seeing sales histories with prices in the high 300’s to 400 but they were new and required significant improvements to get them livable unless you consider a dirt lot, builders grade carpet, flat white walls and no window coverings livable among other things.I just checked the MLS for 1999 closed sales to see what sold below 400K that could possibly have sold for 900+ at the peak. The only thing I found was a handful of new homes entered by the builders which arent really sub 400K homes because of what I have been trying to explain.
Enjoy sitting on the sidelines. With you expectations you will never get off them.
sdr
September 2, 2008 at 6:32 PM #265173sdrealtorParticipantRen
Trust me on this one. The houses selling at 900+ at the peak were sold for 400K NEW in the late 90’s. I dont discount you seeing sales histories with prices in the high 300’s to 400 but they were new and required significant improvements to get them livable unless you consider a dirt lot, builders grade carpet, flat white walls and no window coverings livable among other things.I just checked the MLS for 1999 closed sales to see what sold below 400K that could possibly have sold for 900+ at the peak. The only thing I found was a handful of new homes entered by the builders which arent really sub 400K homes because of what I have been trying to explain.
Enjoy sitting on the sidelines. With you expectations you will never get off them.
sdr
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