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March 16, 2011 at 7:13 AM #678555March 16, 2011 at 7:27 AM #677427ArrayaParticipant
From what I have read due to the reactor design an international radioactive release is very very low probability. From what some engineers and seismologists said this accident is not and TEPCO was warned. Ignored warnings can almost always be decoded to a cost-cutting decision.
For Japan, large-scale contamination is a different story. But, yeah, it’s not that it is worse then they are telling people, it’s that they are bargaining and in denial themselves.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Normalcy_bias
The normalcy bias refers to a mental state people enter when facing a disaster. It causes people to underestimate both the possibility of a disaster occurring and its possible effects. This often results in situations where people fail to adequately prepare for a disaster, and on a larger scale, the failure of the government to include the populace in its disaster preparations. The assumption that is made in the case of the normalcy bias is that since a disaster never has occurred that it never will occur. It also results in the inability of people to cope with a disaster once it occurs. People with a normalcy bias have difficulties reacting to something they have not experienced before. People also tend to interpret warnings in the most optimistic way possible, seizing on any ambiguities to infer a less serious situation.[1]
March 16, 2011 at 7:27 AM #677484ArrayaParticipantFrom what I have read due to the reactor design an international radioactive release is very very low probability. From what some engineers and seismologists said this accident is not and TEPCO was warned. Ignored warnings can almost always be decoded to a cost-cutting decision.
For Japan, large-scale contamination is a different story. But, yeah, it’s not that it is worse then they are telling people, it’s that they are bargaining and in denial themselves.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Normalcy_bias
The normalcy bias refers to a mental state people enter when facing a disaster. It causes people to underestimate both the possibility of a disaster occurring and its possible effects. This often results in situations where people fail to adequately prepare for a disaster, and on a larger scale, the failure of the government to include the populace in its disaster preparations. The assumption that is made in the case of the normalcy bias is that since a disaster never has occurred that it never will occur. It also results in the inability of people to cope with a disaster once it occurs. People with a normalcy bias have difficulties reacting to something they have not experienced before. People also tend to interpret warnings in the most optimistic way possible, seizing on any ambiguities to infer a less serious situation.[1]
March 16, 2011 at 7:27 AM #678091ArrayaParticipantFrom what I have read due to the reactor design an international radioactive release is very very low probability. From what some engineers and seismologists said this accident is not and TEPCO was warned. Ignored warnings can almost always be decoded to a cost-cutting decision.
For Japan, large-scale contamination is a different story. But, yeah, it’s not that it is worse then they are telling people, it’s that they are bargaining and in denial themselves.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Normalcy_bias
The normalcy bias refers to a mental state people enter when facing a disaster. It causes people to underestimate both the possibility of a disaster occurring and its possible effects. This often results in situations where people fail to adequately prepare for a disaster, and on a larger scale, the failure of the government to include the populace in its disaster preparations. The assumption that is made in the case of the normalcy bias is that since a disaster never has occurred that it never will occur. It also results in the inability of people to cope with a disaster once it occurs. People with a normalcy bias have difficulties reacting to something they have not experienced before. People also tend to interpret warnings in the most optimistic way possible, seizing on any ambiguities to infer a less serious situation.[1]
March 16, 2011 at 7:27 AM #678225ArrayaParticipantFrom what I have read due to the reactor design an international radioactive release is very very low probability. From what some engineers and seismologists said this accident is not and TEPCO was warned. Ignored warnings can almost always be decoded to a cost-cutting decision.
For Japan, large-scale contamination is a different story. But, yeah, it’s not that it is worse then they are telling people, it’s that they are bargaining and in denial themselves.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Normalcy_bias
The normalcy bias refers to a mental state people enter when facing a disaster. It causes people to underestimate both the possibility of a disaster occurring and its possible effects. This often results in situations where people fail to adequately prepare for a disaster, and on a larger scale, the failure of the government to include the populace in its disaster preparations. The assumption that is made in the case of the normalcy bias is that since a disaster never has occurred that it never will occur. It also results in the inability of people to cope with a disaster once it occurs. People with a normalcy bias have difficulties reacting to something they have not experienced before. People also tend to interpret warnings in the most optimistic way possible, seizing on any ambiguities to infer a less serious situation.[1]
March 16, 2011 at 7:27 AM #678565ArrayaParticipantFrom what I have read due to the reactor design an international radioactive release is very very low probability. From what some engineers and seismologists said this accident is not and TEPCO was warned. Ignored warnings can almost always be decoded to a cost-cutting decision.
For Japan, large-scale contamination is a different story. But, yeah, it’s not that it is worse then they are telling people, it’s that they are bargaining and in denial themselves.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Normalcy_bias
The normalcy bias refers to a mental state people enter when facing a disaster. It causes people to underestimate both the possibility of a disaster occurring and its possible effects. This often results in situations where people fail to adequately prepare for a disaster, and on a larger scale, the failure of the government to include the populace in its disaster preparations. The assumption that is made in the case of the normalcy bias is that since a disaster never has occurred that it never will occur. It also results in the inability of people to cope with a disaster once it occurs. People with a normalcy bias have difficulties reacting to something they have not experienced before. People also tend to interpret warnings in the most optimistic way possible, seizing on any ambiguities to infer a less serious situation.[1]
March 16, 2011 at 7:34 AM #677432ILoveRegulationParticipant[quote=Arraya]From what I have read due to the reactor design an international radioactive release is very very low probability. [/quote]
I’m not so sure about that. There is a lot of spent fuel on site that needs a continuous supply of water to keep cool. Radiation around the site is getting so high that all the workers were forced to evacuate. If they can’t figure out a way to keep the spent fuel cool, then there probably won’t be an explosion, but it could all melt over the course of many months with the radiation contaminating an ever wider area.
From what I’ve read, I get the sense that this has the potential to be worse than Chernobyl due to the large amount of spent fuel.
March 16, 2011 at 7:34 AM #677489ILoveRegulationParticipant[quote=Arraya]From what I have read due to the reactor design an international radioactive release is very very low probability. [/quote]
I’m not so sure about that. There is a lot of spent fuel on site that needs a continuous supply of water to keep cool. Radiation around the site is getting so high that all the workers were forced to evacuate. If they can’t figure out a way to keep the spent fuel cool, then there probably won’t be an explosion, but it could all melt over the course of many months with the radiation contaminating an ever wider area.
From what I’ve read, I get the sense that this has the potential to be worse than Chernobyl due to the large amount of spent fuel.
March 16, 2011 at 7:34 AM #678095ILoveRegulationParticipant[quote=Arraya]From what I have read due to the reactor design an international radioactive release is very very low probability. [/quote]
I’m not so sure about that. There is a lot of spent fuel on site that needs a continuous supply of water to keep cool. Radiation around the site is getting so high that all the workers were forced to evacuate. If they can’t figure out a way to keep the spent fuel cool, then there probably won’t be an explosion, but it could all melt over the course of many months with the radiation contaminating an ever wider area.
From what I’ve read, I get the sense that this has the potential to be worse than Chernobyl due to the large amount of spent fuel.
March 16, 2011 at 7:34 AM #678230ILoveRegulationParticipant[quote=Arraya]From what I have read due to the reactor design an international radioactive release is very very low probability. [/quote]
I’m not so sure about that. There is a lot of spent fuel on site that needs a continuous supply of water to keep cool. Radiation around the site is getting so high that all the workers were forced to evacuate. If they can’t figure out a way to keep the spent fuel cool, then there probably won’t be an explosion, but it could all melt over the course of many months with the radiation contaminating an ever wider area.
From what I’ve read, I get the sense that this has the potential to be worse than Chernobyl due to the large amount of spent fuel.
March 16, 2011 at 7:34 AM #678570ILoveRegulationParticipant[quote=Arraya]From what I have read due to the reactor design an international radioactive release is very very low probability. [/quote]
I’m not so sure about that. There is a lot of spent fuel on site that needs a continuous supply of water to keep cool. Radiation around the site is getting so high that all the workers were forced to evacuate. If they can’t figure out a way to keep the spent fuel cool, then there probably won’t be an explosion, but it could all melt over the course of many months with the radiation contaminating an ever wider area.
From what I’ve read, I get the sense that this has the potential to be worse than Chernobyl due to the large amount of spent fuel.
March 16, 2011 at 7:55 AM #677442ArrayaParticipant[quote=ILoveRegulation][quote=Arraya]From what I have read due to the reactor design an international radioactive release is very very low probability. [/quote]
I’m not so sure about that. There is a lot of spent fuel on site that needs a continuous supply of water to keep cool. Radiation around the site is getting so high that all the workers were forced to evacuate. If they can’t figure out a way to keep the spent fuel cool, then there probably won’t be an explosion, but it could all melt over the course of many months with the radiation contaminating an ever wider area.
From what I’ve read, I get the sense that this has the potential to be worse than Chernobyl due to the large amount of spent fuel.[/quote]
Sure lots of spent fuel but it needs a dissipation mechanism. Chernobyl had a large nuclear explosion. Which is not likely due to design. A complete meltdown at these reactors would not cause the kind of explosion. This is not to say the local contamination can’t be severe. But you need a mechanism to eject it. I suppose a combination of the proper wind flows and a monster fire could do some damage but we are getting into the less and less probable.
Heck, when Chernobyl blew radiation alarms in Sweden were going off, almost immediately
March 16, 2011 at 7:55 AM #677499ArrayaParticipant[quote=ILoveRegulation][quote=Arraya]From what I have read due to the reactor design an international radioactive release is very very low probability. [/quote]
I’m not so sure about that. There is a lot of spent fuel on site that needs a continuous supply of water to keep cool. Radiation around the site is getting so high that all the workers were forced to evacuate. If they can’t figure out a way to keep the spent fuel cool, then there probably won’t be an explosion, but it could all melt over the course of many months with the radiation contaminating an ever wider area.
From what I’ve read, I get the sense that this has the potential to be worse than Chernobyl due to the large amount of spent fuel.[/quote]
Sure lots of spent fuel but it needs a dissipation mechanism. Chernobyl had a large nuclear explosion. Which is not likely due to design. A complete meltdown at these reactors would not cause the kind of explosion. This is not to say the local contamination can’t be severe. But you need a mechanism to eject it. I suppose a combination of the proper wind flows and a monster fire could do some damage but we are getting into the less and less probable.
Heck, when Chernobyl blew radiation alarms in Sweden were going off, almost immediately
March 16, 2011 at 7:55 AM #678105ArrayaParticipant[quote=ILoveRegulation][quote=Arraya]From what I have read due to the reactor design an international radioactive release is very very low probability. [/quote]
I’m not so sure about that. There is a lot of spent fuel on site that needs a continuous supply of water to keep cool. Radiation around the site is getting so high that all the workers were forced to evacuate. If they can’t figure out a way to keep the spent fuel cool, then there probably won’t be an explosion, but it could all melt over the course of many months with the radiation contaminating an ever wider area.
From what I’ve read, I get the sense that this has the potential to be worse than Chernobyl due to the large amount of spent fuel.[/quote]
Sure lots of spent fuel but it needs a dissipation mechanism. Chernobyl had a large nuclear explosion. Which is not likely due to design. A complete meltdown at these reactors would not cause the kind of explosion. This is not to say the local contamination can’t be severe. But you need a mechanism to eject it. I suppose a combination of the proper wind flows and a monster fire could do some damage but we are getting into the less and less probable.
Heck, when Chernobyl blew radiation alarms in Sweden were going off, almost immediately
March 16, 2011 at 7:55 AM #678240ArrayaParticipant[quote=ILoveRegulation][quote=Arraya]From what I have read due to the reactor design an international radioactive release is very very low probability. [/quote]
I’m not so sure about that. There is a lot of spent fuel on site that needs a continuous supply of water to keep cool. Radiation around the site is getting so high that all the workers were forced to evacuate. If they can’t figure out a way to keep the spent fuel cool, then there probably won’t be an explosion, but it could all melt over the course of many months with the radiation contaminating an ever wider area.
From what I’ve read, I get the sense that this has the potential to be worse than Chernobyl due to the large amount of spent fuel.[/quote]
Sure lots of spent fuel but it needs a dissipation mechanism. Chernobyl had a large nuclear explosion. Which is not likely due to design. A complete meltdown at these reactors would not cause the kind of explosion. This is not to say the local contamination can’t be severe. But you need a mechanism to eject it. I suppose a combination of the proper wind flows and a monster fire could do some damage but we are getting into the less and less probable.
Heck, when Chernobyl blew radiation alarms in Sweden were going off, almost immediately
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