- This topic has 420 replies, 24 voices, and was last updated 14 years, 11 months ago by urbanrealtor.
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November 26, 2009 at 11:39 AM #488007November 27, 2009 at 1:02 AM #487272CA renterParticipant
[quote=Russell]Adam, Congrats on the merchandizing success so far. Makes me wonder if this activity causes some of your concern about loan mods being a “material fact”. Are you worried that somehow one will cause some sort of hit to you or perhaps cause problems somewhere else in the business, an escrow on a regular sale or something? I am just trying to understand how a market participant is supposed to be hurt by it, other than the fact that mods may affect inventory stream? As you have said, that matters a lot to you now.
You or one of your partners must be working closely with a title company and/or you are pouring over stuff at the county recorder’s office. Wouldn’t these things expose what is happening with recordings related to documentation of loan mods?[/quote]
Russell,
If you agree that “sold” comps are meaningful to current/future buyers, then it’s only reasonable that principal reductions be recorded and used as comps as well.
Why? Because loan mods with principal reductions are de facto sales to the current “owner” **at a new price,** and should be used as current comps.
November 27, 2009 at 1:02 AM #487439CA renterParticipant[quote=Russell]Adam, Congrats on the merchandizing success so far. Makes me wonder if this activity causes some of your concern about loan mods being a “material fact”. Are you worried that somehow one will cause some sort of hit to you or perhaps cause problems somewhere else in the business, an escrow on a regular sale or something? I am just trying to understand how a market participant is supposed to be hurt by it, other than the fact that mods may affect inventory stream? As you have said, that matters a lot to you now.
You or one of your partners must be working closely with a title company and/or you are pouring over stuff at the county recorder’s office. Wouldn’t these things expose what is happening with recordings related to documentation of loan mods?[/quote]
Russell,
If you agree that “sold” comps are meaningful to current/future buyers, then it’s only reasonable that principal reductions be recorded and used as comps as well.
Why? Because loan mods with principal reductions are de facto sales to the current “owner” **at a new price,** and should be used as current comps.
November 27, 2009 at 1:02 AM #487820CA renterParticipant[quote=Russell]Adam, Congrats on the merchandizing success so far. Makes me wonder if this activity causes some of your concern about loan mods being a “material fact”. Are you worried that somehow one will cause some sort of hit to you or perhaps cause problems somewhere else in the business, an escrow on a regular sale or something? I am just trying to understand how a market participant is supposed to be hurt by it, other than the fact that mods may affect inventory stream? As you have said, that matters a lot to you now.
You or one of your partners must be working closely with a title company and/or you are pouring over stuff at the county recorder’s office. Wouldn’t these things expose what is happening with recordings related to documentation of loan mods?[/quote]
Russell,
If you agree that “sold” comps are meaningful to current/future buyers, then it’s only reasonable that principal reductions be recorded and used as comps as well.
Why? Because loan mods with principal reductions are de facto sales to the current “owner” **at a new price,** and should be used as current comps.
November 27, 2009 at 1:02 AM #487906CA renterParticipant[quote=Russell]Adam, Congrats on the merchandizing success so far. Makes me wonder if this activity causes some of your concern about loan mods being a “material fact”. Are you worried that somehow one will cause some sort of hit to you or perhaps cause problems somewhere else in the business, an escrow on a regular sale or something? I am just trying to understand how a market participant is supposed to be hurt by it, other than the fact that mods may affect inventory stream? As you have said, that matters a lot to you now.
You or one of your partners must be working closely with a title company and/or you are pouring over stuff at the county recorder’s office. Wouldn’t these things expose what is happening with recordings related to documentation of loan mods?[/quote]
Russell,
If you agree that “sold” comps are meaningful to current/future buyers, then it’s only reasonable that principal reductions be recorded and used as comps as well.
Why? Because loan mods with principal reductions are de facto sales to the current “owner” **at a new price,** and should be used as current comps.
November 27, 2009 at 1:02 AM #488135CA renterParticipant[quote=Russell]Adam, Congrats on the merchandizing success so far. Makes me wonder if this activity causes some of your concern about loan mods being a “material fact”. Are you worried that somehow one will cause some sort of hit to you or perhaps cause problems somewhere else in the business, an escrow on a regular sale or something? I am just trying to understand how a market participant is supposed to be hurt by it, other than the fact that mods may affect inventory stream? As you have said, that matters a lot to you now.
You or one of your partners must be working closely with a title company and/or you are pouring over stuff at the county recorder’s office. Wouldn’t these things expose what is happening with recordings related to documentation of loan mods?[/quote]
Russell,
If you agree that “sold” comps are meaningful to current/future buyers, then it’s only reasonable that principal reductions be recorded and used as comps as well.
Why? Because loan mods with principal reductions are de facto sales to the current “owner” **at a new price,** and should be used as current comps.
November 27, 2009 at 1:13 AM #487282urbanrealtorParticipant[quote=CA renter]
Russell,
If you agree that “sold” comps are meaningful to current/future buyers, then it’s only reasonable that principal reductions be recorded and used as comps as well.
Why? Because loan mods with principal reductions are de facto sales to the current “owner” **at a new price,** and should be used as current comps.[/quote]
No.
There are 2 problems with your argument:1:Modifications are not de facto sales.
What a borrower or a bank is willing to agree to as a temporary (or even permanent) stopgap measure is really pretty different than what a buyer would be willing to pay to purchase.
If I am 100k upside down, I will likely be willing to modify my principal to make me less upside down (say 30k).
However, I would never agree to buy something for 30k over market.2:Modifications can’t currently be used as market information.
A mod is a change to a private contract.
This is not the same as an observable public sale.
There is no common database and the mods are not kept on any public or widely accessible private record system.So to reiterate, they aren’t what you say they are and even if they were, you can’t use them in any reliable way.
November 27, 2009 at 1:13 AM #487449urbanrealtorParticipant[quote=CA renter]
Russell,
If you agree that “sold” comps are meaningful to current/future buyers, then it’s only reasonable that principal reductions be recorded and used as comps as well.
Why? Because loan mods with principal reductions are de facto sales to the current “owner” **at a new price,** and should be used as current comps.[/quote]
No.
There are 2 problems with your argument:1:Modifications are not de facto sales.
What a borrower or a bank is willing to agree to as a temporary (or even permanent) stopgap measure is really pretty different than what a buyer would be willing to pay to purchase.
If I am 100k upside down, I will likely be willing to modify my principal to make me less upside down (say 30k).
However, I would never agree to buy something for 30k over market.2:Modifications can’t currently be used as market information.
A mod is a change to a private contract.
This is not the same as an observable public sale.
There is no common database and the mods are not kept on any public or widely accessible private record system.So to reiterate, they aren’t what you say they are and even if they were, you can’t use them in any reliable way.
November 27, 2009 at 1:13 AM #487830urbanrealtorParticipant[quote=CA renter]
Russell,
If you agree that “sold” comps are meaningful to current/future buyers, then it’s only reasonable that principal reductions be recorded and used as comps as well.
Why? Because loan mods with principal reductions are de facto sales to the current “owner” **at a new price,** and should be used as current comps.[/quote]
No.
There are 2 problems with your argument:1:Modifications are not de facto sales.
What a borrower or a bank is willing to agree to as a temporary (or even permanent) stopgap measure is really pretty different than what a buyer would be willing to pay to purchase.
If I am 100k upside down, I will likely be willing to modify my principal to make me less upside down (say 30k).
However, I would never agree to buy something for 30k over market.2:Modifications can’t currently be used as market information.
A mod is a change to a private contract.
This is not the same as an observable public sale.
There is no common database and the mods are not kept on any public or widely accessible private record system.So to reiterate, they aren’t what you say they are and even if they were, you can’t use them in any reliable way.
November 27, 2009 at 1:13 AM #487916urbanrealtorParticipant[quote=CA renter]
Russell,
If you agree that “sold” comps are meaningful to current/future buyers, then it’s only reasonable that principal reductions be recorded and used as comps as well.
Why? Because loan mods with principal reductions are de facto sales to the current “owner” **at a new price,** and should be used as current comps.[/quote]
No.
There are 2 problems with your argument:1:Modifications are not de facto sales.
What a borrower or a bank is willing to agree to as a temporary (or even permanent) stopgap measure is really pretty different than what a buyer would be willing to pay to purchase.
If I am 100k upside down, I will likely be willing to modify my principal to make me less upside down (say 30k).
However, I would never agree to buy something for 30k over market.2:Modifications can’t currently be used as market information.
A mod is a change to a private contract.
This is not the same as an observable public sale.
There is no common database and the mods are not kept on any public or widely accessible private record system.So to reiterate, they aren’t what you say they are and even if they were, you can’t use them in any reliable way.
November 27, 2009 at 1:13 AM #488145urbanrealtorParticipant[quote=CA renter]
Russell,
If you agree that “sold” comps are meaningful to current/future buyers, then it’s only reasonable that principal reductions be recorded and used as comps as well.
Why? Because loan mods with principal reductions are de facto sales to the current “owner” **at a new price,** and should be used as current comps.[/quote]
No.
There are 2 problems with your argument:1:Modifications are not de facto sales.
What a borrower or a bank is willing to agree to as a temporary (or even permanent) stopgap measure is really pretty different than what a buyer would be willing to pay to purchase.
If I am 100k upside down, I will likely be willing to modify my principal to make me less upside down (say 30k).
However, I would never agree to buy something for 30k over market.2:Modifications can’t currently be used as market information.
A mod is a change to a private contract.
This is not the same as an observable public sale.
There is no common database and the mods are not kept on any public or widely accessible private record system.So to reiterate, they aren’t what you say they are and even if they were, you can’t use them in any reliable way.
November 27, 2009 at 11:53 PM #487500CA renterParticipant[quote=urbanrealtor][quote=CA renter]
Russell,
If you agree that “sold” comps are meaningful to current/future buyers, then it’s only reasonable that principal reductions be recorded and used as comps as well.
Why? Because loan mods with principal reductions are de facto sales to the current “owner” **at a new price,** and should be used as current comps.[/quote]
No.
There are 2 problems with your argument:1:Modifications are not de facto sales.
What a borrower or a bank is willing to agree to as a temporary (or even permanent) stopgap measure is really pretty different than what a buyer would be willing to pay to purchase.
If I am 100k upside down, I will likely be willing to modify my principal to make me less upside down (say 30k).
However, I would never agree to buy something for 30k over market.2:Modifications can’t currently be used as market information.
A mod is a change to a private contract.
This is not the same as an observable public sale.
There is no common database and the mods are not kept on any public or widely accessible private record system.So to reiterate, they aren’t what you say they are and even if they were, you can’t use them in any reliable way.[/quote]
We’ll just have to agree to disagree on this one. IMHO, a permanent principal reduction is a new sale to the current borrower. The price he’s paying for the house is completely different from what he initially agreed to — and completely different from what’s been publicly recorded.
If you were going to buy in a neighborhood where all the sales this year were for $600K, wouldn’t you want to know if those borrowers were literally willing and able to pay those prices? How would you feel if you paid $600K, then found out that all your neighbors who paid $600K had their balances permanently reduced to $350K? Still think that’s not a material fact? I do.
November 27, 2009 at 11:53 PM #487665CA renterParticipant[quote=urbanrealtor][quote=CA renter]
Russell,
If you agree that “sold” comps are meaningful to current/future buyers, then it’s only reasonable that principal reductions be recorded and used as comps as well.
Why? Because loan mods with principal reductions are de facto sales to the current “owner” **at a new price,** and should be used as current comps.[/quote]
No.
There are 2 problems with your argument:1:Modifications are not de facto sales.
What a borrower or a bank is willing to agree to as a temporary (or even permanent) stopgap measure is really pretty different than what a buyer would be willing to pay to purchase.
If I am 100k upside down, I will likely be willing to modify my principal to make me less upside down (say 30k).
However, I would never agree to buy something for 30k over market.2:Modifications can’t currently be used as market information.
A mod is a change to a private contract.
This is not the same as an observable public sale.
There is no common database and the mods are not kept on any public or widely accessible private record system.So to reiterate, they aren’t what you say they are and even if they were, you can’t use them in any reliable way.[/quote]
We’ll just have to agree to disagree on this one. IMHO, a permanent principal reduction is a new sale to the current borrower. The price he’s paying for the house is completely different from what he initially agreed to — and completely different from what’s been publicly recorded.
If you were going to buy in a neighborhood where all the sales this year were for $600K, wouldn’t you want to know if those borrowers were literally willing and able to pay those prices? How would you feel if you paid $600K, then found out that all your neighbors who paid $600K had their balances permanently reduced to $350K? Still think that’s not a material fact? I do.
November 27, 2009 at 11:53 PM #488048CA renterParticipant[quote=urbanrealtor][quote=CA renter]
Russell,
If you agree that “sold” comps are meaningful to current/future buyers, then it’s only reasonable that principal reductions be recorded and used as comps as well.
Why? Because loan mods with principal reductions are de facto sales to the current “owner” **at a new price,** and should be used as current comps.[/quote]
No.
There are 2 problems with your argument:1:Modifications are not de facto sales.
What a borrower or a bank is willing to agree to as a temporary (or even permanent) stopgap measure is really pretty different than what a buyer would be willing to pay to purchase.
If I am 100k upside down, I will likely be willing to modify my principal to make me less upside down (say 30k).
However, I would never agree to buy something for 30k over market.2:Modifications can’t currently be used as market information.
A mod is a change to a private contract.
This is not the same as an observable public sale.
There is no common database and the mods are not kept on any public or widely accessible private record system.So to reiterate, they aren’t what you say they are and even if they were, you can’t use them in any reliable way.[/quote]
We’ll just have to agree to disagree on this one. IMHO, a permanent principal reduction is a new sale to the current borrower. The price he’s paying for the house is completely different from what he initially agreed to — and completely different from what’s been publicly recorded.
If you were going to buy in a neighborhood where all the sales this year were for $600K, wouldn’t you want to know if those borrowers were literally willing and able to pay those prices? How would you feel if you paid $600K, then found out that all your neighbors who paid $600K had their balances permanently reduced to $350K? Still think that’s not a material fact? I do.
November 27, 2009 at 11:53 PM #488134CA renterParticipant[quote=urbanrealtor][quote=CA renter]
Russell,
If you agree that “sold” comps are meaningful to current/future buyers, then it’s only reasonable that principal reductions be recorded and used as comps as well.
Why? Because loan mods with principal reductions are de facto sales to the current “owner” **at a new price,** and should be used as current comps.[/quote]
No.
There are 2 problems with your argument:1:Modifications are not de facto sales.
What a borrower or a bank is willing to agree to as a temporary (or even permanent) stopgap measure is really pretty different than what a buyer would be willing to pay to purchase.
If I am 100k upside down, I will likely be willing to modify my principal to make me less upside down (say 30k).
However, I would never agree to buy something for 30k over market.2:Modifications can’t currently be used as market information.
A mod is a change to a private contract.
This is not the same as an observable public sale.
There is no common database and the mods are not kept on any public or widely accessible private record system.So to reiterate, they aren’t what you say they are and even if they were, you can’t use them in any reliable way.[/quote]
We’ll just have to agree to disagree on this one. IMHO, a permanent principal reduction is a new sale to the current borrower. The price he’s paying for the house is completely different from what he initially agreed to — and completely different from what’s been publicly recorded.
If you were going to buy in a neighborhood where all the sales this year were for $600K, wouldn’t you want to know if those borrowers were literally willing and able to pay those prices? How would you feel if you paid $600K, then found out that all your neighbors who paid $600K had their balances permanently reduced to $350K? Still think that’s not a material fact? I do.
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