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October 26, 2009 at 12:46 AM #474377October 26, 2009 at 9:59 AM #473600briansd1Guest
[quote=Russell]
I have to admit, I am pretty interested in how the “recycling” takes place with some of the holdouts.[/quote]Some peak buyers will deny having made a purchasing mistake until the end. They will give up moving up because of their own pride.
Some peak buyers will see their neighbors get the benefit of foreclosure and loan modifications and they’ll join the party.
Some peak buyers will join the party too late and they’ll only get the left-overs, or nothing.
Some peaks buyers will have to sell for organic reasons (job loss, divorce, illness, etc…). They will get dragged to the party willing or not.
I’m betting that 20 years from the peak, you’ll see few houses purchased at the bubble peak that are still owned by the peak buyers. Proportional to other periods, the turnover of peak properties will be much higher, in my estimation.
That would be a great research study for a real estate/economics graduate student. He can pour over all the county data and write his paper. Some students will get PhDs writing about the “recycling” process.
October 26, 2009 at 9:59 AM #473777briansd1Guest[quote=Russell]
I have to admit, I am pretty interested in how the “recycling” takes place with some of the holdouts.[/quote]Some peak buyers will deny having made a purchasing mistake until the end. They will give up moving up because of their own pride.
Some peak buyers will see their neighbors get the benefit of foreclosure and loan modifications and they’ll join the party.
Some peak buyers will join the party too late and they’ll only get the left-overs, or nothing.
Some peaks buyers will have to sell for organic reasons (job loss, divorce, illness, etc…). They will get dragged to the party willing or not.
I’m betting that 20 years from the peak, you’ll see few houses purchased at the bubble peak that are still owned by the peak buyers. Proportional to other periods, the turnover of peak properties will be much higher, in my estimation.
That would be a great research study for a real estate/economics graduate student. He can pour over all the county data and write his paper. Some students will get PhDs writing about the “recycling” process.
October 26, 2009 at 9:59 AM #474141briansd1Guest[quote=Russell]
I have to admit, I am pretty interested in how the “recycling” takes place with some of the holdouts.[/quote]Some peak buyers will deny having made a purchasing mistake until the end. They will give up moving up because of their own pride.
Some peak buyers will see their neighbors get the benefit of foreclosure and loan modifications and they’ll join the party.
Some peak buyers will join the party too late and they’ll only get the left-overs, or nothing.
Some peaks buyers will have to sell for organic reasons (job loss, divorce, illness, etc…). They will get dragged to the party willing or not.
I’m betting that 20 years from the peak, you’ll see few houses purchased at the bubble peak that are still owned by the peak buyers. Proportional to other periods, the turnover of peak properties will be much higher, in my estimation.
That would be a great research study for a real estate/economics graduate student. He can pour over all the county data and write his paper. Some students will get PhDs writing about the “recycling” process.
October 26, 2009 at 9:59 AM #474218briansd1Guest[quote=Russell]
I have to admit, I am pretty interested in how the “recycling” takes place with some of the holdouts.[/quote]Some peak buyers will deny having made a purchasing mistake until the end. They will give up moving up because of their own pride.
Some peak buyers will see their neighbors get the benefit of foreclosure and loan modifications and they’ll join the party.
Some peak buyers will join the party too late and they’ll only get the left-overs, or nothing.
Some peaks buyers will have to sell for organic reasons (job loss, divorce, illness, etc…). They will get dragged to the party willing or not.
I’m betting that 20 years from the peak, you’ll see few houses purchased at the bubble peak that are still owned by the peak buyers. Proportional to other periods, the turnover of peak properties will be much higher, in my estimation.
That would be a great research study for a real estate/economics graduate student. He can pour over all the county data and write his paper. Some students will get PhDs writing about the “recycling” process.
October 26, 2009 at 9:59 AM #474442briansd1Guest[quote=Russell]
I have to admit, I am pretty interested in how the “recycling” takes place with some of the holdouts.[/quote]Some peak buyers will deny having made a purchasing mistake until the end. They will give up moving up because of their own pride.
Some peak buyers will see their neighbors get the benefit of foreclosure and loan modifications and they’ll join the party.
Some peak buyers will join the party too late and they’ll only get the left-overs, or nothing.
Some peaks buyers will have to sell for organic reasons (job loss, divorce, illness, etc…). They will get dragged to the party willing or not.
I’m betting that 20 years from the peak, you’ll see few houses purchased at the bubble peak that are still owned by the peak buyers. Proportional to other periods, the turnover of peak properties will be much higher, in my estimation.
That would be a great research study for a real estate/economics graduate student. He can pour over all the county data and write his paper. Some students will get PhDs writing about the “recycling” process.
October 26, 2009 at 10:23 AM #473609briansd1GuestI have a theory of peak buyers having diminishing wherewithal or diminishing desire/inclination to hang-on.
Remember that in economics, the ability to pay is only part of demand, the desire and willingness to pay makes all the difference.
Even in the high-end discretionary real estate purchases, I see people giving up.
Here’s an example at Harbor Club, Downtown. I think this is only a matter of time before the bank takes it back. I see that everyday.
http://www.sdlookup.com/Property-5BF7B53C-200_Harbor_Dr_1101_San_Diego_CA_92101#86993Time will tell…
October 26, 2009 at 10:23 AM #473787briansd1GuestI have a theory of peak buyers having diminishing wherewithal or diminishing desire/inclination to hang-on.
Remember that in economics, the ability to pay is only part of demand, the desire and willingness to pay makes all the difference.
Even in the high-end discretionary real estate purchases, I see people giving up.
Here’s an example at Harbor Club, Downtown. I think this is only a matter of time before the bank takes it back. I see that everyday.
http://www.sdlookup.com/Property-5BF7B53C-200_Harbor_Dr_1101_San_Diego_CA_92101#86993Time will tell…
October 26, 2009 at 10:23 AM #474151briansd1GuestI have a theory of peak buyers having diminishing wherewithal or diminishing desire/inclination to hang-on.
Remember that in economics, the ability to pay is only part of demand, the desire and willingness to pay makes all the difference.
Even in the high-end discretionary real estate purchases, I see people giving up.
Here’s an example at Harbor Club, Downtown. I think this is only a matter of time before the bank takes it back. I see that everyday.
http://www.sdlookup.com/Property-5BF7B53C-200_Harbor_Dr_1101_San_Diego_CA_92101#86993Time will tell…
October 26, 2009 at 10:23 AM #474228briansd1GuestI have a theory of peak buyers having diminishing wherewithal or diminishing desire/inclination to hang-on.
Remember that in economics, the ability to pay is only part of demand, the desire and willingness to pay makes all the difference.
Even in the high-end discretionary real estate purchases, I see people giving up.
Here’s an example at Harbor Club, Downtown. I think this is only a matter of time before the bank takes it back. I see that everyday.
http://www.sdlookup.com/Property-5BF7B53C-200_Harbor_Dr_1101_San_Diego_CA_92101#86993Time will tell…
October 26, 2009 at 10:23 AM #474452briansd1GuestI have a theory of peak buyers having diminishing wherewithal or diminishing desire/inclination to hang-on.
Remember that in economics, the ability to pay is only part of demand, the desire and willingness to pay makes all the difference.
Even in the high-end discretionary real estate purchases, I see people giving up.
Here’s an example at Harbor Club, Downtown. I think this is only a matter of time before the bank takes it back. I see that everyday.
http://www.sdlookup.com/Property-5BF7B53C-200_Harbor_Dr_1101_San_Diego_CA_92101#86993Time will tell…
October 26, 2009 at 2:23 PM #473689CBadParticipantI think my husband would rather pay someone else’s mortgage than go to Disneyland.
October 26, 2009 at 2:23 PM #473868CBadParticipantI think my husband would rather pay someone else’s mortgage than go to Disneyland.
October 26, 2009 at 2:23 PM #474231CBadParticipantI think my husband would rather pay someone else’s mortgage than go to Disneyland.
October 26, 2009 at 2:23 PM #474308CBadParticipantI think my husband would rather pay someone else’s mortgage than go to Disneyland.
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