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October 11, 2009 at 8:10 PM #468253October 11, 2009 at 9:31 PM #467469partypupParticipant
Okay, at the risk of being mocked, I am going to update my *chaos* prediction. Aecetia is right: I made my last prediction in early September 2008, and approximately three weeks later the market did enter a heart-pounding phase. It is only a year later that we finally discover – from Geithner and Bernanke, themselves – that the global financial system was only hours away from collapse. What I could not and did not foresee was TARP, which has managed to paper over some seismic fractures that are growing wider every day now.
However, these cracks are now reaching their breaking point. The Fed bought a year, but that year is now almost up. It really seems unlikely that any efforts by the Fed, Treasury or Congress can continue to prop up this corpse of an economy if we get hit by another rogue wave. The resistance to the dollar is now growing quite strong, and I sense that something is going to give in the next two to three weeks. There are just too many articles in global media now bemoaning the death of the dollar. When chatter reaches this level, something inevitably happens.
I don’t know if it’s going to be a run on the dollar, a COMEX failure to honor a physical delivery of substantial tonnage of gold/silver or the implosion of yet another pillar of American finance. Or it could be an Israel/Iran event that sparks the kindling.
Hard to know how this will get started, but it most certainly feels like something very big is coming very soon:
“Dollar Reaches Breaking Point at Banks Shifting Record Reserves ”
Oct. 12 (Bloomberg) — Central banks flush with record reserves are increasingly snubbing dollars in favor of euros and yen, further pressuring the greenback after its biggest two- quarter rout in almost two decades.
Nations reporting currency breakdowns put 63 percent of the new cash into euros and yen in April, May and June, the latest Barclays Capital data show. That’s the highest percentage in any quarter with more than an $80 billion increase.
“Global central banks are getting more serious about diversification, whereas in the past they used to just talk about it,” said Steven Englander, a former Federal Reserve researcher who is now the chief U.S. currency strategist at Barclays in New York. “It looks like they are really backing away from the dollar.”
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aS2s2mhDVBSM
October 11, 2009 at 9:31 PM #467650partypupParticipantOkay, at the risk of being mocked, I am going to update my *chaos* prediction. Aecetia is right: I made my last prediction in early September 2008, and approximately three weeks later the market did enter a heart-pounding phase. It is only a year later that we finally discover – from Geithner and Bernanke, themselves – that the global financial system was only hours away from collapse. What I could not and did not foresee was TARP, which has managed to paper over some seismic fractures that are growing wider every day now.
However, these cracks are now reaching their breaking point. The Fed bought a year, but that year is now almost up. It really seems unlikely that any efforts by the Fed, Treasury or Congress can continue to prop up this corpse of an economy if we get hit by another rogue wave. The resistance to the dollar is now growing quite strong, and I sense that something is going to give in the next two to three weeks. There are just too many articles in global media now bemoaning the death of the dollar. When chatter reaches this level, something inevitably happens.
I don’t know if it’s going to be a run on the dollar, a COMEX failure to honor a physical delivery of substantial tonnage of gold/silver or the implosion of yet another pillar of American finance. Or it could be an Israel/Iran event that sparks the kindling.
Hard to know how this will get started, but it most certainly feels like something very big is coming very soon:
“Dollar Reaches Breaking Point at Banks Shifting Record Reserves ”
Oct. 12 (Bloomberg) — Central banks flush with record reserves are increasingly snubbing dollars in favor of euros and yen, further pressuring the greenback after its biggest two- quarter rout in almost two decades.
Nations reporting currency breakdowns put 63 percent of the new cash into euros and yen in April, May and June, the latest Barclays Capital data show. That’s the highest percentage in any quarter with more than an $80 billion increase.
“Global central banks are getting more serious about diversification, whereas in the past they used to just talk about it,” said Steven Englander, a former Federal Reserve researcher who is now the chief U.S. currency strategist at Barclays in New York. “It looks like they are really backing away from the dollar.”
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aS2s2mhDVBSM
October 11, 2009 at 9:31 PM #468004partypupParticipantOkay, at the risk of being mocked, I am going to update my *chaos* prediction. Aecetia is right: I made my last prediction in early September 2008, and approximately three weeks later the market did enter a heart-pounding phase. It is only a year later that we finally discover – from Geithner and Bernanke, themselves – that the global financial system was only hours away from collapse. What I could not and did not foresee was TARP, which has managed to paper over some seismic fractures that are growing wider every day now.
However, these cracks are now reaching their breaking point. The Fed bought a year, but that year is now almost up. It really seems unlikely that any efforts by the Fed, Treasury or Congress can continue to prop up this corpse of an economy if we get hit by another rogue wave. The resistance to the dollar is now growing quite strong, and I sense that something is going to give in the next two to three weeks. There are just too many articles in global media now bemoaning the death of the dollar. When chatter reaches this level, something inevitably happens.
I don’t know if it’s going to be a run on the dollar, a COMEX failure to honor a physical delivery of substantial tonnage of gold/silver or the implosion of yet another pillar of American finance. Or it could be an Israel/Iran event that sparks the kindling.
Hard to know how this will get started, but it most certainly feels like something very big is coming very soon:
“Dollar Reaches Breaking Point at Banks Shifting Record Reserves ”
Oct. 12 (Bloomberg) — Central banks flush with record reserves are increasingly snubbing dollars in favor of euros and yen, further pressuring the greenback after its biggest two- quarter rout in almost two decades.
Nations reporting currency breakdowns put 63 percent of the new cash into euros and yen in April, May and June, the latest Barclays Capital data show. That’s the highest percentage in any quarter with more than an $80 billion increase.
“Global central banks are getting more serious about diversification, whereas in the past they used to just talk about it,” said Steven Englander, a former Federal Reserve researcher who is now the chief U.S. currency strategist at Barclays in New York. “It looks like they are really backing away from the dollar.”
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aS2s2mhDVBSM
October 11, 2009 at 9:31 PM #468076partypupParticipantOkay, at the risk of being mocked, I am going to update my *chaos* prediction. Aecetia is right: I made my last prediction in early September 2008, and approximately three weeks later the market did enter a heart-pounding phase. It is only a year later that we finally discover – from Geithner and Bernanke, themselves – that the global financial system was only hours away from collapse. What I could not and did not foresee was TARP, which has managed to paper over some seismic fractures that are growing wider every day now.
However, these cracks are now reaching their breaking point. The Fed bought a year, but that year is now almost up. It really seems unlikely that any efforts by the Fed, Treasury or Congress can continue to prop up this corpse of an economy if we get hit by another rogue wave. The resistance to the dollar is now growing quite strong, and I sense that something is going to give in the next two to three weeks. There are just too many articles in global media now bemoaning the death of the dollar. When chatter reaches this level, something inevitably happens.
I don’t know if it’s going to be a run on the dollar, a COMEX failure to honor a physical delivery of substantial tonnage of gold/silver or the implosion of yet another pillar of American finance. Or it could be an Israel/Iran event that sparks the kindling.
Hard to know how this will get started, but it most certainly feels like something very big is coming very soon:
“Dollar Reaches Breaking Point at Banks Shifting Record Reserves ”
Oct. 12 (Bloomberg) — Central banks flush with record reserves are increasingly snubbing dollars in favor of euros and yen, further pressuring the greenback after its biggest two- quarter rout in almost two decades.
Nations reporting currency breakdowns put 63 percent of the new cash into euros and yen in April, May and June, the latest Barclays Capital data show. That’s the highest percentage in any quarter with more than an $80 billion increase.
“Global central banks are getting more serious about diversification, whereas in the past they used to just talk about it,” said Steven Englander, a former Federal Reserve researcher who is now the chief U.S. currency strategist at Barclays in New York. “It looks like they are really backing away from the dollar.”
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aS2s2mhDVBSM
October 11, 2009 at 9:31 PM #468288partypupParticipantOkay, at the risk of being mocked, I am going to update my *chaos* prediction. Aecetia is right: I made my last prediction in early September 2008, and approximately three weeks later the market did enter a heart-pounding phase. It is only a year later that we finally discover – from Geithner and Bernanke, themselves – that the global financial system was only hours away from collapse. What I could not and did not foresee was TARP, which has managed to paper over some seismic fractures that are growing wider every day now.
However, these cracks are now reaching their breaking point. The Fed bought a year, but that year is now almost up. It really seems unlikely that any efforts by the Fed, Treasury or Congress can continue to prop up this corpse of an economy if we get hit by another rogue wave. The resistance to the dollar is now growing quite strong, and I sense that something is going to give in the next two to three weeks. There are just too many articles in global media now bemoaning the death of the dollar. When chatter reaches this level, something inevitably happens.
I don’t know if it’s going to be a run on the dollar, a COMEX failure to honor a physical delivery of substantial tonnage of gold/silver or the implosion of yet another pillar of American finance. Or it could be an Israel/Iran event that sparks the kindling.
Hard to know how this will get started, but it most certainly feels like something very big is coming very soon:
“Dollar Reaches Breaking Point at Banks Shifting Record Reserves ”
Oct. 12 (Bloomberg) — Central banks flush with record reserves are increasingly snubbing dollars in favor of euros and yen, further pressuring the greenback after its biggest two- quarter rout in almost two decades.
Nations reporting currency breakdowns put 63 percent of the new cash into euros and yen in April, May and June, the latest Barclays Capital data show. That’s the highest percentage in any quarter with more than an $80 billion increase.
“Global central banks are getting more serious about diversification, whereas in the past they used to just talk about it,” said Steven Englander, a former Federal Reserve researcher who is now the chief U.S. currency strategist at Barclays in New York. “It looks like they are really backing away from the dollar.”
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aS2s2mhDVBSM
October 11, 2009 at 10:25 PM #467478ArrayaParticipantI don’t know if it’s going to be a run on the dollar, a COMEX failure to honor a physical delivery of substantial tonnage of gold/silver or the implosion of yet another pillar of American finance. Or it could be an Israel/Iran event that sparks the kindling
http://www.financialsense.com/fsu/editorials/kirby/2009/1009.html
Impeccably reliable sources have informed me that as recently as Sept. 30, 2009 – the last possible day of trade in the Sept. 09 gold futures – a number of well-heeled market participants “bought” substantial tonnage worth of gold futures on the London Bullion Market [LBMA] and immediately told their counterparties they wanted to take instantaneous delivery of the underlying physical bullion.
Banks like J.P. Morgan Chase and Deutsche Bk. – who sold endless amounts of gold futures at prices of 950 – 1025 and then tried to make “side deals” with the folks they sold the futures to – offering them spot + 25 % [let’s say 1,275 per ounce] to settle in fiat – only after their counter parties demanded substantial tonnage of physical gold bullion.
Stunningly, if accurate [and there is absolutely no doubt in my mind that this is not accurate], this means that gold is already in SEVERE backwardation and this fact is being hidden from the public.
Then, to protect the “integrity” of the futures market as a ‘price discovery mechanism’ – Central Banks – aiding and abetting – plunder the sovereign assets of their respective countries to bail out their agents / friends in an attempt to ‘sweep the whole bloody mess under the carpet’.
October 11, 2009 at 10:25 PM #467660ArrayaParticipantI don’t know if it’s going to be a run on the dollar, a COMEX failure to honor a physical delivery of substantial tonnage of gold/silver or the implosion of yet another pillar of American finance. Or it could be an Israel/Iran event that sparks the kindling
http://www.financialsense.com/fsu/editorials/kirby/2009/1009.html
Impeccably reliable sources have informed me that as recently as Sept. 30, 2009 – the last possible day of trade in the Sept. 09 gold futures – a number of well-heeled market participants “bought” substantial tonnage worth of gold futures on the London Bullion Market [LBMA] and immediately told their counterparties they wanted to take instantaneous delivery of the underlying physical bullion.
Banks like J.P. Morgan Chase and Deutsche Bk. – who sold endless amounts of gold futures at prices of 950 – 1025 and then tried to make “side deals” with the folks they sold the futures to – offering them spot + 25 % [let’s say 1,275 per ounce] to settle in fiat – only after their counter parties demanded substantial tonnage of physical gold bullion.
Stunningly, if accurate [and there is absolutely no doubt in my mind that this is not accurate], this means that gold is already in SEVERE backwardation and this fact is being hidden from the public.
Then, to protect the “integrity” of the futures market as a ‘price discovery mechanism’ – Central Banks – aiding and abetting – plunder the sovereign assets of their respective countries to bail out their agents / friends in an attempt to ‘sweep the whole bloody mess under the carpet’.
October 11, 2009 at 10:25 PM #468014ArrayaParticipantI don’t know if it’s going to be a run on the dollar, a COMEX failure to honor a physical delivery of substantial tonnage of gold/silver or the implosion of yet another pillar of American finance. Or it could be an Israel/Iran event that sparks the kindling
http://www.financialsense.com/fsu/editorials/kirby/2009/1009.html
Impeccably reliable sources have informed me that as recently as Sept. 30, 2009 – the last possible day of trade in the Sept. 09 gold futures – a number of well-heeled market participants “bought” substantial tonnage worth of gold futures on the London Bullion Market [LBMA] and immediately told their counterparties they wanted to take instantaneous delivery of the underlying physical bullion.
Banks like J.P. Morgan Chase and Deutsche Bk. – who sold endless amounts of gold futures at prices of 950 – 1025 and then tried to make “side deals” with the folks they sold the futures to – offering them spot + 25 % [let’s say 1,275 per ounce] to settle in fiat – only after their counter parties demanded substantial tonnage of physical gold bullion.
Stunningly, if accurate [and there is absolutely no doubt in my mind that this is not accurate], this means that gold is already in SEVERE backwardation and this fact is being hidden from the public.
Then, to protect the “integrity” of the futures market as a ‘price discovery mechanism’ – Central Banks – aiding and abetting – plunder the sovereign assets of their respective countries to bail out their agents / friends in an attempt to ‘sweep the whole bloody mess under the carpet’.
October 11, 2009 at 10:25 PM #468086ArrayaParticipantI don’t know if it’s going to be a run on the dollar, a COMEX failure to honor a physical delivery of substantial tonnage of gold/silver or the implosion of yet another pillar of American finance. Or it could be an Israel/Iran event that sparks the kindling
http://www.financialsense.com/fsu/editorials/kirby/2009/1009.html
Impeccably reliable sources have informed me that as recently as Sept. 30, 2009 – the last possible day of trade in the Sept. 09 gold futures – a number of well-heeled market participants “bought” substantial tonnage worth of gold futures on the London Bullion Market [LBMA] and immediately told their counterparties they wanted to take instantaneous delivery of the underlying physical bullion.
Banks like J.P. Morgan Chase and Deutsche Bk. – who sold endless amounts of gold futures at prices of 950 – 1025 and then tried to make “side deals” with the folks they sold the futures to – offering them spot + 25 % [let’s say 1,275 per ounce] to settle in fiat – only after their counter parties demanded substantial tonnage of physical gold bullion.
Stunningly, if accurate [and there is absolutely no doubt in my mind that this is not accurate], this means that gold is already in SEVERE backwardation and this fact is being hidden from the public.
Then, to protect the “integrity” of the futures market as a ‘price discovery mechanism’ – Central Banks – aiding and abetting – plunder the sovereign assets of their respective countries to bail out their agents / friends in an attempt to ‘sweep the whole bloody mess under the carpet’.
October 11, 2009 at 10:25 PM #468298ArrayaParticipantI don’t know if it’s going to be a run on the dollar, a COMEX failure to honor a physical delivery of substantial tonnage of gold/silver or the implosion of yet another pillar of American finance. Or it could be an Israel/Iran event that sparks the kindling
http://www.financialsense.com/fsu/editorials/kirby/2009/1009.html
Impeccably reliable sources have informed me that as recently as Sept. 30, 2009 – the last possible day of trade in the Sept. 09 gold futures – a number of well-heeled market participants “bought” substantial tonnage worth of gold futures on the London Bullion Market [LBMA] and immediately told their counterparties they wanted to take instantaneous delivery of the underlying physical bullion.
Banks like J.P. Morgan Chase and Deutsche Bk. – who sold endless amounts of gold futures at prices of 950 – 1025 and then tried to make “side deals” with the folks they sold the futures to – offering them spot + 25 % [let’s say 1,275 per ounce] to settle in fiat – only after their counter parties demanded substantial tonnage of physical gold bullion.
Stunningly, if accurate [and there is absolutely no doubt in my mind that this is not accurate], this means that gold is already in SEVERE backwardation and this fact is being hidden from the public.
Then, to protect the “integrity” of the futures market as a ‘price discovery mechanism’ – Central Banks – aiding and abetting – plunder the sovereign assets of their respective countries to bail out their agents / friends in an attempt to ‘sweep the whole bloody mess under the carpet’.
October 11, 2009 at 10:56 PM #467493paramountParticipantI want to issue an update as well: I have noticed a number of good Chinese restaurants closing up around Temecula; and when they start closing I know trouble can’t be far off.
October 11, 2009 at 10:56 PM #467675paramountParticipantI want to issue an update as well: I have noticed a number of good Chinese restaurants closing up around Temecula; and when they start closing I know trouble can’t be far off.
October 11, 2009 at 10:56 PM #468029paramountParticipantI want to issue an update as well: I have noticed a number of good Chinese restaurants closing up around Temecula; and when they start closing I know trouble can’t be far off.
October 11, 2009 at 10:56 PM #468101paramountParticipantI want to issue an update as well: I have noticed a number of good Chinese restaurants closing up around Temecula; and when they start closing I know trouble can’t be far off.
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