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Rich Toscano.
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July 13, 2011 at 10:40 AM #710719July 13, 2011 at 12:23 PM #709514
briansd1
Guest[quote=SD Realtor]
To the OP, the oan limitations may help a little bit but your greatest hope will be a prolonged increasing interest rate environment that over a long period of time will whittle the buyers pool down. Hoping for a dramatic shift in the quantity of buyers is, in my opinion, a longshot at best.[/quote]
I agree with SD R.
To hear many pundits declare it, as the national debt increases, interest rates will shoot up. I don’t really know because rates are much lower now than decades ago when the national debt was much lower.
Or it could be that a government default would cause rates to shoot up.
You should wait at least until after Aug 3rd to see how the markets react to the national debt limit.
But more to the point, how the GSE limits affect the market are yet to be determined. But I’m thinking that people are on the edge of qualifying and want to buy will rush to buy this summer. That will front-load the sales that would happen next year (just like the tax credits of last year stole sales from this year).
July 13, 2011 at 12:23 PM #709609briansd1
Guest[quote=SD Realtor]
To the OP, the oan limitations may help a little bit but your greatest hope will be a prolonged increasing interest rate environment that over a long period of time will whittle the buyers pool down. Hoping for a dramatic shift in the quantity of buyers is, in my opinion, a longshot at best.[/quote]
I agree with SD R.
To hear many pundits declare it, as the national debt increases, interest rates will shoot up. I don’t really know because rates are much lower now than decades ago when the national debt was much lower.
Or it could be that a government default would cause rates to shoot up.
You should wait at least until after Aug 3rd to see how the markets react to the national debt limit.
But more to the point, how the GSE limits affect the market are yet to be determined. But I’m thinking that people are on the edge of qualifying and want to buy will rush to buy this summer. That will front-load the sales that would happen next year (just like the tax credits of last year stole sales from this year).
July 13, 2011 at 12:23 PM #710209briansd1
Guest[quote=SD Realtor]
To the OP, the oan limitations may help a little bit but your greatest hope will be a prolonged increasing interest rate environment that over a long period of time will whittle the buyers pool down. Hoping for a dramatic shift in the quantity of buyers is, in my opinion, a longshot at best.[/quote]
I agree with SD R.
To hear many pundits declare it, as the national debt increases, interest rates will shoot up. I don’t really know because rates are much lower now than decades ago when the national debt was much lower.
Or it could be that a government default would cause rates to shoot up.
You should wait at least until after Aug 3rd to see how the markets react to the national debt limit.
But more to the point, how the GSE limits affect the market are yet to be determined. But I’m thinking that people are on the edge of qualifying and want to buy will rush to buy this summer. That will front-load the sales that would happen next year (just like the tax credits of last year stole sales from this year).
July 13, 2011 at 12:23 PM #710363briansd1
Guest[quote=SD Realtor]
To the OP, the oan limitations may help a little bit but your greatest hope will be a prolonged increasing interest rate environment that over a long period of time will whittle the buyers pool down. Hoping for a dramatic shift in the quantity of buyers is, in my opinion, a longshot at best.[/quote]
I agree with SD R.
To hear many pundits declare it, as the national debt increases, interest rates will shoot up. I don’t really know because rates are much lower now than decades ago when the national debt was much lower.
Or it could be that a government default would cause rates to shoot up.
You should wait at least until after Aug 3rd to see how the markets react to the national debt limit.
But more to the point, how the GSE limits affect the market are yet to be determined. But I’m thinking that people are on the edge of qualifying and want to buy will rush to buy this summer. That will front-load the sales that would happen next year (just like the tax credits of last year stole sales from this year).
July 13, 2011 at 12:23 PM #710724briansd1
Guest[quote=SD Realtor]
To the OP, the oan limitations may help a little bit but your greatest hope will be a prolonged increasing interest rate environment that over a long period of time will whittle the buyers pool down. Hoping for a dramatic shift in the quantity of buyers is, in my opinion, a longshot at best.[/quote]
I agree with SD R.
To hear many pundits declare it, as the national debt increases, interest rates will shoot up. I don’t really know because rates are much lower now than decades ago when the national debt was much lower.
Or it could be that a government default would cause rates to shoot up.
You should wait at least until after Aug 3rd to see how the markets react to the national debt limit.
But more to the point, how the GSE limits affect the market are yet to be determined. But I’m thinking that people are on the edge of qualifying and want to buy will rush to buy this summer. That will front-load the sales that would happen next year (just like the tax credits of last year stole sales from this year).
July 13, 2011 at 1:53 PM #709529Huckleberry
ParticipantI beleive it’s going to have a significant impact on housing in high valuation areas such as along the coast.
Here is an excellent article by the WSJ that has mapping of highest affected areas, and SD is on the top of the list.
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052702303763404576420101788878440.html
NAR (whom I never beleive because they constantly exaggerate everything) has stated this will instantly remove 15% of value from all housing across the board. Now, I don’t beleive that number, but I also don’t think it is negligible, especially in high valuation areas.
I think another thing you should be well aware of is that Congress is now debating the whole debt ceiling issue, and part of that is an idea to eliminate the mortgage interest deduction. Again, this one thing alone in my opinion will have a significant impact on high value homes. By my calculations, a $400K loan gets $105K of tax relief (over the term of the loan) from this tax break. If this is removed, it will remove the motivation for many to purchase, hence less demand…
Aggregate the impacts of both of these policy changes, and this is no laughing matter for someone looking to purchase now!
I’m just sayin’…
July 13, 2011 at 1:53 PM #709624Huckleberry
ParticipantI beleive it’s going to have a significant impact on housing in high valuation areas such as along the coast.
Here is an excellent article by the WSJ that has mapping of highest affected areas, and SD is on the top of the list.
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052702303763404576420101788878440.html
NAR (whom I never beleive because they constantly exaggerate everything) has stated this will instantly remove 15% of value from all housing across the board. Now, I don’t beleive that number, but I also don’t think it is negligible, especially in high valuation areas.
I think another thing you should be well aware of is that Congress is now debating the whole debt ceiling issue, and part of that is an idea to eliminate the mortgage interest deduction. Again, this one thing alone in my opinion will have a significant impact on high value homes. By my calculations, a $400K loan gets $105K of tax relief (over the term of the loan) from this tax break. If this is removed, it will remove the motivation for many to purchase, hence less demand…
Aggregate the impacts of both of these policy changes, and this is no laughing matter for someone looking to purchase now!
I’m just sayin’…
July 13, 2011 at 1:53 PM #710224Huckleberry
ParticipantI beleive it’s going to have a significant impact on housing in high valuation areas such as along the coast.
Here is an excellent article by the WSJ that has mapping of highest affected areas, and SD is on the top of the list.
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052702303763404576420101788878440.html
NAR (whom I never beleive because they constantly exaggerate everything) has stated this will instantly remove 15% of value from all housing across the board. Now, I don’t beleive that number, but I also don’t think it is negligible, especially in high valuation areas.
I think another thing you should be well aware of is that Congress is now debating the whole debt ceiling issue, and part of that is an idea to eliminate the mortgage interest deduction. Again, this one thing alone in my opinion will have a significant impact on high value homes. By my calculations, a $400K loan gets $105K of tax relief (over the term of the loan) from this tax break. If this is removed, it will remove the motivation for many to purchase, hence less demand…
Aggregate the impacts of both of these policy changes, and this is no laughing matter for someone looking to purchase now!
I’m just sayin’…
July 13, 2011 at 1:53 PM #710378Huckleberry
ParticipantI beleive it’s going to have a significant impact on housing in high valuation areas such as along the coast.
Here is an excellent article by the WSJ that has mapping of highest affected areas, and SD is on the top of the list.
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052702303763404576420101788878440.html
NAR (whom I never beleive because they constantly exaggerate everything) has stated this will instantly remove 15% of value from all housing across the board. Now, I don’t beleive that number, but I also don’t think it is negligible, especially in high valuation areas.
I think another thing you should be well aware of is that Congress is now debating the whole debt ceiling issue, and part of that is an idea to eliminate the mortgage interest deduction. Again, this one thing alone in my opinion will have a significant impact on high value homes. By my calculations, a $400K loan gets $105K of tax relief (over the term of the loan) from this tax break. If this is removed, it will remove the motivation for many to purchase, hence less demand…
Aggregate the impacts of both of these policy changes, and this is no laughing matter for someone looking to purchase now!
I’m just sayin’…
July 13, 2011 at 1:53 PM #710739Huckleberry
ParticipantI beleive it’s going to have a significant impact on housing in high valuation areas such as along the coast.
Here is an excellent article by the WSJ that has mapping of highest affected areas, and SD is on the top of the list.
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052702303763404576420101788878440.html
NAR (whom I never beleive because they constantly exaggerate everything) has stated this will instantly remove 15% of value from all housing across the board. Now, I don’t beleive that number, but I also don’t think it is negligible, especially in high valuation areas.
I think another thing you should be well aware of is that Congress is now debating the whole debt ceiling issue, and part of that is an idea to eliminate the mortgage interest deduction. Again, this one thing alone in my opinion will have a significant impact on high value homes. By my calculations, a $400K loan gets $105K of tax relief (over the term of the loan) from this tax break. If this is removed, it will remove the motivation for many to purchase, hence less demand…
Aggregate the impacts of both of these policy changes, and this is no laughing matter for someone looking to purchase now!
I’m just sayin’…
July 14, 2011 at 10:36 AM #709635AK
ParticipantI imagine this will boost demand for properties around the $546K loan limit, which should help shore up the lower end of the market.
One can still find a pretty nice house for $546K.
July 14, 2011 at 10:36 AM #709730AK
ParticipantI imagine this will boost demand for properties around the $546K loan limit, which should help shore up the lower end of the market.
One can still find a pretty nice house for $546K.
July 14, 2011 at 10:36 AM #710330AK
ParticipantI imagine this will boost demand for properties around the $546K loan limit, which should help shore up the lower end of the market.
One can still find a pretty nice house for $546K.
July 14, 2011 at 10:36 AM #710484AK
ParticipantI imagine this will boost demand for properties around the $546K loan limit, which should help shore up the lower end of the market.
One can still find a pretty nice house for $546K.
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