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May 2, 2008 at 12:55 PM #197938May 2, 2008 at 1:33 PM #198005(former)FormerSanDieganParticipant
If you look at Esmith’s blog he shows a distribution of home prices in San Diego.
http://sdhpi.blogspot.com/According to his estimates the $1 Mil mark is about 10-12% of the homes as of April 2008.
As of 2006, Census Bureau shows about 5.25% of San Diego households have income exceeding 200K. At 200K income one would need a sizeable (~25%) down payment to afford a $1 Mil house.
So, the number of households who can afford $1Mil or more must be less than the number of homes valued at 1 Mil +.
I would not make any conclusions or assumptions based on this. At least the number of $1 MIl + homes is only about 2X the number of people who might marginally be able to afford it.
I don’t know whether to or how to account for long-time owners who purchased at much lower levels than today and who (except for their current equity) could not afford to buy their own $1 Mil+ home today.
May 2, 2008 at 1:33 PM #197968(former)FormerSanDieganParticipantIf you look at Esmith’s blog he shows a distribution of home prices in San Diego.
http://sdhpi.blogspot.com/According to his estimates the $1 Mil mark is about 10-12% of the homes as of April 2008.
As of 2006, Census Bureau shows about 5.25% of San Diego households have income exceeding 200K. At 200K income one would need a sizeable (~25%) down payment to afford a $1 Mil house.
So, the number of households who can afford $1Mil or more must be less than the number of homes valued at 1 Mil +.
I would not make any conclusions or assumptions based on this. At least the number of $1 MIl + homes is only about 2X the number of people who might marginally be able to afford it.
I don’t know whether to or how to account for long-time owners who purchased at much lower levels than today and who (except for their current equity) could not afford to buy their own $1 Mil+ home today.
May 2, 2008 at 1:33 PM #197944(former)FormerSanDieganParticipantIf you look at Esmith’s blog he shows a distribution of home prices in San Diego.
http://sdhpi.blogspot.com/According to his estimates the $1 Mil mark is about 10-12% of the homes as of April 2008.
As of 2006, Census Bureau shows about 5.25% of San Diego households have income exceeding 200K. At 200K income one would need a sizeable (~25%) down payment to afford a $1 Mil house.
So, the number of households who can afford $1Mil or more must be less than the number of homes valued at 1 Mil +.
I would not make any conclusions or assumptions based on this. At least the number of $1 MIl + homes is only about 2X the number of people who might marginally be able to afford it.
I don’t know whether to or how to account for long-time owners who purchased at much lower levels than today and who (except for their current equity) could not afford to buy their own $1 Mil+ home today.
May 2, 2008 at 1:33 PM #197881(former)FormerSanDieganParticipantIf you look at Esmith’s blog he shows a distribution of home prices in San Diego.
http://sdhpi.blogspot.com/According to his estimates the $1 Mil mark is about 10-12% of the homes as of April 2008.
As of 2006, Census Bureau shows about 5.25% of San Diego households have income exceeding 200K. At 200K income one would need a sizeable (~25%) down payment to afford a $1 Mil house.
So, the number of households who can afford $1Mil or more must be less than the number of homes valued at 1 Mil +.
I would not make any conclusions or assumptions based on this. At least the number of $1 MIl + homes is only about 2X the number of people who might marginally be able to afford it.
I don’t know whether to or how to account for long-time owners who purchased at much lower levels than today and who (except for their current equity) could not afford to buy their own $1 Mil+ home today.
May 2, 2008 at 1:33 PM #197917(former)FormerSanDieganParticipantIf you look at Esmith’s blog he shows a distribution of home prices in San Diego.
http://sdhpi.blogspot.com/According to his estimates the $1 Mil mark is about 10-12% of the homes as of April 2008.
As of 2006, Census Bureau shows about 5.25% of San Diego households have income exceeding 200K. At 200K income one would need a sizeable (~25%) down payment to afford a $1 Mil house.
So, the number of households who can afford $1Mil or more must be less than the number of homes valued at 1 Mil +.
I would not make any conclusions or assumptions based on this. At least the number of $1 MIl + homes is only about 2X the number of people who might marginally be able to afford it.
I don’t know whether to or how to account for long-time owners who purchased at much lower levels than today and who (except for their current equity) could not afford to buy their own $1 Mil+ home today.
May 2, 2008 at 1:33 PM #197973crParticipantTell your realtor you’re waiting for the influx of summer inventory to see more $1MM homes, and that you believe they will actually fall below $1MM. If he laughs at you, I’d recommend a new realtor too.
May 2, 2008 at 1:33 PM #198010crParticipantTell your realtor you’re waiting for the influx of summer inventory to see more $1MM homes, and that you believe they will actually fall below $1MM. If he laughs at you, I’d recommend a new realtor too.
May 2, 2008 at 1:33 PM #197886crParticipantTell your realtor you’re waiting for the influx of summer inventory to see more $1MM homes, and that you believe they will actually fall below $1MM. If he laughs at you, I’d recommend a new realtor too.
May 2, 2008 at 1:33 PM #197922crParticipantTell your realtor you’re waiting for the influx of summer inventory to see more $1MM homes, and that you believe they will actually fall below $1MM. If he laughs at you, I’d recommend a new realtor too.
May 2, 2008 at 1:33 PM #197949crParticipantTell your realtor you’re waiting for the influx of summer inventory to see more $1MM homes, and that you believe they will actually fall below $1MM. If he laughs at you, I’d recommend a new realtor too.
May 2, 2008 at 2:28 PM #197926(former)FormerSanDieganParticipantI think the agent is correct.
The number of $1M+ homes on the market is declining.
They are becoming $900K homes.May 2, 2008 at 2:28 PM #198049(former)FormerSanDieganParticipantI think the agent is correct.
The number of $1M+ homes on the market is declining.
They are becoming $900K homes.May 2, 2008 at 2:28 PM #197962(former)FormerSanDieganParticipantI think the agent is correct.
The number of $1M+ homes on the market is declining.
They are becoming $900K homes.May 2, 2008 at 2:28 PM #197989(former)FormerSanDieganParticipantI think the agent is correct.
The number of $1M+ homes on the market is declining.
They are becoming $900K homes. -
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