Home › Forums › Closed Forums › Properties or Areas › New Pigg student… looking to buy in Poway
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July 15, 2008 at 5:34 PM #239927July 15, 2008 at 6:18 PM #240099urbanrealtorParticipant
I would have to agree that the rental price represents a minimum price floor. In the really depressed areas the purchase option can be significantly cheaper even with a minimal amount brought as cash (think subprime parts of El Cajon or really any part of Chula Vista). However nicer areas seem to put that floor higher. That means you are break-even with rent at 10 or 20 or 30 percent cash.
I will use an urban example here. A 2-bedroom condo property in Hillcrest will sell for about $300k or so. It will rent for 1800-2000/mth. That means at 25% down, this will cash flow about evenly (depending on HOA fees). A property in Normal Heights of a similar character will sell for 220,000K and rent for $1600/mth. In other words it breaks even at almost nothing down. In this case you pay a value premium for the desirable location.
Boiling it down: What this means is you need to figure out what you have for a down and how close to rent you can bring your monthly payments. If you can find a place you like where you can buy and pay about as much in mortgage as you would in rent, then for christ sake’s, buy it.
Note: You will need a good loan officer (who is recommended and honest). Also, you will maximize your benefit by buying between September and February. That is when sellers are most stressed and likely to accept lower offers.
July 15, 2008 at 6:18 PM #240103urbanrealtorParticipantI would have to agree that the rental price represents a minimum price floor. In the really depressed areas the purchase option can be significantly cheaper even with a minimal amount brought as cash (think subprime parts of El Cajon or really any part of Chula Vista). However nicer areas seem to put that floor higher. That means you are break-even with rent at 10 or 20 or 30 percent cash.
I will use an urban example here. A 2-bedroom condo property in Hillcrest will sell for about $300k or so. It will rent for 1800-2000/mth. That means at 25% down, this will cash flow about evenly (depending on HOA fees). A property in Normal Heights of a similar character will sell for 220,000K and rent for $1600/mth. In other words it breaks even at almost nothing down. In this case you pay a value premium for the desirable location.
Boiling it down: What this means is you need to figure out what you have for a down and how close to rent you can bring your monthly payments. If you can find a place you like where you can buy and pay about as much in mortgage as you would in rent, then for christ sake’s, buy it.
Note: You will need a good loan officer (who is recommended and honest). Also, you will maximize your benefit by buying between September and February. That is when sellers are most stressed and likely to accept lower offers.
July 15, 2008 at 6:18 PM #240160urbanrealtorParticipantI would have to agree that the rental price represents a minimum price floor. In the really depressed areas the purchase option can be significantly cheaper even with a minimal amount brought as cash (think subprime parts of El Cajon or really any part of Chula Vista). However nicer areas seem to put that floor higher. That means you are break-even with rent at 10 or 20 or 30 percent cash.
I will use an urban example here. A 2-bedroom condo property in Hillcrest will sell for about $300k or so. It will rent for 1800-2000/mth. That means at 25% down, this will cash flow about evenly (depending on HOA fees). A property in Normal Heights of a similar character will sell for 220,000K and rent for $1600/mth. In other words it breaks even at almost nothing down. In this case you pay a value premium for the desirable location.
Boiling it down: What this means is you need to figure out what you have for a down and how close to rent you can bring your monthly payments. If you can find a place you like where you can buy and pay about as much in mortgage as you would in rent, then for christ sake’s, buy it.
Note: You will need a good loan officer (who is recommended and honest). Also, you will maximize your benefit by buying between September and February. That is when sellers are most stressed and likely to accept lower offers.
July 15, 2008 at 6:18 PM #240163urbanrealtorParticipantI would have to agree that the rental price represents a minimum price floor. In the really depressed areas the purchase option can be significantly cheaper even with a minimal amount brought as cash (think subprime parts of El Cajon or really any part of Chula Vista). However nicer areas seem to put that floor higher. That means you are break-even with rent at 10 or 20 or 30 percent cash.
I will use an urban example here. A 2-bedroom condo property in Hillcrest will sell for about $300k or so. It will rent for 1800-2000/mth. That means at 25% down, this will cash flow about evenly (depending on HOA fees). A property in Normal Heights of a similar character will sell for 220,000K and rent for $1600/mth. In other words it breaks even at almost nothing down. In this case you pay a value premium for the desirable location.
Boiling it down: What this means is you need to figure out what you have for a down and how close to rent you can bring your monthly payments. If you can find a place you like where you can buy and pay about as much in mortgage as you would in rent, then for christ sake’s, buy it.
Note: You will need a good loan officer (who is recommended and honest). Also, you will maximize your benefit by buying between September and February. That is when sellers are most stressed and likely to accept lower offers.
July 15, 2008 at 6:18 PM #239962urbanrealtorParticipantI would have to agree that the rental price represents a minimum price floor. In the really depressed areas the purchase option can be significantly cheaper even with a minimal amount brought as cash (think subprime parts of El Cajon or really any part of Chula Vista). However nicer areas seem to put that floor higher. That means you are break-even with rent at 10 or 20 or 30 percent cash.
I will use an urban example here. A 2-bedroom condo property in Hillcrest will sell for about $300k or so. It will rent for 1800-2000/mth. That means at 25% down, this will cash flow about evenly (depending on HOA fees). A property in Normal Heights of a similar character will sell for 220,000K and rent for $1600/mth. In other words it breaks even at almost nothing down. In this case you pay a value premium for the desirable location.
Boiling it down: What this means is you need to figure out what you have for a down and how close to rent you can bring your monthly payments. If you can find a place you like where you can buy and pay about as much in mortgage as you would in rent, then for christ sake’s, buy it.
Note: You will need a good loan officer (who is recommended and honest). Also, you will maximize your benefit by buying between September and February. That is when sellers are most stressed and likely to accept lower offers.
July 15, 2008 at 10:44 PM #240342SD RealtorParticipantI think you need to be a bit more specific. Your original post mentioned a 3/2 SFR “unit” which to me sounds like condo but then it seems like maybe you mean perhaps a home?
If you know Poway, and it kind of sounds like you do, then you know it is pretty diverse with respect to the housing stock. If you are talking a 1500 sfr in the 350k-400k range then you are ending up in 1 of two spots, out on the east part of Poway to the south of where Poway Road makes the big left turn or perhaps somewhere right off of Pomerado to the north of Poway Road.
Now the biggest misconception about depreciating markets is the timing of them. That is if you think that a home today that drops 20% in the next 2-3 years will then come back to todays price in 5 years total, you are mistaken. Take 400k as a sales price today. Lets run a 7% depreciation for 2 years then 6%… So after year 1 we are at 372k. Then another 7% down from 372k is approximately 346k… Then another 6% is about 325k….Now even if the market took a full on V lets say 6%, then 7% then another 7% to get back to where you were. Plus you need another 4-6% to cover the sales costs…
Can you see where I am going with this? Okay even if Poway didn’t go down another 20% and over say 10-15% you still have a hard time breaking even.
I do know Poway pretty well as it is right around the corner from where I live. My wife LOVES Poway in a big way. If you are thinking long term… then yeah if you find a home you really love then okay I can see it. However if you are buying the home with the idea that you can fix it up and make a profit in 5 years… I would say the odds are not much better then 50/50. I am an active buyer right now but not to buy a home and sell it in a few years.
I know the renting lifestyle is not one I relish. Others do… Family harmony to me is more important but only you can make that call.
July 15, 2008 at 10:44 PM #240346SD RealtorParticipantI think you need to be a bit more specific. Your original post mentioned a 3/2 SFR “unit” which to me sounds like condo but then it seems like maybe you mean perhaps a home?
If you know Poway, and it kind of sounds like you do, then you know it is pretty diverse with respect to the housing stock. If you are talking a 1500 sfr in the 350k-400k range then you are ending up in 1 of two spots, out on the east part of Poway to the south of where Poway Road makes the big left turn or perhaps somewhere right off of Pomerado to the north of Poway Road.
Now the biggest misconception about depreciating markets is the timing of them. That is if you think that a home today that drops 20% in the next 2-3 years will then come back to todays price in 5 years total, you are mistaken. Take 400k as a sales price today. Lets run a 7% depreciation for 2 years then 6%… So after year 1 we are at 372k. Then another 7% down from 372k is approximately 346k… Then another 6% is about 325k….Now even if the market took a full on V lets say 6%, then 7% then another 7% to get back to where you were. Plus you need another 4-6% to cover the sales costs…
Can you see where I am going with this? Okay even if Poway didn’t go down another 20% and over say 10-15% you still have a hard time breaking even.
I do know Poway pretty well as it is right around the corner from where I live. My wife LOVES Poway in a big way. If you are thinking long term… then yeah if you find a home you really love then okay I can see it. However if you are buying the home with the idea that you can fix it up and make a profit in 5 years… I would say the odds are not much better then 50/50. I am an active buyer right now but not to buy a home and sell it in a few years.
I know the renting lifestyle is not one I relish. Others do… Family harmony to me is more important but only you can make that call.
July 15, 2008 at 10:44 PM #240287SD RealtorParticipantI think you need to be a bit more specific. Your original post mentioned a 3/2 SFR “unit” which to me sounds like condo but then it seems like maybe you mean perhaps a home?
If you know Poway, and it kind of sounds like you do, then you know it is pretty diverse with respect to the housing stock. If you are talking a 1500 sfr in the 350k-400k range then you are ending up in 1 of two spots, out on the east part of Poway to the south of where Poway Road makes the big left turn or perhaps somewhere right off of Pomerado to the north of Poway Road.
Now the biggest misconception about depreciating markets is the timing of them. That is if you think that a home today that drops 20% in the next 2-3 years will then come back to todays price in 5 years total, you are mistaken. Take 400k as a sales price today. Lets run a 7% depreciation for 2 years then 6%… So after year 1 we are at 372k. Then another 7% down from 372k is approximately 346k… Then another 6% is about 325k….Now even if the market took a full on V lets say 6%, then 7% then another 7% to get back to where you were. Plus you need another 4-6% to cover the sales costs…
Can you see where I am going with this? Okay even if Poway didn’t go down another 20% and over say 10-15% you still have a hard time breaking even.
I do know Poway pretty well as it is right around the corner from where I live. My wife LOVES Poway in a big way. If you are thinking long term… then yeah if you find a home you really love then okay I can see it. However if you are buying the home with the idea that you can fix it up and make a profit in 5 years… I would say the odds are not much better then 50/50. I am an active buyer right now but not to buy a home and sell it in a few years.
I know the renting lifestyle is not one I relish. Others do… Family harmony to me is more important but only you can make that call.
July 15, 2008 at 10:44 PM #240279SD RealtorParticipantI think you need to be a bit more specific. Your original post mentioned a 3/2 SFR “unit” which to me sounds like condo but then it seems like maybe you mean perhaps a home?
If you know Poway, and it kind of sounds like you do, then you know it is pretty diverse with respect to the housing stock. If you are talking a 1500 sfr in the 350k-400k range then you are ending up in 1 of two spots, out on the east part of Poway to the south of where Poway Road makes the big left turn or perhaps somewhere right off of Pomerado to the north of Poway Road.
Now the biggest misconception about depreciating markets is the timing of them. That is if you think that a home today that drops 20% in the next 2-3 years will then come back to todays price in 5 years total, you are mistaken. Take 400k as a sales price today. Lets run a 7% depreciation for 2 years then 6%… So after year 1 we are at 372k. Then another 7% down from 372k is approximately 346k… Then another 6% is about 325k….Now even if the market took a full on V lets say 6%, then 7% then another 7% to get back to where you were. Plus you need another 4-6% to cover the sales costs…
Can you see where I am going with this? Okay even if Poway didn’t go down another 20% and over say 10-15% you still have a hard time breaking even.
I do know Poway pretty well as it is right around the corner from where I live. My wife LOVES Poway in a big way. If you are thinking long term… then yeah if you find a home you really love then okay I can see it. However if you are buying the home with the idea that you can fix it up and make a profit in 5 years… I would say the odds are not much better then 50/50. I am an active buyer right now but not to buy a home and sell it in a few years.
I know the renting lifestyle is not one I relish. Others do… Family harmony to me is more important but only you can make that call.
July 15, 2008 at 10:44 PM #240142SD RealtorParticipantI think you need to be a bit more specific. Your original post mentioned a 3/2 SFR “unit” which to me sounds like condo but then it seems like maybe you mean perhaps a home?
If you know Poway, and it kind of sounds like you do, then you know it is pretty diverse with respect to the housing stock. If you are talking a 1500 sfr in the 350k-400k range then you are ending up in 1 of two spots, out on the east part of Poway to the south of where Poway Road makes the big left turn or perhaps somewhere right off of Pomerado to the north of Poway Road.
Now the biggest misconception about depreciating markets is the timing of them. That is if you think that a home today that drops 20% in the next 2-3 years will then come back to todays price in 5 years total, you are mistaken. Take 400k as a sales price today. Lets run a 7% depreciation for 2 years then 6%… So after year 1 we are at 372k. Then another 7% down from 372k is approximately 346k… Then another 6% is about 325k….Now even if the market took a full on V lets say 6%, then 7% then another 7% to get back to where you were. Plus you need another 4-6% to cover the sales costs…
Can you see where I am going with this? Okay even if Poway didn’t go down another 20% and over say 10-15% you still have a hard time breaking even.
I do know Poway pretty well as it is right around the corner from where I live. My wife LOVES Poway in a big way. If you are thinking long term… then yeah if you find a home you really love then okay I can see it. However if you are buying the home with the idea that you can fix it up and make a profit in 5 years… I would say the odds are not much better then 50/50. I am an active buyer right now but not to buy a home and sell it in a few years.
I know the renting lifestyle is not one I relish. Others do… Family harmony to me is more important but only you can make that call.
July 16, 2008 at 9:14 AM #240273OC BurnsParticipantknifecatcher would be a good name too
powayknifecatcher would make you very popular
July 16, 2008 at 9:14 AM #240414OC BurnsParticipantknifecatcher would be a good name too
powayknifecatcher would make you very popular
July 16, 2008 at 9:14 AM #240417OC BurnsParticipantknifecatcher would be a good name too
powayknifecatcher would make you very popular
July 16, 2008 at 9:14 AM #240475OC BurnsParticipantknifecatcher would be a good name too
powayknifecatcher would make you very popular
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