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March 29, 2008 at 5:06 PM #178212March 29, 2008 at 5:06 PM #178668Baron von RothschildParticipant
One reason I ask about rents is that a family friend has been renting out a house in Sacramento for years. Our friend recently called the tennants to voluntarily lower the rent since the rental market has declined greatly and our friend wants to keep the tenants. Temecula seems to be getting a smackdown similar to Sacramento in house prices, so I assume rental rates aren’t far behind. Pity the knife catcher investors.
March 29, 2008 at 6:13 PM #178237stockstradrParticipantMy position is that rents will drop in real dollars. Our $2600/month lease ended this month, and we are looking for a better deal on rent (with this existing home, or move to another).
However, it becomes a very tricky question when we talk nominal dollar trends for rents, housing prices, and the stock market.
There are very significant MULTIPLE pressures for the US government to allow inflation to accelerate into a massive decline in the dollar. This solves our government’s runaway foreign debt problem: simply inflate your way out of debt.
One could even argue that it is inevitable our government will allow (and promote) massive dollar inflation, because our country has backed itself into a corner in terms of debt, housing crisis, coming recession, and trade imbalance; it appears the only way out is massive dollar inflation. Ron Paul believes that government (dollar inflation) conspiracy is already underway. I see this leading to a significant decline in the American standard of living.
We also have the Fed dropping rates, and directly pumping billions into the system to: 1) avoid a collapse of financial systems. 2) As stimulus avoid a recession. Then we also have trade imbalance pressures upon the dollar. And we have nations like China getting VERY TIRED of holding 1.5 trillion in a declining currency. Eventually, nations like China will start dumping dollars and dollar-denominated investments (has that already started?)
The dollar has already fallen 15% in twelve months against a basket of trade weighted currencies.
I’m suggesting that it IS possible that accelarating dollar inflation will result in housing prices starting to RISE in nominal dollars, and same for our dollar denominated stock markets.
I’m keeping a close watch on this because it is a risk factor for nominal – dollar short positions I have against US stock market indexes, including S&P 500, NASDAQ, and also the US oil and gas stock index.
If I’m right about even half of the above ramblings, gold appreciation will dramatically accelerate. It is one obvious alternative to the dollar.
March 29, 2008 at 6:13 PM #178692stockstradrParticipantMy position is that rents will drop in real dollars. Our $2600/month lease ended this month, and we are looking for a better deal on rent (with this existing home, or move to another).
However, it becomes a very tricky question when we talk nominal dollar trends for rents, housing prices, and the stock market.
There are very significant MULTIPLE pressures for the US government to allow inflation to accelerate into a massive decline in the dollar. This solves our government’s runaway foreign debt problem: simply inflate your way out of debt.
One could even argue that it is inevitable our government will allow (and promote) massive dollar inflation, because our country has backed itself into a corner in terms of debt, housing crisis, coming recession, and trade imbalance; it appears the only way out is massive dollar inflation. Ron Paul believes that government (dollar inflation) conspiracy is already underway. I see this leading to a significant decline in the American standard of living.
We also have the Fed dropping rates, and directly pumping billions into the system to: 1) avoid a collapse of financial systems. 2) As stimulus avoid a recession. Then we also have trade imbalance pressures upon the dollar. And we have nations like China getting VERY TIRED of holding 1.5 trillion in a declining currency. Eventually, nations like China will start dumping dollars and dollar-denominated investments (has that already started?)
The dollar has already fallen 15% in twelve months against a basket of trade weighted currencies.
I’m suggesting that it IS possible that accelarating dollar inflation will result in housing prices starting to RISE in nominal dollars, and same for our dollar denominated stock markets.
I’m keeping a close watch on this because it is a risk factor for nominal – dollar short positions I have against US stock market indexes, including S&P 500, NASDAQ, and also the US oil and gas stock index.
If I’m right about even half of the above ramblings, gold appreciation will dramatically accelerate. It is one obvious alternative to the dollar.
March 29, 2008 at 6:13 PM #178610stockstradrParticipantMy position is that rents will drop in real dollars. Our $2600/month lease ended this month, and we are looking for a better deal on rent (with this existing home, or move to another).
However, it becomes a very tricky question when we talk nominal dollar trends for rents, housing prices, and the stock market.
There are very significant MULTIPLE pressures for the US government to allow inflation to accelerate into a massive decline in the dollar. This solves our government’s runaway foreign debt problem: simply inflate your way out of debt.
One could even argue that it is inevitable our government will allow (and promote) massive dollar inflation, because our country has backed itself into a corner in terms of debt, housing crisis, coming recession, and trade imbalance; it appears the only way out is massive dollar inflation. Ron Paul believes that government (dollar inflation) conspiracy is already underway. I see this leading to a significant decline in the American standard of living.
We also have the Fed dropping rates, and directly pumping billions into the system to: 1) avoid a collapse of financial systems. 2) As stimulus avoid a recession. Then we also have trade imbalance pressures upon the dollar. And we have nations like China getting VERY TIRED of holding 1.5 trillion in a declining currency. Eventually, nations like China will start dumping dollars and dollar-denominated investments (has that already started?)
The dollar has already fallen 15% in twelve months against a basket of trade weighted currencies.
I’m suggesting that it IS possible that accelarating dollar inflation will result in housing prices starting to RISE in nominal dollars, and same for our dollar denominated stock markets.
I’m keeping a close watch on this because it is a risk factor for nominal – dollar short positions I have against US stock market indexes, including S&P 500, NASDAQ, and also the US oil and gas stock index.
If I’m right about even half of the above ramblings, gold appreciation will dramatically accelerate. It is one obvious alternative to the dollar.
March 29, 2008 at 6:13 PM #178606stockstradrParticipantMy position is that rents will drop in real dollars. Our $2600/month lease ended this month, and we are looking for a better deal on rent (with this existing home, or move to another).
However, it becomes a very tricky question when we talk nominal dollar trends for rents, housing prices, and the stock market.
There are very significant MULTIPLE pressures for the US government to allow inflation to accelerate into a massive decline in the dollar. This solves our government’s runaway foreign debt problem: simply inflate your way out of debt.
One could even argue that it is inevitable our government will allow (and promote) massive dollar inflation, because our country has backed itself into a corner in terms of debt, housing crisis, coming recession, and trade imbalance; it appears the only way out is massive dollar inflation. Ron Paul believes that government (dollar inflation) conspiracy is already underway. I see this leading to a significant decline in the American standard of living.
We also have the Fed dropping rates, and directly pumping billions into the system to: 1) avoid a collapse of financial systems. 2) As stimulus avoid a recession. Then we also have trade imbalance pressures upon the dollar. And we have nations like China getting VERY TIRED of holding 1.5 trillion in a declining currency. Eventually, nations like China will start dumping dollars and dollar-denominated investments (has that already started?)
The dollar has already fallen 15% in twelve months against a basket of trade weighted currencies.
I’m suggesting that it IS possible that accelarating dollar inflation will result in housing prices starting to RISE in nominal dollars, and same for our dollar denominated stock markets.
I’m keeping a close watch on this because it is a risk factor for nominal – dollar short positions I have against US stock market indexes, including S&P 500, NASDAQ, and also the US oil and gas stock index.
If I’m right about even half of the above ramblings, gold appreciation will dramatically accelerate. It is one obvious alternative to the dollar.
March 29, 2008 at 6:13 PM #178594stockstradrParticipantMy position is that rents will drop in real dollars. Our $2600/month lease ended this month, and we are looking for a better deal on rent (with this existing home, or move to another).
However, it becomes a very tricky question when we talk nominal dollar trends for rents, housing prices, and the stock market.
There are very significant MULTIPLE pressures for the US government to allow inflation to accelerate into a massive decline in the dollar. This solves our government’s runaway foreign debt problem: simply inflate your way out of debt.
One could even argue that it is inevitable our government will allow (and promote) massive dollar inflation, because our country has backed itself into a corner in terms of debt, housing crisis, coming recession, and trade imbalance; it appears the only way out is massive dollar inflation. Ron Paul believes that government (dollar inflation) conspiracy is already underway. I see this leading to a significant decline in the American standard of living.
We also have the Fed dropping rates, and directly pumping billions into the system to: 1) avoid a collapse of financial systems. 2) As stimulus avoid a recession. Then we also have trade imbalance pressures upon the dollar. And we have nations like China getting VERY TIRED of holding 1.5 trillion in a declining currency. Eventually, nations like China will start dumping dollars and dollar-denominated investments (has that already started?)
The dollar has already fallen 15% in twelve months against a basket of trade weighted currencies.
I’m suggesting that it IS possible that accelarating dollar inflation will result in housing prices starting to RISE in nominal dollars, and same for our dollar denominated stock markets.
I’m keeping a close watch on this because it is a risk factor for nominal – dollar short positions I have against US stock market indexes, including S&P 500, NASDAQ, and also the US oil and gas stock index.
If I’m right about even half of the above ramblings, gold appreciation will dramatically accelerate. It is one obvious alternative to the dollar.
March 30, 2008 at 1:28 AM #178679temeculaguyParticipantI just realized something else, after reading a lot of the political and financial posts and articles, mark these words. Real estate investors will become the new “smokers.” Politicians will crucify them with new taxes and regulations, lenders will avoid them, foreign investors will put them into a new category and the public will give them no pity or support. All of the presidential candidates from either party end their speaches with the caveat in essence saying f&#k the investors. Not the wall street investor mind you but the little guy buying a rental property or two. I’d be wary of entering that endeavor right now, there’s a mob forming and the most likely scapegoat is the small time R/E investor. All that’s left is for Angelina Jolie or Tim Robbins to start making public statements against flippers and landlords, it’s gonna happen and when it does, that will be your cue to buy some rentals. As soon as someone yells “fire” and everyone runs from the building it will be time to run in, not a second before.
March 30, 2008 at 1:28 AM #178778temeculaguyParticipantI just realized something else, after reading a lot of the political and financial posts and articles, mark these words. Real estate investors will become the new “smokers.” Politicians will crucify them with new taxes and regulations, lenders will avoid them, foreign investors will put them into a new category and the public will give them no pity or support. All of the presidential candidates from either party end their speaches with the caveat in essence saying f&#k the investors. Not the wall street investor mind you but the little guy buying a rental property or two. I’d be wary of entering that endeavor right now, there’s a mob forming and the most likely scapegoat is the small time R/E investor. All that’s left is for Angelina Jolie or Tim Robbins to start making public statements against flippers and landlords, it’s gonna happen and when it does, that will be your cue to buy some rentals. As soon as someone yells “fire” and everyone runs from the building it will be time to run in, not a second before.
March 30, 2008 at 1:28 AM #178690temeculaguyParticipantI just realized something else, after reading a lot of the political and financial posts and articles, mark these words. Real estate investors will become the new “smokers.” Politicians will crucify them with new taxes and regulations, lenders will avoid them, foreign investors will put them into a new category and the public will give them no pity or support. All of the presidential candidates from either party end their speaches with the caveat in essence saying f&#k the investors. Not the wall street investor mind you but the little guy buying a rental property or two. I’d be wary of entering that endeavor right now, there’s a mob forming and the most likely scapegoat is the small time R/E investor. All that’s left is for Angelina Jolie or Tim Robbins to start making public statements against flippers and landlords, it’s gonna happen and when it does, that will be your cue to buy some rentals. As soon as someone yells “fire” and everyone runs from the building it will be time to run in, not a second before.
March 30, 2008 at 1:28 AM #178322temeculaguyParticipantI just realized something else, after reading a lot of the political and financial posts and articles, mark these words. Real estate investors will become the new “smokers.” Politicians will crucify them with new taxes and regulations, lenders will avoid them, foreign investors will put them into a new category and the public will give them no pity or support. All of the presidential candidates from either party end their speaches with the caveat in essence saying f&#k the investors. Not the wall street investor mind you but the little guy buying a rental property or two. I’d be wary of entering that endeavor right now, there’s a mob forming and the most likely scapegoat is the small time R/E investor. All that’s left is for Angelina Jolie or Tim Robbins to start making public statements against flippers and landlords, it’s gonna happen and when it does, that will be your cue to buy some rentals. As soon as someone yells “fire” and everyone runs from the building it will be time to run in, not a second before.
March 30, 2008 at 1:28 AM #178698temeculaguyParticipantI just realized something else, after reading a lot of the political and financial posts and articles, mark these words. Real estate investors will become the new “smokers.” Politicians will crucify them with new taxes and regulations, lenders will avoid them, foreign investors will put them into a new category and the public will give them no pity or support. All of the presidential candidates from either party end their speaches with the caveat in essence saying f&#k the investors. Not the wall street investor mind you but the little guy buying a rental property or two. I’d be wary of entering that endeavor right now, there’s a mob forming and the most likely scapegoat is the small time R/E investor. All that’s left is for Angelina Jolie or Tim Robbins to start making public statements against flippers and landlords, it’s gonna happen and when it does, that will be your cue to buy some rentals. As soon as someone yells “fire” and everyone runs from the building it will be time to run in, not a second before.
March 30, 2008 at 6:55 AM #178788Baron von RothschildParticipantYes, TG, as my great-great-great-great-great grandpa used to say, “The time to buy is when blood is running in the streets”.
March 30, 2008 at 6:55 AM #178708Baron von RothschildParticipantYes, TG, as my great-great-great-great-great grandpa used to say, “The time to buy is when blood is running in the streets”.
March 30, 2008 at 6:55 AM #178700Baron von RothschildParticipantYes, TG, as my great-great-great-great-great grandpa used to say, “The time to buy is when blood is running in the streets”.
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