Home › Forums › Financial Markets/Economics › How’s everyone feeling these days about the economy?
- This topic has 60 replies, 12 voices, and was last updated 16 years, 2 months ago by CA renter.
-
AuthorPosts
-
September 16, 2008 at 6:20 PM #271080September 16, 2008 at 7:28 PM #271422peterbParticipant
Josh, I’ve rarely had an original thought in my whole life. This is analysis from the likes of Bob Hoye, Marc Faber, and basically the Austrian school of economics. There’s a lot of historical evidence that points to this happening.
They’ve been saying that for about a year now and it seems to be unfolding this way. The US$ will be strong for another couple of months. Gold will bottom in a month or so, then rise for two years at least. This has happened after two other historical credit bubbles have burst.
September 16, 2008 at 7:28 PM #271346peterbParticipantJosh, I’ve rarely had an original thought in my whole life. This is analysis from the likes of Bob Hoye, Marc Faber, and basically the Austrian school of economics. There’s a lot of historical evidence that points to this happening.
They’ve been saying that for about a year now and it seems to be unfolding this way. The US$ will be strong for another couple of months. Gold will bottom in a month or so, then rise for two years at least. This has happened after two other historical credit bubbles have burst.
September 16, 2008 at 7:28 PM #271397peterbParticipantJosh, I’ve rarely had an original thought in my whole life. This is analysis from the likes of Bob Hoye, Marc Faber, and basically the Austrian school of economics. There’s a lot of historical evidence that points to this happening.
They’ve been saying that for about a year now and it seems to be unfolding this way. The US$ will be strong for another couple of months. Gold will bottom in a month or so, then rise for two years at least. This has happened after two other historical credit bubbles have burst.
September 16, 2008 at 7:28 PM #271110peterbParticipantJosh, I’ve rarely had an original thought in my whole life. This is analysis from the likes of Bob Hoye, Marc Faber, and basically the Austrian school of economics. There’s a lot of historical evidence that points to this happening.
They’ve been saying that for about a year now and it seems to be unfolding this way. The US$ will be strong for another couple of months. Gold will bottom in a month or so, then rise for two years at least. This has happened after two other historical credit bubbles have burst.
September 16, 2008 at 7:28 PM #271359peterbParticipantJosh, I’ve rarely had an original thought in my whole life. This is analysis from the likes of Bob Hoye, Marc Faber, and basically the Austrian school of economics. There’s a lot of historical evidence that points to this happening.
They’ve been saying that for about a year now and it seems to be unfolding this way. The US$ will be strong for another couple of months. Gold will bottom in a month or so, then rise for two years at least. This has happened after two other historical credit bubbles have burst.
September 16, 2008 at 11:52 PM #271275pedroconParticipantIts interesting for the last 100 years or so when the US economy sneezed everyone else got sick and its happening again. But I wonder is this the last time that this will happen? Maybe we are about to realize that the center of the economic world has shifted east. Man we have collectively squandered trillions on crap. We could have been so much further than we are. It probably ends up like this every time Rome, Britain, City States etc…..Don’t trust the government.
September 16, 2008 at 11:52 PM #271511pedroconParticipantIts interesting for the last 100 years or so when the US economy sneezed everyone else got sick and its happening again. But I wonder is this the last time that this will happen? Maybe we are about to realize that the center of the economic world has shifted east. Man we have collectively squandered trillions on crap. We could have been so much further than we are. It probably ends up like this every time Rome, Britain, City States etc…..Don’t trust the government.
September 16, 2008 at 11:52 PM #271522pedroconParticipantIts interesting for the last 100 years or so when the US economy sneezed everyone else got sick and its happening again. But I wonder is this the last time that this will happen? Maybe we are about to realize that the center of the economic world has shifted east. Man we have collectively squandered trillions on crap. We could have been so much further than we are. It probably ends up like this every time Rome, Britain, City States etc…..Don’t trust the government.
September 16, 2008 at 11:52 PM #271563pedroconParticipantIts interesting for the last 100 years or so when the US economy sneezed everyone else got sick and its happening again. But I wonder is this the last time that this will happen? Maybe we are about to realize that the center of the economic world has shifted east. Man we have collectively squandered trillions on crap. We could have been so much further than we are. It probably ends up like this every time Rome, Britain, City States etc…..Don’t trust the government.
September 16, 2008 at 11:52 PM #271589pedroconParticipantIts interesting for the last 100 years or so when the US economy sneezed everyone else got sick and its happening again. But I wonder is this the last time that this will happen? Maybe we are about to realize that the center of the economic world has shifted east. Man we have collectively squandered trillions on crap. We could have been so much further than we are. It probably ends up like this every time Rome, Britain, City States etc…..Don’t trust the government.
September 17, 2008 at 1:55 AM #271285CA renterParticipantBarnaby,
Does this chart look like we are closer to the top or the bottom in the S&P:
1960 – Present Weekly
http://stockcharts.com/charts/historical/spx1960.html
Or the Dow:
http://stockcharts.com/charts/historical/djia1960.html
Now, I’ll admit to being a bear, so my bias is showing… But we look much closer to a top than a bottom to me.
The Dow is very near it’s peak during the “stock market bubble” in 2000.
The last time we saw these levels was in 2006 — the go-go days of “trees growing to the sky”. Does the future look better or worse for the bulls in 2008? Remember how the CNBC cheerleaders were rejoicing when the market broke through 10,000 on the way up? Better or worse now?
I think there is significant downward pressure in all markets, but that’s just deflationary ol’ me. π
September 17, 2008 at 1:55 AM #271521CA renterParticipantBarnaby,
Does this chart look like we are closer to the top or the bottom in the S&P:
1960 – Present Weekly
http://stockcharts.com/charts/historical/spx1960.html
Or the Dow:
http://stockcharts.com/charts/historical/djia1960.html
Now, I’ll admit to being a bear, so my bias is showing… But we look much closer to a top than a bottom to me.
The Dow is very near it’s peak during the “stock market bubble” in 2000.
The last time we saw these levels was in 2006 — the go-go days of “trees growing to the sky”. Does the future look better or worse for the bulls in 2008? Remember how the CNBC cheerleaders were rejoicing when the market broke through 10,000 on the way up? Better or worse now?
I think there is significant downward pressure in all markets, but that’s just deflationary ol’ me. π
September 17, 2008 at 1:55 AM #271532CA renterParticipantBarnaby,
Does this chart look like we are closer to the top or the bottom in the S&P:
1960 – Present Weekly
http://stockcharts.com/charts/historical/spx1960.html
Or the Dow:
http://stockcharts.com/charts/historical/djia1960.html
Now, I’ll admit to being a bear, so my bias is showing… But we look much closer to a top than a bottom to me.
The Dow is very near it’s peak during the “stock market bubble” in 2000.
The last time we saw these levels was in 2006 — the go-go days of “trees growing to the sky”. Does the future look better or worse for the bulls in 2008? Remember how the CNBC cheerleaders were rejoicing when the market broke through 10,000 on the way up? Better or worse now?
I think there is significant downward pressure in all markets, but that’s just deflationary ol’ me. π
September 17, 2008 at 1:55 AM #271573CA renterParticipantBarnaby,
Does this chart look like we are closer to the top or the bottom in the S&P:
1960 – Present Weekly
http://stockcharts.com/charts/historical/spx1960.html
Or the Dow:
http://stockcharts.com/charts/historical/djia1960.html
Now, I’ll admit to being a bear, so my bias is showing… But we look much closer to a top than a bottom to me.
The Dow is very near it’s peak during the “stock market bubble” in 2000.
The last time we saw these levels was in 2006 — the go-go days of “trees growing to the sky”. Does the future look better or worse for the bulls in 2008? Remember how the CNBC cheerleaders were rejoicing when the market broke through 10,000 on the way up? Better or worse now?
I think there is significant downward pressure in all markets, but that’s just deflationary ol’ me. π
-
AuthorPosts
- You must be logged in to reply to this topic.