Home › Forums › Financial Markets/Economics › housing deflation hurts the economy?
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October 25, 2010 at 1:24 PM #623254October 25, 2010 at 2:24 PM #622506CA renterParticipant
Yes, there’s the psychological component, but one might argue that an economy that depends on psychology vs. fundamental economic health is a very sick economy.
Again, people spending what they don’t have is the **problem.** IMHO, we need to get rid of the notion that some illiquid asset (especially a primary residence) somehow equates to “wealth” (an arbitrary number pulled out of the air, like when a neighbor sells for $XXX,XXX to a buyer who cannot afford the agreed-upon price without a “toxic” mortgage) when it’s not realized.
IMHO, this psychological aspect is what’s so ponzi-like about our economy. Everything depends upon the next person overpaying for an asset using increasing amounts of debt. That is simply not sustainable.
October 25, 2010 at 2:24 PM #623150CA renterParticipantYes, there’s the psychological component, but one might argue that an economy that depends on psychology vs. fundamental economic health is a very sick economy.
Again, people spending what they don’t have is the **problem.** IMHO, we need to get rid of the notion that some illiquid asset (especially a primary residence) somehow equates to “wealth” (an arbitrary number pulled out of the air, like when a neighbor sells for $XXX,XXX to a buyer who cannot afford the agreed-upon price without a “toxic” mortgage) when it’s not realized.
IMHO, this psychological aspect is what’s so ponzi-like about our economy. Everything depends upon the next person overpaying for an asset using increasing amounts of debt. That is simply not sustainable.
October 25, 2010 at 2:24 PM #623274CA renterParticipantYes, there’s the psychological component, but one might argue that an economy that depends on psychology vs. fundamental economic health is a very sick economy.
Again, people spending what they don’t have is the **problem.** IMHO, we need to get rid of the notion that some illiquid asset (especially a primary residence) somehow equates to “wealth” (an arbitrary number pulled out of the air, like when a neighbor sells for $XXX,XXX to a buyer who cannot afford the agreed-upon price without a “toxic” mortgage) when it’s not realized.
IMHO, this psychological aspect is what’s so ponzi-like about our economy. Everything depends upon the next person overpaying for an asset using increasing amounts of debt. That is simply not sustainable.
October 25, 2010 at 2:24 PM #623592CA renterParticipantYes, there’s the psychological component, but one might argue that an economy that depends on psychology vs. fundamental economic health is a very sick economy.
Again, people spending what they don’t have is the **problem.** IMHO, we need to get rid of the notion that some illiquid asset (especially a primary residence) somehow equates to “wealth” (an arbitrary number pulled out of the air, like when a neighbor sells for $XXX,XXX to a buyer who cannot afford the agreed-upon price without a “toxic” mortgage) when it’s not realized.
IMHO, this psychological aspect is what’s so ponzi-like about our economy. Everything depends upon the next person overpaying for an asset using increasing amounts of debt. That is simply not sustainable.
October 25, 2010 at 2:24 PM #622589CA renterParticipantYes, there’s the psychological component, but one might argue that an economy that depends on psychology vs. fundamental economic health is a very sick economy.
Again, people spending what they don’t have is the **problem.** IMHO, we need to get rid of the notion that some illiquid asset (especially a primary residence) somehow equates to “wealth” (an arbitrary number pulled out of the air, like when a neighbor sells for $XXX,XXX to a buyer who cannot afford the agreed-upon price without a “toxic” mortgage) when it’s not realized.
IMHO, this psychological aspect is what’s so ponzi-like about our economy. Everything depends upon the next person overpaying for an asset using increasing amounts of debt. That is simply not sustainable.
October 25, 2010 at 2:35 PM #623299UCGalParticipant[quote=CA renter]Yes, there’s the psychological component, but one might argue that an economy that depends on psychology vs. fundamental economic health is a very sick economy.
[/quote]Yes. And I think we can agree that our economy is not exactly in robust health.
I see so many of my friends/coworkers who spend 100% of what they earn – because their “savings” is in their house. Not smart. but true.
And I try my darndest to live well below my means – but I found myself cutting back even more as the market(s) (housing, stock, job) took a downturn… just in case. Net result for our house – we still managed to save a little even when hubster was fully unemployed. (Vs his current under employed/part time status). Perceptions do change behavior.
October 25, 2010 at 2:35 PM #623175UCGalParticipant[quote=CA renter]Yes, there’s the psychological component, but one might argue that an economy that depends on psychology vs. fundamental economic health is a very sick economy.
[/quote]Yes. And I think we can agree that our economy is not exactly in robust health.
I see so many of my friends/coworkers who spend 100% of what they earn – because their “savings” is in their house. Not smart. but true.
And I try my darndest to live well below my means – but I found myself cutting back even more as the market(s) (housing, stock, job) took a downturn… just in case. Net result for our house – we still managed to save a little even when hubster was fully unemployed. (Vs his current under employed/part time status). Perceptions do change behavior.
October 25, 2010 at 2:35 PM #623617UCGalParticipant[quote=CA renter]Yes, there’s the psychological component, but one might argue that an economy that depends on psychology vs. fundamental economic health is a very sick economy.
[/quote]Yes. And I think we can agree that our economy is not exactly in robust health.
I see so many of my friends/coworkers who spend 100% of what they earn – because their “savings” is in their house. Not smart. but true.
And I try my darndest to live well below my means – but I found myself cutting back even more as the market(s) (housing, stock, job) took a downturn… just in case. Net result for our house – we still managed to save a little even when hubster was fully unemployed. (Vs his current under employed/part time status). Perceptions do change behavior.
October 25, 2010 at 2:35 PM #622614UCGalParticipant[quote=CA renter]Yes, there’s the psychological component, but one might argue that an economy that depends on psychology vs. fundamental economic health is a very sick economy.
[/quote]Yes. And I think we can agree that our economy is not exactly in robust health.
I see so many of my friends/coworkers who spend 100% of what they earn – because their “savings” is in their house. Not smart. but true.
And I try my darndest to live well below my means – but I found myself cutting back even more as the market(s) (housing, stock, job) took a downturn… just in case. Net result for our house – we still managed to save a little even when hubster was fully unemployed. (Vs his current under employed/part time status). Perceptions do change behavior.
October 25, 2010 at 2:35 PM #622531UCGalParticipant[quote=CA renter]Yes, there’s the psychological component, but one might argue that an economy that depends on psychology vs. fundamental economic health is a very sick economy.
[/quote]Yes. And I think we can agree that our economy is not exactly in robust health.
I see so many of my friends/coworkers who spend 100% of what they earn – because their “savings” is in their house. Not smart. but true.
And I try my darndest to live well below my means – but I found myself cutting back even more as the market(s) (housing, stock, job) took a downturn… just in case. Net result for our house – we still managed to save a little even when hubster was fully unemployed. (Vs his current under employed/part time status). Perceptions do change behavior.
October 25, 2010 at 3:14 PM #623190jstoeszParticipantThats a good point UCG, I totally agree. Are there other downsides, besides consumer confidence/mood? Some of the confidence drain may be negated by the freeing of cash from housing. Unlike stock market investments, housing assets are pretty much unproductive.
Basically, I am trying to free myself from the guilt of cheering on the fall of home prices without making myself freaked about taking a riskier job. Can I have my cake and eat it too?
October 25, 2010 at 3:14 PM #623313jstoeszParticipantThats a good point UCG, I totally agree. Are there other downsides, besides consumer confidence/mood? Some of the confidence drain may be negated by the freeing of cash from housing. Unlike stock market investments, housing assets are pretty much unproductive.
Basically, I am trying to free myself from the guilt of cheering on the fall of home prices without making myself freaked about taking a riskier job. Can I have my cake and eat it too?
October 25, 2010 at 3:14 PM #623632jstoeszParticipantThats a good point UCG, I totally agree. Are there other downsides, besides consumer confidence/mood? Some of the confidence drain may be negated by the freeing of cash from housing. Unlike stock market investments, housing assets are pretty much unproductive.
Basically, I am trying to free myself from the guilt of cheering on the fall of home prices without making myself freaked about taking a riskier job. Can I have my cake and eat it too?
October 25, 2010 at 3:14 PM #622546jstoeszParticipantThats a good point UCG, I totally agree. Are there other downsides, besides consumer confidence/mood? Some of the confidence drain may be negated by the freeing of cash from housing. Unlike stock market investments, housing assets are pretty much unproductive.
Basically, I am trying to free myself from the guilt of cheering on the fall of home prices without making myself freaked about taking a riskier job. Can I have my cake and eat it too?
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