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March 25, 2009 at 11:34 AM #373472March 25, 2009 at 12:39 PM #372884partypupParticipant
[quote=SDEngineer]
Europe is, in fact, trying to inflate their way out – just as we are. They simply have been trying to inflate less than we have.[/quote]That’s the point I’m trying to make, SD. How can a less-inflated currency be at greater risk than a more inflated currency? I don’t understand.
March 25, 2009 at 12:39 PM #373166partypupParticipant[quote=SDEngineer]
Europe is, in fact, trying to inflate their way out – just as we are. They simply have been trying to inflate less than we have.[/quote]That’s the point I’m trying to make, SD. How can a less-inflated currency be at greater risk than a more inflated currency? I don’t understand.
March 25, 2009 at 12:39 PM #373340partypupParticipant[quote=SDEngineer]
Europe is, in fact, trying to inflate their way out – just as we are. They simply have been trying to inflate less than we have.[/quote]That’s the point I’m trying to make, SD. How can a less-inflated currency be at greater risk than a more inflated currency? I don’t understand.
March 25, 2009 at 12:39 PM #373384partypupParticipant[quote=SDEngineer]
Europe is, in fact, trying to inflate their way out – just as we are. They simply have been trying to inflate less than we have.[/quote]That’s the point I’m trying to make, SD. How can a less-inflated currency be at greater risk than a more inflated currency? I don’t understand.
March 25, 2009 at 12:39 PM #373497partypupParticipant[quote=SDEngineer]
Europe is, in fact, trying to inflate their way out – just as we are. They simply have been trying to inflate less than we have.[/quote]That’s the point I’m trying to make, SD. How can a less-inflated currency be at greater risk than a more inflated currency? I don’t understand.
March 25, 2009 at 1:14 PM #372894SDEngineerParticipant[quote=partypup][quote=SDEngineer]
Europe is, in fact, trying to inflate their way out – just as we are. They simply have been trying to inflate less than we have.[/quote]That’s the point I’m trying to make, SD. How can a less-inflated currency be at greater risk than a more inflated currency? I don’t understand.[/quote]
The answer is that it will depend on which method is more effective at turning an economy around.
After all, in a fiat money system, money essentially represents a portion of that country’s GDP in proportion to the total amount of currency. The U.S.’s actions are causing that money supply to grow, which means that holding GDP constant, the money is worth less than in Europe where their monetary supply is growing slower. The U.S. is betting that the money spent will end the recession and cause the GDP to rise proportionally faster than Europe’s. If this does happen, than the U.S.’s method worked better (at least in this case) than Europe’s.
Only time will tell which method works better – but we do have a recent example in Japan which largely avoided inflating their currency to deal with a similar economic bubble – and the results of that were not exactly good. Maybe neither of these approaches will work either – but it’s really uncharted territory.
March 25, 2009 at 1:14 PM #373176SDEngineerParticipant[quote=partypup][quote=SDEngineer]
Europe is, in fact, trying to inflate their way out – just as we are. They simply have been trying to inflate less than we have.[/quote]That’s the point I’m trying to make, SD. How can a less-inflated currency be at greater risk than a more inflated currency? I don’t understand.[/quote]
The answer is that it will depend on which method is more effective at turning an economy around.
After all, in a fiat money system, money essentially represents a portion of that country’s GDP in proportion to the total amount of currency. The U.S.’s actions are causing that money supply to grow, which means that holding GDP constant, the money is worth less than in Europe where their monetary supply is growing slower. The U.S. is betting that the money spent will end the recession and cause the GDP to rise proportionally faster than Europe’s. If this does happen, than the U.S.’s method worked better (at least in this case) than Europe’s.
Only time will tell which method works better – but we do have a recent example in Japan which largely avoided inflating their currency to deal with a similar economic bubble – and the results of that were not exactly good. Maybe neither of these approaches will work either – but it’s really uncharted territory.
March 25, 2009 at 1:14 PM #373350SDEngineerParticipant[quote=partypup][quote=SDEngineer]
Europe is, in fact, trying to inflate their way out – just as we are. They simply have been trying to inflate less than we have.[/quote]That’s the point I’m trying to make, SD. How can a less-inflated currency be at greater risk than a more inflated currency? I don’t understand.[/quote]
The answer is that it will depend on which method is more effective at turning an economy around.
After all, in a fiat money system, money essentially represents a portion of that country’s GDP in proportion to the total amount of currency. The U.S.’s actions are causing that money supply to grow, which means that holding GDP constant, the money is worth less than in Europe where their monetary supply is growing slower. The U.S. is betting that the money spent will end the recession and cause the GDP to rise proportionally faster than Europe’s. If this does happen, than the U.S.’s method worked better (at least in this case) than Europe’s.
Only time will tell which method works better – but we do have a recent example in Japan which largely avoided inflating their currency to deal with a similar economic bubble – and the results of that were not exactly good. Maybe neither of these approaches will work either – but it’s really uncharted territory.
March 25, 2009 at 1:14 PM #373394SDEngineerParticipant[quote=partypup][quote=SDEngineer]
Europe is, in fact, trying to inflate their way out – just as we are. They simply have been trying to inflate less than we have.[/quote]That’s the point I’m trying to make, SD. How can a less-inflated currency be at greater risk than a more inflated currency? I don’t understand.[/quote]
The answer is that it will depend on which method is more effective at turning an economy around.
After all, in a fiat money system, money essentially represents a portion of that country’s GDP in proportion to the total amount of currency. The U.S.’s actions are causing that money supply to grow, which means that holding GDP constant, the money is worth less than in Europe where their monetary supply is growing slower. The U.S. is betting that the money spent will end the recession and cause the GDP to rise proportionally faster than Europe’s. If this does happen, than the U.S.’s method worked better (at least in this case) than Europe’s.
Only time will tell which method works better – but we do have a recent example in Japan which largely avoided inflating their currency to deal with a similar economic bubble – and the results of that were not exactly good. Maybe neither of these approaches will work either – but it’s really uncharted territory.
March 25, 2009 at 1:14 PM #373507SDEngineerParticipant[quote=partypup][quote=SDEngineer]
Europe is, in fact, trying to inflate their way out – just as we are. They simply have been trying to inflate less than we have.[/quote]That’s the point I’m trying to make, SD. How can a less-inflated currency be at greater risk than a more inflated currency? I don’t understand.[/quote]
The answer is that it will depend on which method is more effective at turning an economy around.
After all, in a fiat money system, money essentially represents a portion of that country’s GDP in proportion to the total amount of currency. The U.S.’s actions are causing that money supply to grow, which means that holding GDP constant, the money is worth less than in Europe where their monetary supply is growing slower. The U.S. is betting that the money spent will end the recession and cause the GDP to rise proportionally faster than Europe’s. If this does happen, than the U.S.’s method worked better (at least in this case) than Europe’s.
Only time will tell which method works better – but we do have a recent example in Japan which largely avoided inflating their currency to deal with a similar economic bubble – and the results of that were not exactly good. Maybe neither of these approaches will work either – but it’s really uncharted territory.
March 25, 2009 at 7:54 PM #373028Diego MamaniParticipant[quote=partypup] Diego, get a grip. This crisis, like everything else in life and in our universe, is moving in STAGES. That means that you won’t get killed for your precious can of beans, and I won’t be killed for my gold, anytime soon. What it DOES mean, however, is that your standard of living will erode rather rapidly, as will those around you, and over a period of months and years it will become increasingly expensive for you to buy the things you need, and as more time passes, those items may not even be available. And that’s when the real trouble starts.[/quote]
Stages or not, it’s the end point that I find unrealistic. From reading your text above, then you’re saying that you don’t expect the US govt and the dollar to collapse? I ask, because that (total collapse) is what most gold bugs believe.
But apparently you don’t expect total collapse of law and order, but rather a slow deterioration in our standard of living as the dollar, euro, etc. lose value against gold? If that’s the case, then land is a far better option than thinly traded gold that is already quite expensive.
If we’ll enter a period where currencies lose value rapidly (high inflation), then not only gold, but also land, and stock prices will go up very steeply in nominal terms. The key is simply to not hold cash.
March 25, 2009 at 7:54 PM #373311Diego MamaniParticipant[quote=partypup] Diego, get a grip. This crisis, like everything else in life and in our universe, is moving in STAGES. That means that you won’t get killed for your precious can of beans, and I won’t be killed for my gold, anytime soon. What it DOES mean, however, is that your standard of living will erode rather rapidly, as will those around you, and over a period of months and years it will become increasingly expensive for you to buy the things you need, and as more time passes, those items may not even be available. And that’s when the real trouble starts.[/quote]
Stages or not, it’s the end point that I find unrealistic. From reading your text above, then you’re saying that you don’t expect the US govt and the dollar to collapse? I ask, because that (total collapse) is what most gold bugs believe.
But apparently you don’t expect total collapse of law and order, but rather a slow deterioration in our standard of living as the dollar, euro, etc. lose value against gold? If that’s the case, then land is a far better option than thinly traded gold that is already quite expensive.
If we’ll enter a period where currencies lose value rapidly (high inflation), then not only gold, but also land, and stock prices will go up very steeply in nominal terms. The key is simply to not hold cash.
March 25, 2009 at 7:54 PM #373484Diego MamaniParticipant[quote=partypup] Diego, get a grip. This crisis, like everything else in life and in our universe, is moving in STAGES. That means that you won’t get killed for your precious can of beans, and I won’t be killed for my gold, anytime soon. What it DOES mean, however, is that your standard of living will erode rather rapidly, as will those around you, and over a period of months and years it will become increasingly expensive for you to buy the things you need, and as more time passes, those items may not even be available. And that’s when the real trouble starts.[/quote]
Stages or not, it’s the end point that I find unrealistic. From reading your text above, then you’re saying that you don’t expect the US govt and the dollar to collapse? I ask, because that (total collapse) is what most gold bugs believe.
But apparently you don’t expect total collapse of law and order, but rather a slow deterioration in our standard of living as the dollar, euro, etc. lose value against gold? If that’s the case, then land is a far better option than thinly traded gold that is already quite expensive.
If we’ll enter a period where currencies lose value rapidly (high inflation), then not only gold, but also land, and stock prices will go up very steeply in nominal terms. The key is simply to not hold cash.
March 25, 2009 at 7:54 PM #373528Diego MamaniParticipant[quote=partypup] Diego, get a grip. This crisis, like everything else in life and in our universe, is moving in STAGES. That means that you won’t get killed for your precious can of beans, and I won’t be killed for my gold, anytime soon. What it DOES mean, however, is that your standard of living will erode rather rapidly, as will those around you, and over a period of months and years it will become increasingly expensive for you to buy the things you need, and as more time passes, those items may not even be available. And that’s when the real trouble starts.[/quote]
Stages or not, it’s the end point that I find unrealistic. From reading your text above, then you’re saying that you don’t expect the US govt and the dollar to collapse? I ask, because that (total collapse) is what most gold bugs believe.
But apparently you don’t expect total collapse of law and order, but rather a slow deterioration in our standard of living as the dollar, euro, etc. lose value against gold? If that’s the case, then land is a far better option than thinly traded gold that is already quite expensive.
If we’ll enter a period where currencies lose value rapidly (high inflation), then not only gold, but also land, and stock prices will go up very steeply in nominal terms. The key is simply to not hold cash.
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