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Look at sale prices. Not list prices – anyone can list a property at what they like. Rental investors are unlikely to touch those properties. Retail buyers will likely buy with a mortgage, where they’ll run into an issue of comps, at least in the next ~12 months.
After that, who knows? Glad that I have an offer waiting for bank appv’l on a 1 bedroom rental at a “last spring” price.
Not commenting on the exact property above, but the appraisal is no longer going to determine sale price, but rather it will determine your loan. If you agree to a sale price, then be prepared to bring in the rest, especially when there are 30 buyers lined up to buy.
The last bubble was driven by easy/low-money-down loans. The second criterion won’t apply here, so we’re unlikely to see a duplication of the last bubble in the next 6-12 months at least.
Successfully (i.e. with profit) flipping a house bought in Jan 2012 is doable. Successfully flipping a house bought this Fall may not be so easy.
… in San Diego.
In my part of the East Coast, there are still plenty of foreclosure listings and languishing shorts. Basically, since the foreclosure process takes about 1.5-2 years longer than in CA, we’re in the same position as San Diego was in early 2011. A *beautiful* thing in my book.