Home › Forums › Financial Markets/Economics › CA State Budget Passed – State’s demise imminent
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February 19, 2009 at 4:21 PM #350589February 19, 2009 at 4:44 PM #350021afx114Participant
[quote=cr]Your points are good, but like AN said, if you cut that line at 2006 Bush tax cuts look great. Blame Greenspan for the rest.[/quote]
Isn’t moving the attempting to dispute my point by using a theoretical? You can’t pick and choose your data points after they’ve passed. That’s like saying, “Yeah, we lost the ballgame 13-5, but if we would have scored 9 runs in the 3rd the outcome would have been different.” While that may be true, that is not how things played out.
But I’ll humor AN with his example. Lets say Bush lost in 2004, would Kerry have continued with tax cuts and increased spending? Maybe. But probably not, because Kerry subscribes to a different economic philosophy. He campaigned on balancing the budget (as opposed to Cheney’s “deficits don’t matter”). We probably would have seen a return to the economic policies of the 1990’s (attempt to balance the budget through increased taxes), and we would have seen a vastly different 2004-2008. Would we still have the current crisis? Probably. Would it be unfolding much differently if the US was able to attack it with a budget surplus in its arsenal? Damn right it would be.
The point is, those two time periods, 1992-2000 and 2000-2008, each represent two very different economic philosophies, with two very different outcomes. You can run theoreticals all you want, but it doesn’t change the fact that one economic philosophy has shown certain results, while the other has shown the opposite.
February 19, 2009 at 4:44 PM #350339afx114Participant[quote=cr]Your points are good, but like AN said, if you cut that line at 2006 Bush tax cuts look great. Blame Greenspan for the rest.[/quote]
Isn’t moving the attempting to dispute my point by using a theoretical? You can’t pick and choose your data points after they’ve passed. That’s like saying, “Yeah, we lost the ballgame 13-5, but if we would have scored 9 runs in the 3rd the outcome would have been different.” While that may be true, that is not how things played out.
But I’ll humor AN with his example. Lets say Bush lost in 2004, would Kerry have continued with tax cuts and increased spending? Maybe. But probably not, because Kerry subscribes to a different economic philosophy. He campaigned on balancing the budget (as opposed to Cheney’s “deficits don’t matter”). We probably would have seen a return to the economic policies of the 1990’s (attempt to balance the budget through increased taxes), and we would have seen a vastly different 2004-2008. Would we still have the current crisis? Probably. Would it be unfolding much differently if the US was able to attack it with a budget surplus in its arsenal? Damn right it would be.
The point is, those two time periods, 1992-2000 and 2000-2008, each represent two very different economic philosophies, with two very different outcomes. You can run theoreticals all you want, but it doesn’t change the fact that one economic philosophy has shown certain results, while the other has shown the opposite.
February 19, 2009 at 4:44 PM #350466afx114Participant[quote=cr]Your points are good, but like AN said, if you cut that line at 2006 Bush tax cuts look great. Blame Greenspan for the rest.[/quote]
Isn’t moving the attempting to dispute my point by using a theoretical? You can’t pick and choose your data points after they’ve passed. That’s like saying, “Yeah, we lost the ballgame 13-5, but if we would have scored 9 runs in the 3rd the outcome would have been different.” While that may be true, that is not how things played out.
But I’ll humor AN with his example. Lets say Bush lost in 2004, would Kerry have continued with tax cuts and increased spending? Maybe. But probably not, because Kerry subscribes to a different economic philosophy. He campaigned on balancing the budget (as opposed to Cheney’s “deficits don’t matter”). We probably would have seen a return to the economic policies of the 1990’s (attempt to balance the budget through increased taxes), and we would have seen a vastly different 2004-2008. Would we still have the current crisis? Probably. Would it be unfolding much differently if the US was able to attack it with a budget surplus in its arsenal? Damn right it would be.
The point is, those two time periods, 1992-2000 and 2000-2008, each represent two very different economic philosophies, with two very different outcomes. You can run theoreticals all you want, but it doesn’t change the fact that one economic philosophy has shown certain results, while the other has shown the opposite.
February 19, 2009 at 4:44 PM #350501afx114Participant[quote=cr]Your points are good, but like AN said, if you cut that line at 2006 Bush tax cuts look great. Blame Greenspan for the rest.[/quote]
Isn’t moving the attempting to dispute my point by using a theoretical? You can’t pick and choose your data points after they’ve passed. That’s like saying, “Yeah, we lost the ballgame 13-5, but if we would have scored 9 runs in the 3rd the outcome would have been different.” While that may be true, that is not how things played out.
But I’ll humor AN with his example. Lets say Bush lost in 2004, would Kerry have continued with tax cuts and increased spending? Maybe. But probably not, because Kerry subscribes to a different economic philosophy. He campaigned on balancing the budget (as opposed to Cheney’s “deficits don’t matter”). We probably would have seen a return to the economic policies of the 1990’s (attempt to balance the budget through increased taxes), and we would have seen a vastly different 2004-2008. Would we still have the current crisis? Probably. Would it be unfolding much differently if the US was able to attack it with a budget surplus in its arsenal? Damn right it would be.
The point is, those two time periods, 1992-2000 and 2000-2008, each represent two very different economic philosophies, with two very different outcomes. You can run theoreticals all you want, but it doesn’t change the fact that one economic philosophy has shown certain results, while the other has shown the opposite.
February 19, 2009 at 4:44 PM #350602afx114Participant[quote=cr]Your points are good, but like AN said, if you cut that line at 2006 Bush tax cuts look great. Blame Greenspan for the rest.[/quote]
Isn’t moving the attempting to dispute my point by using a theoretical? You can’t pick and choose your data points after they’ve passed. That’s like saying, “Yeah, we lost the ballgame 13-5, but if we would have scored 9 runs in the 3rd the outcome would have been different.” While that may be true, that is not how things played out.
But I’ll humor AN with his example. Lets say Bush lost in 2004, would Kerry have continued with tax cuts and increased spending? Maybe. But probably not, because Kerry subscribes to a different economic philosophy. He campaigned on balancing the budget (as opposed to Cheney’s “deficits don’t matter”). We probably would have seen a return to the economic policies of the 1990’s (attempt to balance the budget through increased taxes), and we would have seen a vastly different 2004-2008. Would we still have the current crisis? Probably. Would it be unfolding much differently if the US was able to attack it with a budget surplus in its arsenal? Damn right it would be.
The point is, those two time periods, 1992-2000 and 2000-2008, each represent two very different economic philosophies, with two very different outcomes. You can run theoreticals all you want, but it doesn’t change the fact that one economic philosophy has shown certain results, while the other has shown the opposite.
February 19, 2009 at 5:32 PM #350046TheBreezeParticipantSince California now has a balanced budget for the first time ever we are now facing imminent demise? I’ll be damned. I thought balanced budgets were a good thing.
February 19, 2009 at 5:32 PM #350364TheBreezeParticipantSince California now has a balanced budget for the first time ever we are now facing imminent demise? I’ll be damned. I thought balanced budgets were a good thing.
February 19, 2009 at 5:32 PM #350491TheBreezeParticipantSince California now has a balanced budget for the first time ever we are now facing imminent demise? I’ll be damned. I thought balanced budgets were a good thing.
February 19, 2009 at 5:32 PM #350526TheBreezeParticipantSince California now has a balanced budget for the first time ever we are now facing imminent demise? I’ll be damned. I thought balanced budgets were a good thing.
February 19, 2009 at 5:32 PM #350627TheBreezeParticipantSince California now has a balanced budget for the first time ever we are now facing imminent demise? I’ll be damned. I thought balanced budgets were a good thing.
February 19, 2009 at 5:35 PM #350051TheBreezeParticipant[quote=AN]afx114, where you draw the line really affect your argument. If Bush didn’t win in 2004, his policy would have been seen as amazing since employment was up, home ownership was up, stock was recovering, people were feeling very rich due to housing, etc. Same with Clinton, if his term end in 2001 instead of 2000, stocks would have been in the dump, employment was going down, we were in a recession, etc. So, it’s not quite as black and white as you trying to portray.[/quote]
Nope, I think history will clearly show (if it hasn’t already) that Bush was a clueless moron.
February 19, 2009 at 5:35 PM #350369TheBreezeParticipant[quote=AN]afx114, where you draw the line really affect your argument. If Bush didn’t win in 2004, his policy would have been seen as amazing since employment was up, home ownership was up, stock was recovering, people were feeling very rich due to housing, etc. Same with Clinton, if his term end in 2001 instead of 2000, stocks would have been in the dump, employment was going down, we were in a recession, etc. So, it’s not quite as black and white as you trying to portray.[/quote]
Nope, I think history will clearly show (if it hasn’t already) that Bush was a clueless moron.
February 19, 2009 at 5:35 PM #350497TheBreezeParticipant[quote=AN]afx114, where you draw the line really affect your argument. If Bush didn’t win in 2004, his policy would have been seen as amazing since employment was up, home ownership was up, stock was recovering, people were feeling very rich due to housing, etc. Same with Clinton, if his term end in 2001 instead of 2000, stocks would have been in the dump, employment was going down, we were in a recession, etc. So, it’s not quite as black and white as you trying to portray.[/quote]
Nope, I think history will clearly show (if it hasn’t already) that Bush was a clueless moron.
February 19, 2009 at 5:35 PM #350531TheBreezeParticipant[quote=AN]afx114, where you draw the line really affect your argument. If Bush didn’t win in 2004, his policy would have been seen as amazing since employment was up, home ownership was up, stock was recovering, people were feeling very rich due to housing, etc. Same with Clinton, if his term end in 2001 instead of 2000, stocks would have been in the dump, employment was going down, we were in a recession, etc. So, it’s not quite as black and white as you trying to portray.[/quote]
Nope, I think history will clearly show (if it hasn’t already) that Bush was a clueless moron.
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