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June 24, 2010 at 11:36 AM #571510June 24, 2010 at 12:37 PM #570627sdrealtorParticipant
That doesnt surprise and is something i was trying to put out around here about 2 years ago when new home inventory was high on a national basis. The builders have stopped building and it doesnt take too long for the new home inventory to get absorbed if it isnt being replaced with more new construction. It takes years to get that machine rolling again.
June 24, 2010 at 12:37 PM #570723sdrealtorParticipantThat doesnt surprise and is something i was trying to put out around here about 2 years ago when new home inventory was high on a national basis. The builders have stopped building and it doesnt take too long for the new home inventory to get absorbed if it isnt being replaced with more new construction. It takes years to get that machine rolling again.
June 24, 2010 at 12:37 PM #571634sdrealtorParticipantThat doesnt surprise and is something i was trying to put out around here about 2 years ago when new home inventory was high on a national basis. The builders have stopped building and it doesnt take too long for the new home inventory to get absorbed if it isnt being replaced with more new construction. It takes years to get that machine rolling again.
June 24, 2010 at 12:37 PM #571345sdrealtorParticipantThat doesnt surprise and is something i was trying to put out around here about 2 years ago when new home inventory was high on a national basis. The builders have stopped building and it doesnt take too long for the new home inventory to get absorbed if it isnt being replaced with more new construction. It takes years to get that machine rolling again.
June 24, 2010 at 12:37 PM #571236sdrealtorParticipantThat doesnt surprise and is something i was trying to put out around here about 2 years ago when new home inventory was high on a national basis. The builders have stopped building and it doesnt take too long for the new home inventory to get absorbed if it isnt being replaced with more new construction. It takes years to get that machine rolling again.
June 24, 2010 at 1:37 PM #571445CA renterParticipantThanks, SDR! π
Yes, I’m seeing the active/pending/sold activity as well, and you’re right that it’s a leading indicator.
What I was referring to with the “popcorn” comment was that as a result of this slowdown (higher inventory, fewer pendings/solds), the sellers who really want to sell will get out in front of the market, and it’s these sellers who create that first “pop” that really makes heads turn. After that, it’s a mad dash for the exits. I think the bump in prices/activity is what’s prompted a lot of sellers to list recently.
As to that particular area, I think that’s where the purported “cancer cluster” is (someone who knows better, please correct me if I’m wrong). FWIW, that is really going to affect how well that area does in the future. Also, while I *love* older areas, that area is a bit run-down, and the houses and yards are not as well maintained as other, more desirable neighborhoods.
BTW, while it looks like higher-priced homes are selling right now, I think it’s because some of the $1MM+ inventory has moved into the $700K-$800K range, and more buyers are picking those up. I don’t think things are stable on the high end, but the median will skew what’s really going on. We’re seeing better inventory in the $800K-$1MM range than we’ve seen in years (we don’t like tract homes, so sdr will probably disagree with me on that). π
June 24, 2010 at 1:37 PM #571735CA renterParticipantThanks, SDR! π
Yes, I’m seeing the active/pending/sold activity as well, and you’re right that it’s a leading indicator.
What I was referring to with the “popcorn” comment was that as a result of this slowdown (higher inventory, fewer pendings/solds), the sellers who really want to sell will get out in front of the market, and it’s these sellers who create that first “pop” that really makes heads turn. After that, it’s a mad dash for the exits. I think the bump in prices/activity is what’s prompted a lot of sellers to list recently.
As to that particular area, I think that’s where the purported “cancer cluster” is (someone who knows better, please correct me if I’m wrong). FWIW, that is really going to affect how well that area does in the future. Also, while I *love* older areas, that area is a bit run-down, and the houses and yards are not as well maintained as other, more desirable neighborhoods.
BTW, while it looks like higher-priced homes are selling right now, I think it’s because some of the $1MM+ inventory has moved into the $700K-$800K range, and more buyers are picking those up. I don’t think things are stable on the high end, but the median will skew what’s really going on. We’re seeing better inventory in the $800K-$1MM range than we’ve seen in years (we don’t like tract homes, so sdr will probably disagree with me on that). π
June 24, 2010 at 1:37 PM #571337CA renterParticipantThanks, SDR! π
Yes, I’m seeing the active/pending/sold activity as well, and you’re right that it’s a leading indicator.
What I was referring to with the “popcorn” comment was that as a result of this slowdown (higher inventory, fewer pendings/solds), the sellers who really want to sell will get out in front of the market, and it’s these sellers who create that first “pop” that really makes heads turn. After that, it’s a mad dash for the exits. I think the bump in prices/activity is what’s prompted a lot of sellers to list recently.
As to that particular area, I think that’s where the purported “cancer cluster” is (someone who knows better, please correct me if I’m wrong). FWIW, that is really going to affect how well that area does in the future. Also, while I *love* older areas, that area is a bit run-down, and the houses and yards are not as well maintained as other, more desirable neighborhoods.
BTW, while it looks like higher-priced homes are selling right now, I think it’s because some of the $1MM+ inventory has moved into the $700K-$800K range, and more buyers are picking those up. I don’t think things are stable on the high end, but the median will skew what’s really going on. We’re seeing better inventory in the $800K-$1MM range than we’ve seen in years (we don’t like tract homes, so sdr will probably disagree with me on that). π
June 24, 2010 at 1:37 PM #570821CA renterParticipantThanks, SDR! π
Yes, I’m seeing the active/pending/sold activity as well, and you’re right that it’s a leading indicator.
What I was referring to with the “popcorn” comment was that as a result of this slowdown (higher inventory, fewer pendings/solds), the sellers who really want to sell will get out in front of the market, and it’s these sellers who create that first “pop” that really makes heads turn. After that, it’s a mad dash for the exits. I think the bump in prices/activity is what’s prompted a lot of sellers to list recently.
As to that particular area, I think that’s where the purported “cancer cluster” is (someone who knows better, please correct me if I’m wrong). FWIW, that is really going to affect how well that area does in the future. Also, while I *love* older areas, that area is a bit run-down, and the houses and yards are not as well maintained as other, more desirable neighborhoods.
BTW, while it looks like higher-priced homes are selling right now, I think it’s because some of the $1MM+ inventory has moved into the $700K-$800K range, and more buyers are picking those up. I don’t think things are stable on the high end, but the median will skew what’s really going on. We’re seeing better inventory in the $800K-$1MM range than we’ve seen in years (we don’t like tract homes, so sdr will probably disagree with me on that). π
June 24, 2010 at 1:37 PM #570727CA renterParticipantThanks, SDR! π
Yes, I’m seeing the active/pending/sold activity as well, and you’re right that it’s a leading indicator.
What I was referring to with the “popcorn” comment was that as a result of this slowdown (higher inventory, fewer pendings/solds), the sellers who really want to sell will get out in front of the market, and it’s these sellers who create that first “pop” that really makes heads turn. After that, it’s a mad dash for the exits. I think the bump in prices/activity is what’s prompted a lot of sellers to list recently.
As to that particular area, I think that’s where the purported “cancer cluster” is (someone who knows better, please correct me if I’m wrong). FWIW, that is really going to affect how well that area does in the future. Also, while I *love* older areas, that area is a bit run-down, and the houses and yards are not as well maintained as other, more desirable neighborhoods.
BTW, while it looks like higher-priced homes are selling right now, I think it’s because some of the $1MM+ inventory has moved into the $700K-$800K range, and more buyers are picking those up. I don’t think things are stable on the high end, but the median will skew what’s really going on. We’re seeing better inventory in the $800K-$1MM range than we’ve seen in years (we don’t like tract homes, so sdr will probably disagree with me on that). π
June 24, 2010 at 1:55 PM #571470DWCAPParticipant[quote=outtamojo]I am price indifferent. I just want to see the pig go thru the python – that and jobs will fix everything imo. According to Pisani on CNBC, we have
the lowest absolute inventory of new homes for sale in 40 years….[/quote]To go along with our lowest level of new home sales in over 50 years. The whole market is just grinding to a stop more than anything else IMO. Demand and supply wont meet without governement $$. There is plenty of demand, just not at these prices. ANd there is plenty of capactiy to increase supply, just not at these prices.
June 24, 2010 at 1:55 PM #571362DWCAPParticipant[quote=outtamojo]I am price indifferent. I just want to see the pig go thru the python – that and jobs will fix everything imo. According to Pisani on CNBC, we have
the lowest absolute inventory of new homes for sale in 40 years….[/quote]To go along with our lowest level of new home sales in over 50 years. The whole market is just grinding to a stop more than anything else IMO. Demand and supply wont meet without governement $$. There is plenty of demand, just not at these prices. ANd there is plenty of capactiy to increase supply, just not at these prices.
June 24, 2010 at 1:55 PM #571760DWCAPParticipant[quote=outtamojo]I am price indifferent. I just want to see the pig go thru the python – that and jobs will fix everything imo. According to Pisani on CNBC, we have
the lowest absolute inventory of new homes for sale in 40 years….[/quote]To go along with our lowest level of new home sales in over 50 years. The whole market is just grinding to a stop more than anything else IMO. Demand and supply wont meet without governement $$. There is plenty of demand, just not at these prices. ANd there is plenty of capactiy to increase supply, just not at these prices.
June 24, 2010 at 1:55 PM #570752DWCAPParticipant[quote=outtamojo]I am price indifferent. I just want to see the pig go thru the python – that and jobs will fix everything imo. According to Pisani on CNBC, we have
the lowest absolute inventory of new homes for sale in 40 years….[/quote]To go along with our lowest level of new home sales in over 50 years. The whole market is just grinding to a stop more than anything else IMO. Demand and supply wont meet without governement $$. There is plenty of demand, just not at these prices. ANd there is plenty of capactiy to increase supply, just not at these prices.
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