- This topic has 90 replies, 8 voices, and was last updated 14 years, 4 months ago by patb.
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July 23, 2010 at 2:40 PM #582528July 23, 2010 at 3:42 PM #582963ucodegenParticipant
[quote patb]
In a decent society, a bankruptcy judge would write the note down to the new value of 200K.
[/quote]
Why? It is a secured note. Someone fronted the 400K. If you want mortgage rates to go sky high, go ahead and do this. The people lending money will start demanding a higher interest rate to offset the risk of loss of capital. They will refuse to lend until they get this. Remember that the lenders only make about 72% over the life of the loan (not adjusting for inflation and assuming that they are the primary source of capital). If you are going to demand a 50% haircut from the lenders with the possibility of then getting 36% back for a total return of -14% over a 30 year period(about -0.5%/yr) vs their 72% for a 30 year (about 4%/yr). The result will be mortgage interest rates close to 8 or 9% because you are effectively taking a secured loan and making it unsecured… just like credit cards – whose balances can be written down.I would LOVE to have all my ‘costs’ readjusted if the real price changes. Imagine that if a stock price goes down, I get some of my cash back because its real value is less!! NICE!!!
[quote patb]
yes it may not appeal to people but the
cramdown is the best outcome.
[/quote]
And what of moral hazard?July 23, 2010 at 3:42 PM #582021ucodegenParticipant[quote patb]
In a decent society, a bankruptcy judge would write the note down to the new value of 200K.
[/quote]
Why? It is a secured note. Someone fronted the 400K. If you want mortgage rates to go sky high, go ahead and do this. The people lending money will start demanding a higher interest rate to offset the risk of loss of capital. They will refuse to lend until they get this. Remember that the lenders only make about 72% over the life of the loan (not adjusting for inflation and assuming that they are the primary source of capital). If you are going to demand a 50% haircut from the lenders with the possibility of then getting 36% back for a total return of -14% over a 30 year period(about -0.5%/yr) vs their 72% for a 30 year (about 4%/yr). The result will be mortgage interest rates close to 8 or 9% because you are effectively taking a secured loan and making it unsecured… just like credit cards – whose balances can be written down.I would LOVE to have all my ‘costs’ readjusted if the real price changes. Imagine that if a stock price goes down, I get some of my cash back because its real value is less!! NICE!!!
[quote patb]
yes it may not appeal to people but the
cramdown is the best outcome.
[/quote]
And what of moral hazard?July 23, 2010 at 3:42 PM #582553ucodegenParticipant[quote patb]
In a decent society, a bankruptcy judge would write the note down to the new value of 200K.
[/quote]
Why? It is a secured note. Someone fronted the 400K. If you want mortgage rates to go sky high, go ahead and do this. The people lending money will start demanding a higher interest rate to offset the risk of loss of capital. They will refuse to lend until they get this. Remember that the lenders only make about 72% over the life of the loan (not adjusting for inflation and assuming that they are the primary source of capital). If you are going to demand a 50% haircut from the lenders with the possibility of then getting 36% back for a total return of -14% over a 30 year period(about -0.5%/yr) vs their 72% for a 30 year (about 4%/yr). The result will be mortgage interest rates close to 8 or 9% because you are effectively taking a secured loan and making it unsecured… just like credit cards – whose balances can be written down.I would LOVE to have all my ‘costs’ readjusted if the real price changes. Imagine that if a stock price goes down, I get some of my cash back because its real value is less!! NICE!!!
[quote patb]
yes it may not appeal to people but the
cramdown is the best outcome.
[/quote]
And what of moral hazard?July 23, 2010 at 3:42 PM #581930ucodegenParticipant[quote patb]
In a decent society, a bankruptcy judge would write the note down to the new value of 200K.
[/quote]
Why? It is a secured note. Someone fronted the 400K. If you want mortgage rates to go sky high, go ahead and do this. The people lending money will start demanding a higher interest rate to offset the risk of loss of capital. They will refuse to lend until they get this. Remember that the lenders only make about 72% over the life of the loan (not adjusting for inflation and assuming that they are the primary source of capital). If you are going to demand a 50% haircut from the lenders with the possibility of then getting 36% back for a total return of -14% over a 30 year period(about -0.5%/yr) vs their 72% for a 30 year (about 4%/yr). The result will be mortgage interest rates close to 8 or 9% because you are effectively taking a secured loan and making it unsecured… just like credit cards – whose balances can be written down.I would LOVE to have all my ‘costs’ readjusted if the real price changes. Imagine that if a stock price goes down, I get some of my cash back because its real value is less!! NICE!!!
[quote patb]
yes it may not appeal to people but the
cramdown is the best outcome.
[/quote]
And what of moral hazard?July 23, 2010 at 3:42 PM #582660ucodegenParticipant[quote patb]
In a decent society, a bankruptcy judge would write the note down to the new value of 200K.
[/quote]
Why? It is a secured note. Someone fronted the 400K. If you want mortgage rates to go sky high, go ahead and do this. The people lending money will start demanding a higher interest rate to offset the risk of loss of capital. They will refuse to lend until they get this. Remember that the lenders only make about 72% over the life of the loan (not adjusting for inflation and assuming that they are the primary source of capital). If you are going to demand a 50% haircut from the lenders with the possibility of then getting 36% back for a total return of -14% over a 30 year period(about -0.5%/yr) vs their 72% for a 30 year (about 4%/yr). The result will be mortgage interest rates close to 8 or 9% because you are effectively taking a secured loan and making it unsecured… just like credit cards – whose balances can be written down.I would LOVE to have all my ‘costs’ readjusted if the real price changes. Imagine that if a stock price goes down, I get some of my cash back because its real value is less!! NICE!!!
[quote patb]
yes it may not appeal to people but the
cramdown is the best outcome.
[/quote]
And what of moral hazard?July 23, 2010 at 3:52 PM #581935ArrayaParticipantWhy do you feel entitled to live in a decent society?
July 23, 2010 at 3:52 PM #582026ArrayaParticipantWhy do you feel entitled to live in a decent society?
July 23, 2010 at 3:52 PM #582558ArrayaParticipantWhy do you feel entitled to live in a decent society?
July 23, 2010 at 3:52 PM #582968ArrayaParticipantWhy do you feel entitled to live in a decent society?
July 23, 2010 at 3:52 PM #582665ArrayaParticipantWhy do you feel entitled to live in a decent society?
July 23, 2010 at 10:17 PM #583078bearishgurlParticipantJust perused the article provided by patb.
The fact that the son built up a “fortress” around the house ALREADY LOCATED in a prestigious gated community further buttresses my notion that the son felt his life was threatened in some way, perhaps by mafia-backed thugs who threatened him when he couldn’t pay all his casino debt.
I don’t believe the son built this fortress for a “5-day notice to vacate.”
BK filings and dismissals are a common tactic and “par for the course” when people are faced with foreclosure and want to buy a little time.
Also, after reading this, I NO LONGER FEEL their (hard-money or sub-prime) lender solicited these trustors door-to-door. I think the son had to have sought them out.
July 23, 2010 at 10:17 PM #582775bearishgurlParticipantJust perused the article provided by patb.
The fact that the son built up a “fortress” around the house ALREADY LOCATED in a prestigious gated community further buttresses my notion that the son felt his life was threatened in some way, perhaps by mafia-backed thugs who threatened him when he couldn’t pay all his casino debt.
I don’t believe the son built this fortress for a “5-day notice to vacate.”
BK filings and dismissals are a common tactic and “par for the course” when people are faced with foreclosure and want to buy a little time.
Also, after reading this, I NO LONGER FEEL their (hard-money or sub-prime) lender solicited these trustors door-to-door. I think the son had to have sought them out.
July 23, 2010 at 10:17 PM #582668bearishgurlParticipantJust perused the article provided by patb.
The fact that the son built up a “fortress” around the house ALREADY LOCATED in a prestigious gated community further buttresses my notion that the son felt his life was threatened in some way, perhaps by mafia-backed thugs who threatened him when he couldn’t pay all his casino debt.
I don’t believe the son built this fortress for a “5-day notice to vacate.”
BK filings and dismissals are a common tactic and “par for the course” when people are faced with foreclosure and want to buy a little time.
Also, after reading this, I NO LONGER FEEL their (hard-money or sub-prime) lender solicited these trustors door-to-door. I think the son had to have sought them out.
July 23, 2010 at 10:17 PM #582136bearishgurlParticipantJust perused the article provided by patb.
The fact that the son built up a “fortress” around the house ALREADY LOCATED in a prestigious gated community further buttresses my notion that the son felt his life was threatened in some way, perhaps by mafia-backed thugs who threatened him when he couldn’t pay all his casino debt.
I don’t believe the son built this fortress for a “5-day notice to vacate.”
BK filings and dismissals are a common tactic and “par for the course” when people are faced with foreclosure and want to buy a little time.
Also, after reading this, I NO LONGER FEEL their (hard-money or sub-prime) lender solicited these trustors door-to-door. I think the son had to have sought them out.
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