[quote=zk]The question is, “would the deaths plus economic damage caused by an unchecked coronavirus be worse than the deaths plus economic damage caused by the lockdown plus the virus in a lockdown situation?”
[/quote]
That’s some good, quality analysis right there !
I think there is some optimization that could happen which isn’t happening, though. Our current response feels panicked, not optimized, especially in San Diego.
Somewhere on this blog someone posted a study recommending that we put all the kids back in school and keep older people on lockdown. This lets the youth develop herd immunity without endangering the vulnerable.
Still, New York has a higher deaths-per-1M than Italy now. So maybe the response there was not extreme enough and and maybe a little too extreme here.
I was reading about Switzerland’s approach today. Can’t find the article. Was interesting in that it was intended to allow conditions that could be sustained for a long period of time and allow herd immunity to build, but still flatten the curve.