The-Shoveler wrote:California

[phaster]

[quote=The-Shoveler]California budget surplus likely to be wiped out.

I would say it is highly unlikely SoCal will see anything remotely like the CV numbers in NYC
[/quote]

yup 99.999% certain the,… California budget surplus likely to be wiped out!!!

[quote=The-Shoveler]COVID-19: Updated data implies that UK modelling hugely overestimates the expected death rates from infection

This is the study that the CDC used to convince USA to shut down.

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2020/03/25/covid-19-updated-data-implies-that-uk-modelling-hugely-overestimates-the-expected-death-rates-from-infection/
[/quote]

WRT “scientific” info published on the site,… wattsupwiththat.com

pretty much the site is known for being not too rigorous

https://mediabiasfactcheck.com/watts-up-with-that/

basically that site is filled w/ characters that sell a message for a price,… for example

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2018/03/13/a-conversation-with-patrick-moore/

http://www.desmogblog.com/patrick-moore

Lobbyist (Patrick Moore)
Claims Monsanto’s Roundup Is Safe To Drink
Freaks Out When Offered A Glass
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ovKw6YjqSfM

if you’re interested in solid info from virologists w/ decades of experience discussing the issues listen to

TWiV (This Week in Virology) | A podcast about viruses
http://www.microbe.tv/twiv/

bottom line in the real world when r0 (i.e. “r naught” which is the number of people that become infected),… is greater than one the disease will spread

said another way,… the higher the r0 the more contagious the covid-19 virus is (and FWIW the reason covid-19 spread so rapidly is because it looks like the r0 value is greater than three, which means one individual who catches the virus can in effect pass it along to three other people)

realistically until there is heard immunity or a vaccine developed, people will be at risk of contracting an illness,… which will have knock on effects that simple math models do not take into account (for example)

http://www.npr.org/2020/03/18/816644358/covid-19-threatens-food-supply-chain-as-farms-worry-about-workers-falling-ill

http://www.scientificamerican.com/article/the-effects-of-covid-19-will-ripple-through-food-systems/

because it looks like the r0 value is “conservatively” greater than three,… the SoCal area will most likely be hit w/ high CV numbers just like in the NYC area,… looking at the medical data victims will be older AND/OR weaker (i.e. individuals with pre-existing medical conditions such as hypertension, diabetes, etc.)

http://www.TinyURL.com/PandemicTips

what those in the know fear is COVID-19 is going to hit in waves (similar to the 1918 pandemic)

http://www.pbs.org/video/american-experience-influenza-1918/