The seasonal framework for predicting behaviors can also be seen in HS Dent’s books/presentations.
Dent isn’t nearly as apocalyptic as the ones in this article, (and I wondered if Glen Beck wasn’t a silent contributor to the JimQ post) but otherwise, Dent’s work and teh 4th Turning have quite a bit in the way of parallels, bordering on plagurism..
Dent ties things back to a families cycle – early years, heavy spending on the kids, house, etc. Later years, retiring/cutting back. With entire population sectors entering a new stage, Dent argues it has a predictable effect.