The Nevada Democratic caucus on February 20th will be interesting, simply because Hillary and Bernie look like they’re in a dead heat. Will they split the vote again, or can one of them build an edge?
On the same day there’s the Republican primary in South Carolina, which Trump looks like he’s going to win… but by how much? It looks nice to win on paper with 1/3 of the vote, but until he can get closer to a plurality of voters it just looks like we’re killing time until the Establishment settles between Rubio, Bush and Kasich. Cruz of course is the wild card, but enough of the party elites would probably just say “Whatever, Trump” than support Cruz as an Anti-Trump.
Then at the end of the month the Democrats get their turn in South Carolina. Right now the polls have Hillary winning there almost 2:1. That could be when she starts rolling towards Super Tuesday.
