[quote=spdrun]”The Hammer and the Dance”. The endgame isn’t “no” new cases, just lowering the number of infections so the hospitals can handle it and so that contacts of cases can be ID’ed…
Say r0 of this thing is 3, meaning that each “generation” of the virus multiplies cases by a factor of three. Reducing contact by a factor of 10, wearing masks, etc will likely reduce the “fertility” of the virus to about 0.3, meaning that the number of cases will shrink exponentially in a similar period that it took them to grow. Politicians ordering people around also need to remember that between incubation period, showing symptoms, and testing, there’s a lag time of several weeks. New cases and hospitalizations will take 2 weeks to a month to start showing real declines.
But decline they will, almost as quickly as they grew. New cases will be a bell-shaped curve, though TOTAL people in hospital will still go up, since many people stay in hospital for a few weeks.[/quote]
when the number of virus infections starts to decline, the next big challenge is keeping people confident there is hope
IOW people have to recognize it’s easier to destroy things, building stuff is much, much, much harder!!!
sad fact of the matter is, there are far too many no talent ass clowns who basically are Darwin Award candidates
and don’t have a clue what real hardship or sacrifice is,…
having pointed out the inconvenient truth(s), when this clusterfuck is over actually think things will be much better because people will realize the difference between a “want” vs a “need” along w/ realizing the fact that the path we were on was unsustainable AND solutions only happen when there is corporation and acceptance of hard science (as is the case where people have to work together to find a vaccine)
