[quote=SK in CV]Anthony Kennedy is a couple months shy of 80. Ruth Bader Ginsberg is 83 and has pancreatic cancer. Breyer is just a couple years shy of 80. That would be 4. Two are guaranteed for the next president unless the Dems retake the Senate, in which case Ginsberg will retire immediately if Trump wins, and Obama will get 2. And probably two during the next term.
The Louisiana law just signed is probably headed to the SCOTUS.
You’re not vile because you already voted, or because you want a candidate different than me. The vote is vile. You support a candidate that is vile and hateful. Particularly to women. Hope you feel good about that. Just stop pretending to care about women. You don’t.[/quote]If, as you say, Obama will replace Scalia (and possibly Ginsburg), what are you worried about, SK? If Ginsburg is worried about who will replace her, then why doesn’t she just retire now? (My understanding is that she was in remission from Stage 1 panc after undergoing the Whipple procedure over 6 years ago but I understand the odds). She is very, very lucky to have caught it when she did, having been diagnosed with colon cancer (stage 2) nearly ten years before that where she had part of her colon removed. So I agree that Justice Ginsburg may not last thru January 2021.
If Obama selects the next two SC justice posts before his term is out and they are successfully installed before he leaves office, then how will the political makeup of the court look at the time of the next presidential inauguration in January 2017?
Why are you worried that the replacement of J. Breyer (age 78) and J. Kennedy (age 79) is an eminent possibility? Are either of them currently in ill health?
And can you point me to the LA law just passed that you are certain will be litigated?
Do you know how long is it taking from the filing a civil rights case today in Federal Court (for example) to successfully arguing it before the US Supreme Court? And how long is the current wait time after oral argument to get their decision? Another 1-3 years? And what is the percentage of cases brought before the Supreme Court which they end up accepting? My educated guess is that IF a case is accepted by the SCOTUS today (AFTER spending 2+ years in District/Circuit Court), it could now take at least 3 more years to be processed through the Supreme Court (total of 5+ years). If the case originates from very busy District/Circuit Courts (such as CASD/9th Cir), then figure on 6-8 years total all the way up thru SCOTUS decision (assuming they accept it).
I think you’re really jumping the gun with worry, here, SK … especially if Obama is able, by hook or crook, to fill TWO Supreme Court seats on his way out the door.
And if not currently ill, Breyer and Kennedy could easily outlive Trump’s first term (should he be elected POTUS).
I DO care about women’s issues (that should already be very apparent by now) and that is part of the reason why I’m now engaging you on this very important topic.
