[quote=sdrealtor]Others including myself are saying the worst is past. That the market is being successfully manipulated and while there is no turn around in sight there is no disaster ahead either. No one is arguing that the obvious isnt happening. The powers that be are trying to spread the pain and let time minimize the fall coupled with modest inflation. Rational thinking says it wont work but the reality is that it has been working. It wont stop and they will find new creative ways to continue doing so. The powers that be are winning and you just cant admit that.[/quote]
sdr, I too have a problem when it comes to say the worst is past. When I look at the FDIC numbers for banks and find that in the last 6 months the Nonaccrual status has increased 40%:
Nonaccrual — For purposes of this schedule, an asset is to be reported as being in nonaccrual status if:
(1) it is maintained on a cash basis because of deterioration in the financial condition of the borrower,
(2) payment in full of principal or interest is not expected, or (3) principal or interest has been in default for a period of 90 days or more unless the asset is both well secured and in the process of
collection.
Also, Non-current loans have almost doubled in the last 6 months and over 5x since 2006.
Non-current Loans to Loans:
As of 6/30/09: 5.52%
As of 3/31/09: 4.95%
As of 12/31/08: 3.85%
As of 12/31/07: 1.82%
As of 12/31/06: 0.91%
…
As of 12/31/02: 0.84%
I don’t see from these numbers that the manipulation of the banks and housing market is working. I personally cannot see how things can stay the same or get better.
[quote=sdrealtor]That the market is being successfully manipulated and while there is no turn around in sight there is no disaster ahead either.[/quote]
And the Titanic can successfully maneuver around or collide into icebergs… “See, we hit that iceberg and nothing happened, the Titanic is indestructible…” Everything must be just fine…
Maybe there is the ‘Invisible Hand of God’…
I don’t know if it is urban legend, but I have always heard from the older generation “more people got hurt on the second lesser market drop than the first greater drop…”. Several thought the worst was over.
