[quote]Obama has better than 5:1 chance to carry each state carried by Kerry in 2004 (252 votes), Colorado, Iowa, New Mexico), and Virginia (34 votes).
Obama has the lead in Florida (27), Missouri (11), Nevada (5), North Carolina (15), Ohio (20).
McCain has the lead in Arizona, Georgia, Indiana, Montana, North Dakota.
McCain has better than 5:1 chance to carry all the remaining red states.
The likely outcome is 364 electoral votes for Obama to 174 for McCain.[/quote]
Intrade was right on the money. McCain takes Missouri and Obama takes Indiana, final outcome is 367:171.