In other words, I am betting that the next 100% move in stocks is to the up-side, as opposed to the downside.
On another subject … as for relying on a traders or an economist for short-term stock advice, I think I’d put money on the trader, and here’s the reason :
High-profile economists have to stick by their prediction or “adapt” their opinion slowly as the markets change to save face. A trader knows they will be wrong many times and have no problems switching sides if it will make them money.