No one is saying that there’s an excellent case for a recession. We’re just saying that’s it’s impossible to make any prediction about anything in life to a 100% certainty. It’s very similar to the perma-bull saying RE price can’t fall until it start falling, then they revise it to soft landing, then temporary drop and will go back to positive soon. In 2004, they were 100% certain that this time is different and all the data shows that they’re right. Does that make them right?
