Rental demand is expected to remain robust over the next decade as the youngest members of the millennial genera- tion reach their 20s and begin to form their own households. Moreover, if homeownership rates for households in their 30s and 40s continue to slide, rental demand will be stronger still. For their part, the aging baby-boom generation will boost the number of older renters, ultimately pushing up demand for accessible units.
It is unknown whether high-income households will continue to fill the growing inventory of higher-end rentals or make the transition to homeownership.
Regardless, expanding the rental supply through new market-rate construction should provide some slack to tight markets as older units slowly filter down from higher to lower rents. Once high-end demand is sated, developers in some areas may turn their attention to middle- market rentals, although high development costs mean that building new units affordable to even moderate-income house- holds is difficult without government subsidies.