Those national polls on who is doing a good job are worthless. Those same 90% are the ones that say the rep for their district is doing a good job. Its the same national polls on the pres elec, its the electoral college not popular vote, otherwise we’d all be driving smart cars under Gore. The press is too stupid or more likely is too broke to conduct 50 state polls to get real data.
intrade (UK futures site banned in this country by the nanny pukes in DC) has McCain at only 31% chance of winning, while the University of Iowa elections market (open to US with limit of $500) has McCain at 35%.
You can clean up at the IOWA site, the odds are SO WRONG; once we get in there the odd in Oct will go 50-50. Sure thing John, easy 500.