I think he has a good chance if he makes it past the primaries. IMO it all depends on how long the current admin can stave off economic collapse in the eyes of the voters. If they can keep painting a rosy picture until the elections, we may very well end up with another republican candidate, perhaps Ron Paul. If it all falls apart people are going to vote against any republican, even good ones, meaning we’ll end up with Hillary or Barrack…
This is all IMO! I wonder what would happen if we caught Osama Bin Laden. That would be a new exit strategy and then Bush can hang the “Mission Accomplished” flag and mean it, walking away before support for this war gets even lower.