- This topic has 20 replies, 4 voices, and was last updated 16 years, 7 months ago by
Huckleberry.
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July 18, 2008 at 10:49 PM #13347July 19, 2008 at 8:50 AM #242669
Huckleberry
ParticipantOnce Alt-A (especially pay option ARMs) start defaulting, compounded with VERY tight lending standards, rising mortgage rates, jobs market weakening, and huge existing inventory overhang…
Just my opinion, but I am thinking down another 20-30% over the next year in PB and La Jolla. It could easily turn into 40-50% if regional banks start becoming insolvent, which is a REAL and SIGNIFICANT probability per the Wall Street financial analysts.
Again, just my opinion but from what I see on CNBC daily and what I read here and other local RE related websites, the situation is getting bleaker for now…
July 19, 2008 at 8:50 AM #242809Huckleberry
ParticipantOnce Alt-A (especially pay option ARMs) start defaulting, compounded with VERY tight lending standards, rising mortgage rates, jobs market weakening, and huge existing inventory overhang…
Just my opinion, but I am thinking down another 20-30% over the next year in PB and La Jolla. It could easily turn into 40-50% if regional banks start becoming insolvent, which is a REAL and SIGNIFICANT probability per the Wall Street financial analysts.
Again, just my opinion but from what I see on CNBC daily and what I read here and other local RE related websites, the situation is getting bleaker for now…
July 19, 2008 at 8:50 AM #242816Huckleberry
ParticipantOnce Alt-A (especially pay option ARMs) start defaulting, compounded with VERY tight lending standards, rising mortgage rates, jobs market weakening, and huge existing inventory overhang…
Just my opinion, but I am thinking down another 20-30% over the next year in PB and La Jolla. It could easily turn into 40-50% if regional banks start becoming insolvent, which is a REAL and SIGNIFICANT probability per the Wall Street financial analysts.
Again, just my opinion but from what I see on CNBC daily and what I read here and other local RE related websites, the situation is getting bleaker for now…
July 19, 2008 at 8:50 AM #242873Huckleberry
ParticipantOnce Alt-A (especially pay option ARMs) start defaulting, compounded with VERY tight lending standards, rising mortgage rates, jobs market weakening, and huge existing inventory overhang…
Just my opinion, but I am thinking down another 20-30% over the next year in PB and La Jolla. It could easily turn into 40-50% if regional banks start becoming insolvent, which is a REAL and SIGNIFICANT probability per the Wall Street financial analysts.
Again, just my opinion but from what I see on CNBC daily and what I read here and other local RE related websites, the situation is getting bleaker for now…
July 19, 2008 at 8:50 AM #242879Huckleberry
ParticipantOnce Alt-A (especially pay option ARMs) start defaulting, compounded with VERY tight lending standards, rising mortgage rates, jobs market weakening, and huge existing inventory overhang…
Just my opinion, but I am thinking down another 20-30% over the next year in PB and La Jolla. It could easily turn into 40-50% if regional banks start becoming insolvent, which is a REAL and SIGNIFICANT probability per the Wall Street financial analysts.
Again, just my opinion but from what I see on CNBC daily and what I read here and other local RE related websites, the situation is getting bleaker for now…
July 19, 2008 at 9:04 AM #242679SD Realtor
ParticipantI am sorry but do not agree… 20-30% over the next year would mean that there is some sort of devastation within our borders. If we see 20-30% over the next 3 years I will be pleased.
Try not to forget that if the doomsday scenario for banks comes to fruition we will simply see a form of socialized housing which may be masked right now but can happen.
July 19, 2008 at 9:04 AM #242889SD Realtor
ParticipantI am sorry but do not agree… 20-30% over the next year would mean that there is some sort of devastation within our borders. If we see 20-30% over the next 3 years I will be pleased.
Try not to forget that if the doomsday scenario for banks comes to fruition we will simply see a form of socialized housing which may be masked right now but can happen.
July 19, 2008 at 9:04 AM #242820SD Realtor
ParticipantI am sorry but do not agree… 20-30% over the next year would mean that there is some sort of devastation within our borders. If we see 20-30% over the next 3 years I will be pleased.
Try not to forget that if the doomsday scenario for banks comes to fruition we will simply see a form of socialized housing which may be masked right now but can happen.
July 19, 2008 at 9:04 AM #242827SD Realtor
ParticipantI am sorry but do not agree… 20-30% over the next year would mean that there is some sort of devastation within our borders. If we see 20-30% over the next 3 years I will be pleased.
Try not to forget that if the doomsday scenario for banks comes to fruition we will simply see a form of socialized housing which may be masked right now but can happen.
July 19, 2008 at 9:04 AM #242883SD Realtor
ParticipantI am sorry but do not agree… 20-30% over the next year would mean that there is some sort of devastation within our borders. If we see 20-30% over the next 3 years I will be pleased.
Try not to forget that if the doomsday scenario for banks comes to fruition we will simply see a form of socialized housing which may be masked right now but can happen.
July 19, 2008 at 9:12 AM #242832sdrealtor
ParticipantI was speaking with a long time Hard Money lender from Carmel Valley yesterday. He and his buddies thinks this will all be over in the next 12 months. This is based upon what they are seeing coming their way and in speaking with other well heeled investors sitting on large piles of cash who are watching the markets for entry points. I dont agree with him but he’s a very bright guy who is playing with his own cash.
July 19, 2008 at 9:12 AM #242894sdrealtor
ParticipantI was speaking with a long time Hard Money lender from Carmel Valley yesterday. He and his buddies thinks this will all be over in the next 12 months. This is based upon what they are seeing coming their way and in speaking with other well heeled investors sitting on large piles of cash who are watching the markets for entry points. I dont agree with him but he’s a very bright guy who is playing with his own cash.
July 19, 2008 at 9:12 AM #242888sdrealtor
ParticipantI was speaking with a long time Hard Money lender from Carmel Valley yesterday. He and his buddies thinks this will all be over in the next 12 months. This is based upon what they are seeing coming their way and in speaking with other well heeled investors sitting on large piles of cash who are watching the markets for entry points. I dont agree with him but he’s a very bright guy who is playing with his own cash.
July 19, 2008 at 9:12 AM #242825sdrealtor
ParticipantI was speaking with a long time Hard Money lender from Carmel Valley yesterday. He and his buddies thinks this will all be over in the next 12 months. This is based upon what they are seeing coming their way and in speaking with other well heeled investors sitting on large piles of cash who are watching the markets for entry points. I dont agree with him but he’s a very bright guy who is playing with his own cash.
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