SDR, interesting comments on the misunderstandings of buyer behaviors. People on this site are too rational imho. Too much analysis based on hard numbers not nearly enough on human psychology. To understand the market dynamics you need to realize the decision to buy a house for most families are at least 50% driven by emotions. This is why housing can get really overvalued and stay overvalued for a long time. The flip side of course is when the tide finally turns, it can overshoot on the downside as well, again driven more by emotions than the fundamentals. However, unlike other investments and assets, home is highly personal. Most people buy it as a place to live rather than as a speculation. People won’t sell unless they absolutely have to. This is why housing cycle tends to drag on for years. You need to be really patient in order to wait it out.
