[quote=sdrealtor]I suspect you are lazy so I’ll give you the cliff notes version. Spot one! No one on this site came close to how accurate mine were.
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[quote=sdrealtor]You are so wrong it’s laughable. Not only did I predict it but I placed bets on how it would play out. That I won and I can link to on this website. I predicted 30% worst case scenario and likely less along the NCC. The actual bottom was just short of 25% here.
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Sounds like you nailed NCC, but SD-wide single family home prices were down 42% per Case-Shiller. Condos were down a lot more than that – I only have pr/sqft for condos, not a quality-adjusted index like CS, but that was down 56%.
If your prediction had been 30% decline best guess, I’d say that would have been a bit low but in the ballpark. However, a prediction of a 30% worst case scenario — followed by an actual decline of 42% for single familly and 50%+ for condos — seems like a pretty wide miss.
Perhaps I am misunderstanding what you meant what you said that you predicted 30% worst case. But taken at face value, this doesn’t sound like a particularly good prediction. At very least, I think you may not be a lock for “Spot one! No one on this site came close to how accurate mine were.”
