Funny thing you proposed that trade. I actually thought (some time ago) about offering to take opposing bets to Powayseller’s, from the 50% nominal housing price drop to the S&P at 600 by next year. If you two agree to enter into such an arrangement, please let me know. I am willing to put up pretty good money against some of those predictions. And I’m sure it can be crafted as a perfectly legal contract, too.