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Fed partially nationalizes banks.....Wow...User Forum Topic
Submitted by fat_lazy_union_... on October 10, 2008 - 4:30pm
Didn't think that would ever happen.... http://biz.yahoo.com/ap/081010/financial... US to take stake in banks, first since Depression WASHINGTON (AP) -- The government will buy an ownership stake in a broad array of American banks for the first time since the Great Depression, Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson said late Friday, announcing the historic step after stock markets jolted still lower around the world despite all efforts to slow the selling stampede. ADVERTISEMENT "This is a period like none of us has ever seen before," declared Paulson at a rare Friday night news conference. He said the government program to purchase stock in private U.S. financial firms will be open to a broad array of institutions, including banks, in an effort to help them raise desperately needed money. The administration received the authority to take such direct action in the $700 billion economic rescue bill that Congress passed and President Bush signed last week. Earlier Friday, stock prices hurtled downward in the United States, Europe and Asia, even as President Bush tried to reassure Americans and the world that the U.S. and other governments were aggressively addressing what has become a near panic. A sign of how bad things have gotten: A drop of 128 points in the Dow Jones industrials was greeted with sighs of relief after the index had plummeted much further on previous days. The week ended as the Dow's worst ever. It was no better overseas. Great Britain's FTSE index ended below the 4,000 level for the first time in five years; Germany's DAX fell 7 percent and France's CAC-40 finished down 7.7 percent. Japan's benchmark Nikkei 225 index fell 9.6 percent, also hitting a five-year low. For the week, the Nikkei lost nearly a quarter of its value. Russia's market never even opened. Paulson announced the administration's new effort to prop up banks at the conclusion of discussions among finance officials of the Group of Seven major industrialized countries. That group endorsed the outlines of a sweeping program to combat the worst global credit crisis in decades. Earlier this week, Britain had moved to pour cash into its troubled banks in exchange for stakes in them -- a partial nationalization. Paulson said the U.S. program would be designed to complement banks' own efforts to raise fresh capital from private sources. The government's stock purchases will be of nonvoting shares so it will not have power to run the companies. The purchase of stakes in companies would be in addition to the main thrust of the $700 billion rescue effort, which is to purchase distressed assets from financial institutions as a way of unthawing frozen credit, getting banks to resume more normal lending operations and staving off severe problems for businesses and everyday Americans alike. It would mark the first time the government has taken equity ownership in banks in this manner since a similar program was employed during the Depression. Paulson and Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke met with their counterparts from the world's six other richest countries late in the day as the rout of financial markets sped ahead despite earlier dramatic rescue efforts in the U.S. and abroad. In a statement at the end of that meeting, the G7 officials vowed to protect major banks and to prevent their failure. They also committed to working to get credit flowing more freely again, to support the efforts of banks to raise money from both public and private sources, to bolster deposit insurance and to revive the battered mortgage financing market. They did not provide specifics beyond that five-point framework. At the White House earlier in the day, Bush said, "We're in this together and we'll come through this together." He added, "Anxiety can feed anxiety, and that can make it hard to see all that's being done to solve the problem." He made it clear the United States must work with other countries to battle the worst financial crisis that has jolted the world economy in more than a half-century. "We've seen that problems in the financial system are not isolated to the United States," he said. "So we're working closely with partners around the world to ensure that our actions are coordinated and effective." The Dow dropped a little over 100 points while he was speaking. Fear has tightened its grip on investors worldwide even as the United States and other countries have taken a series of radical actions including an unprecedented, coordinated interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and other major central banks. Besides the United States, the other members of the G7 meeting in Washington are Japan, Germany, Britain, France, Italy and Canada. Finance officials also planned to meet with Bush Saturday at the White House. "We are in a development where the downward spiral is picking up speed," said Germany's Finance Minister Peer Steinbrueck, who wanted to see an orchestrated response among the G7. So did French Finance Minister Christine Lagarde, who said a "coordinated, synchronized and rightly timed approach" was needed. An even larger group of nations -- called the G20 -- will meet with Paulson on Saturday evening. How the world's finance officials and central bank presidents can better contain the spreading financial crisis also will dominate discussions at the weekend meetings of the 185-nation International Monetary Fund and the World Bank in Washington. The British, who recently announced a plan to guarantee billions of dollar worth of debt held by major banks, have been pitching that idea to the rest of the G7 members. The idea behind all these ideas -- as well as bold steps previously announced in recent weeks -- is to get credit flowing more freely again. In the United States, hard-pressed banks and investment firms are drawing emergency loans from the Federal Reserve because they can't get money elsewhere. Skittish investors have cut them off, moving their money into safer Treasury securities. Financial institutions are hoarding whatever cash they have, rather than lending it to each other or customers. The lending lockup -- which is making it harder and more expensive for businesses and ordinary people to borrow money -- is threatening to push the United States and the world economy as a whole into a deep and painful recession. In Europe, governments have moved to protect nervous bank depositors. Germany pledged to guarantee all private bank savings and CDs in the country, and Iceland and Denmark followed suit. Ireland went even further by also guaranteeing Irish banks' debts. The United States will temporarily boost deposit insurance from $100,000 to $250,000 in cases where its banks or savings and loans fail. The Fed, meanwhile, has repeatedly tapped its Depression-era authority to be a lender of last resort, not only to financial institutions but also to other types of companies. Earlier this week, the Fed said it would buy massive amounts of companies' debts, in another unprecedented effort to break through the credit clog. Associated Press Writers Harry Dunphy, Desmond Butler, Martin Crutsinger and Deb Reichmann contributed to this report.
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It is my guess that today will mark at least a short term low for the stock market. Monday should be up. Consider: the NASDAQ was actually up, as were financials thanks to the above new policies. There was no end-of-session collapse, so traders were willing to hold their positions into the weekend. The Fed and Treasury have shown they will do whatever it takes to reliquify, even if it means inflation longer term. At some point, the bottom-fishers are going to scoop up some bargains after these rampant price drops. Early Monday will be the time to place limit orders.
P.S. How's my track record for market timing? Lousy.
I've said that this is best way to go because:
- Buying equity gets capital immediately into the banks.
- Protects upside potential for taxpayers.
Banks lobbied for the bailout where they can dump the bad debt onto the Federal govt without diluting shareholder's equity.
There was also an element of wanting not to "appear" socialist. But the velocity of the crash was such that capital needs to be immediately injected into the failing banks.
Why should the govt buy the bad paper and let the bank get off scot-free? It's much better to invest in the banks the Warren Buffet way.
Maybe this lasts four weeks and then back on the pain train to 7500. Typical effort of govt to appear helpful. We'll be extrememly lucky if this is just a recession. But this is not the bottom. As it becomes more obvious to the market that this will be the worst xmas season in decades, they will sell once more. Next leg down being 7200 to 7500.
George Soros said that equity purchase in banks is a better way of rescuing the financial system. Buying the junk paper was a non-starter.
http://www.pbs.org/moyers/journal/101020...
BILL MOYERS:You would put it where?
GEORGE SOROS:Into the capital of the bank so that the capital equity can sustain at least 12 times the amount of lending. So that's an obvious thing. And every economist agrees with this.
You see, what is needed now the bank examiners know how those banks stand. And they can say how much capital they need. And they could then raise that capital from the private market. Or they could turn to this new organization and get the money from there. That would dilute the shareholders. It would hurt the shareholders.
BILL MOYERS:Of the bank?
GEORGE SOROS:Of the banks. Which I think Paulson wanted to avoid. He didn't want to go there. But it has to be done. But then, the shareholders could be offered the right to provide the new capital. If they provide the new capital then there's no dilution. And the rights could be traded. So if they don't have the money, other people could, the private sector could put in the money. And if the private sector is not willing to do it then the government does it.
No surprises here, when all is said and done, there will be fewer banks in this country and hopefully the bank focus will be redirected to where it should be: providing capital to worthwhile projects and businesses as opposed to peddling creative financial instruments.
Hedge funds will be hit soon finalizing the RIP of the huckster neoliberal neocon con Laissez-faire era.
Buy the time this is all over, credit will be socialized.